Mallorca vs Atlético Madrid: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish LaLiga Mallorca - Atlético Madrid
Result
1:1
21/09/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga - Round 5
  • Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)
Mallorca - Atlético Madrid - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.592.16
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
83% (326/392)88% (486/550)
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.592.16
xG on target (xGOT)
1.014.43
Total shots
812
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
39
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1531
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
614
Passes
83% (326/392)88% (486/550)
Long passes
53% (25/47)45% (21/47)
Passes in final third
76% (95/125)81% (163/202)
Crosses
24% (5/21)18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.071.02
Throw-ins
1424
Fouls
146
Tackles
85% (11/13)55% (6/11)
Duels won
4341
Clearances
3220
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
4.431.01
Goals prevented
3.430.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 14', Alvarez J. (Pen),
  • 36', Kumbulla M. , Torre P. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 63', Alvarez J. , Sorloth A. ,
  • 63', Simeone G. , Griezmann A. ,
  • 63', Raspadori G. , Molina N. ,
  • 67', Samu Costa , Sanchez A. ,
  • 68', Asano T. , Domenech M. ,
  • 68', Barrios P. , Gallagher C. ,
  • 73', Sorloth A. 🟥,
  • 75', Gonzalez N. , Ruggeri M. ,
  • 79', 0 - 1, Gallagher C. ,
  • 82', Morey Bauza M. , Virgili J. ,
  • 82', Morlanes M. , Prats A. ,
  • 85', 1 - 1, Muriqi V. , Virgili J. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2s4rhs42

Chances of winning


Mallorca
19.5%
Draw
27%
Atlético Madrid
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.8% 26.8% 54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7% 26.9% 54.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mallorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Mallorca - Atlético Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.92
    (5.1)
    3.5
    (3.58)
    1.79
    (1.76)
    4.8%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Mallorca - Atlético Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (55 of 61 users predict this - 90.16%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 82.69%97.63%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Madrid will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 0.
    • Recent form of Mallorca has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Atlético's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Mallorca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Atlético is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Mallorca: Llabres J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlético: Almada T. (Muscle Injury) Baena A. (Muscle Injury) Gimenez J. M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlético: Alvarez J. (Knee Injury) Cardoso J. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mallorca won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.7:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mallorca - Atlético Madrid were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Atlético Madrid - Mallorca 2:0
    10.11.2024 Mallorca - Atlético Madrid 0:1
    04.05.2024 Mallorca - Atlético Madrid 0:1
    25.11.2023 Atlético Madrid - Mallorca 1:0
    09.11.2022 Mallorca - Atlético Madrid 1:0
    Latest results of Mallorca
    15.09.2025 Espanyol - Mallorca 3:2
    30.08.2025 Real Madrid - Mallorca 2:1
    23.08.2025 Mallorca - Celta de Vigo 1:1
    16.08.2025 Mallorca - Barcelona 0:3
    09.08.2025 Mallorca - Hamburger SV 2:0
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Madrid870119:91021
    2Barcelona861122:91319
    3Villarreal851214:8616
    4Betis843113:8515
    5Atl. Madrid834115:10513
    6Sevilla841315:11413
    7Elche834111:9213
    8Ath Bilbao84139:9013
    9Espanyol833211:11012
    10Alaves83239:8111
    11Getafe83239:11-211
    12Osasuna83147:8-110
    13Levante822413:14-18
    14Rayo Vallecano82248:10-28
    15Valencia822410:14-48
    16Celta Vigo80627:10-36
    17R. Oviedo82064:14-106
    18Girona81345:17-126
    19Real Sociedad81257:12-55
    20Mallorca81257:13-65

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Mallorca - Atlético Madrid?
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