Mainz vs Eintracht Frankfurt: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German Bundesliga Mainz - Eintracht Frankfurt
Result
1:1
04/05/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 32
  • Referee: Petersen M. (Ger)
Mainz - Eintracht Frankfurt - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.471.38
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
81% (446/554)67% (208/311)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.471.38
xG on target (xGOT)
1.230.61
Total shots
128
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
238
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
81% (446/554)67% (208/311)
Long passes
46% (38/82)32% (24/76)
Passes in final third
71% (114/161)49% (38/77)
Crosses
25% (8/32)0% (0/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.120.47
Throw-ins
2226
Fouls
1010
Tackles
77% (10/13)67% (10/15)
Duels won
3955
Clearances
1950
Interceptions
1112
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.611.23
Goals prevented
-0.390.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', Kohr D. , Bell S. ,
  • 16', 0 - 1, Kristensen R. , Ekitike H. (A),
  • 25', da Costa D. , Widmer S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', 1 - 1, Burkardt J. , Hanche-Olsen A. (A),
  • 72', Amiri N. 🟨,
  • 74', Bahoya J. , Chaibi F. ,
  • 74', Knauff A. , Uzun C. Y. ,
  • 81', Caci A. , Hong Hyun-Seok ,
  • 81', Mwene P. , Weiper N. ,
  • 81', Lee Jae-Sung , Veratschnig N. ,
  • 85', Brown N. , Nkounkou N. ,
  • 90+3', Ekitike H. , Batshuayi M. ,

Chances of winning


Mainz 44.2%Draw 25.8%Eintracht Frankfurt 30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Mainz 41.7%Draw 26.1%Eintracht Frankfurt 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Mainz 41.7%Draw 26.1%Eintracht Frankfurt 32.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Eintracht Frankfurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Mainz - Eintracht Frankfurt Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.31)
    3.73
    (3.7)
    3.21
    (2.99)
    3.9%
    (3.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Mainz - Eintracht Frankfurt?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 1.
    • Mainz has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Eintracht has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Eintracht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Eintracht: Gotze M. (Thigh Injury) Kaua Santos (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mainz: Caci A. (Ankle Injury) Jenz M. (Hip Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mainz won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - Eintracht Frankfurt were as follows:
    21.12.2024 Eintracht Frankfurt - Mainz 1:3
    26.01.2024 Eintracht Frankfurt - Mainz 1:0
    27.08.2023 Mainz - Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1
    13.05.2023 Eintracht Frankfurt - Mainz 3:0
    13.11.2022 Mainz - Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1
    Latest results of Mainz
    26.04.2025 Bayern Munich - Mainz 3:0
    19.04.2025 Mainz - Wolfsburg 2:2
    12.04.2025 Hoffenheim - Mainz 2:0
    05.04.2025 Mainz - Holstein Kiel 1:1
    30.03.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Mainz 3:1
    Latest results of Eintracht Frankfurt
    German Bundesliga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 32237293:326176
    2Bayer Leverkusen ✔ 321911268:373168
    3Eintracht Frankfurt32168863:432056
    4Freiburg321571046:49-352
    5Dortmund321561164:491551
    6RB Leipzig321311851:45650
    7Mainz321391049:40948
    8Werder Bremen321381150:56-647
    9B. Monchengladbach321361355:54145
    10Stuttgart321281257:51644
    11Augsburg3211101134:45-1143
    12Wolfsburg321091353:52139
    13Union Berlin329101333:47-1437
    14St. Pauli32871726:37-1131
    15Hoffenheim327101544:62-1831
    16Heidenheim32752033:60-2726
    17Holstein Kiel32671948:75-2725
    18Bochum32572030:63-3322

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Bayer Leverkusen is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
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