Kashima Antlers vs Machida Zelvia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Kashima Antlers - Machida Zelvia
Result
1:0
03/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 14
Kashima Antlers - Machida Zelvia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.990.69
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
77% (301/393)71% (197/278)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.990.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.321.13
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1616
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
811
Passes
77% (301/393)71% (197/278)
Long passes
25% (14/57)33% (20/61)
Passes in final third
53% (42/79)56% (62/110)
Crosses
25% (3/12)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.85
Throw-ins
2629
Fouls
118
Tackles
67% (12/18)73% (11/15)
Duels won
5548
Clearances
4022
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
1.130.32
Goals prevented
1.13-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', Sekigawa I. , Kim Tae-Hyeon ,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Tagawa K. , Anzai K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Kuwayama K. , Oh Se-Hun ,
  • 46', Sento K. , Na Sang-Ho ,
  • 53', Kim Tae-Hyeon 🟨,
  • 60', Araki R. , Matsumura Y. ,
  • 60', Shibasaki G. , Chinen K. ,
  • 74', Shimoda H. , Shirasaki R. ,
  • 76', Tagawa K. , Leo Ceara ,
  • 82', Dresevic I. , Duke M. ,
  • 87', Cavric A. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Kashima Antlers
28.5%
Draw
31.8%
Machida Zelvia
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.2% 30.1% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2% 30.1% 33.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kashima Antlers's form might have worsened.
  • Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Machida Zelvia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kashima Antlers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Machida Zelvia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Kashima Antlers - Machida Zelvia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.28
    (2.6)
    2.96
    (3.12)
    2.38
    (2.8)
    6.3%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Kashima Antlers - Machida Zelvia?
    The most likely score is 0:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, Kashima has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Kashima: Morooka S. (Inactive) Shimoda Y. (Foot Injury) Tokuda H. (Broken ankle)
    • There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Narasaka T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R. (Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kashima won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kashima Antlers - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
    08.12.2024 Kashima Antlers - Machida Zelvia 3:1
    22.05.2024 Machida Zelvia - Kashima Antlers 2:0
    09.03.2024 Machida Zelvia - Kashima Antlers 1:0
    Latest results of Kashima Antlers
    Latest results of Machida Zelvia
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers17121427:121537
    2Kashiwa Reysol1796220:13733
    3Kyoto1894527:21631
    4Urawa Reds1785421:15629
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima1692516:12429
    6Kawasaki Frontale1566324:141024
    7Machida1773720:18224
    8Vissel Kobe1573516:14224
    9Gamba Osaka1772821:24-323
    10Shimizu S-Pulse1764721:20122
    11Cerezo Osaka1764724:24022
    12Okayama1764713:14-122
    13Avispa Fukuoka1764715:17-222
    14Shonan Bellmare1763812:20-821
    15Verdy1755712:18-620
    16FC Tokyo1654717:20-319
    17Yokohama FC1753911:17-618
    18Nagoya Grampus1745819:25-617
    19Albirex Niigata1627717:23-613
    20Yokohama F. Marinos1515911:23-128

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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