Bournemouth vs Aston Villa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English Premier League Bournemouth - Aston Villa
Result
1:1
07/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 25
  • Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)
Bournemouth - Aston Villa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.310.44
Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
207
Shots on target
94
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
114
Passes
82% (340/415)80% (311/388)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
2.310.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.871.41
Total shots
207
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
70
Blocked shots
43
Shots inside the box
125
Shots outside the box
82
Hit the woodwork
11
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
114
Touches in opposition box
2620
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
33
Free kicks
114
Passes
82% (340/415)80% (311/388)
Long passes
54% (28/52)43% (23/54)
Passes in final third
67% (86/129)71% (79/111)
Crosses
11% (3/27)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.320.38
Throw ins
2117
Fouls
411
Tackles
70% (7/10)67% (12/18)
Duels won
4049
Clearances
2037
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
37
xGOT faced
1.411.87
Goals prevented
0.410.87

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Rogers M. , Sancho J. (A),
  • 35', Buendia E. 🟨,
  • 35', Jimenez A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', 1 - 1, Rayan , Hill J. (A),
  • 65', Kroupi E. J. , Christie R. ,
  • 66', Buendia E. , Bailey L. ,
  • 77', Douglas Luiz , Barkley R. ,
  • 77', Sancho J. , Maatsen I. ,
  • 86', Digne L. , Bogarde L. ,
  • 86', Watkins O. , Abraham T. ,
  • 86', Jimenez A. , Smith A. ,
  • 87', Rayan , Brooks D. ,
  • 90', Evanilson , Unal E. ,

Chances of winning


Bournemouth
33.6%
Draw
26.6%
Aston Villa
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.7% 25% 40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1% 24.6% 41%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bournemouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Bournemouth - Aston Villa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.85
    (2.77)
    3.61
    (3.84)
    2.43
    (2.38)
    4%
    (4.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Bournemouth - Aston Villa?
    • Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Bournemouth will win (votes: 9 - 19.6%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 24 - 52.2%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 28.3%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 37.8%66.6%.
    • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 28 high ROI users predict this event. Bournemouth (votes: 4 - 14.3%). Aston Villa (votes: 15 - 53.6%). Tie (votes: 9 - 32.1%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
      • AH 0 - Bournemouth (2.09) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • DNB - Bournemouth (2.06) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
      • DC - Aston Villa (1.43) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
      • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
      • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
      • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 37 high ROI users predict this event. Bournemouth (votes: 9 - 24.3%). Aston Villa (votes: 19 - 51.4%). Tie (votes: 9 - 24.3%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 0.
    • Bournemouth is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Aston Villa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Bournemouth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Bournemouth: Adams T. (Knee Injury) Akinmboni M. (Muscle Injury) Doak B. (Hamstring Injury) Kluivert J. (Knee Injury) Soler J. (Injury) Tavernier M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Alysson (Injury) Garcia A. (Thigh Injury) Kamara B. (Knee Injury) McGinn J. (Knee Injury) Tielemans Y. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bournemouth: Brooks D. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Aston Villa: Watkins O. (Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1.1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bournemouth won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bournemouth - Aston Villa were as follows:
    09.11.2025 Aston Villa - Bournemouth 4:0
    10.05.2025 Bournemouth - Aston Villa 0:1
    26.10.2024 Aston Villa - Bournemouth 1:1
    21.04.2024 Aston Villa - Bournemouth 3:1
    03.12.2023 Bournemouth - Aston Villa 2:2
    Latest results of Bournemouth
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal30207359:223767
    2Manchester City29186559:273260
    3Manchester Utd29149651:401151
    4Aston Villa29156839:34551
    5Chelsea29139753:341948
    6Liverpool29146948:39948
    7Brentford291351144:40444
    8Everton291271034:33143
    9Bournemouth29913744:46-240
    10Fulham291241340:43-340
    11Sunderland291010930:34-440
    12Newcastle291161242:43-139
    13Brighton299101038:36237
    14Crystal Palace28981130:34-435
    15Leeds297101237:48-1131
    16Tottenham28781338:43-529
    17Nottingham29771528:43-1528
    18West Ham29771535:54-1928
    19Burnley29471832:58-2619
    20Wolves30372022:52-3016

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

    Which TV channels are streaming of Bournemouth - Aston Villa?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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