Lyon vs Castres: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby union French Top 14 Lyon - Castres
Lyon - Castres - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Result
34:19

When is the event taking place?

It is scheduled for 09/03/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Do you have any additional information?

  • FRANCE: TOP 14 - ROUND 18

What is the Probability of Winning?

Lyon 71.1%Draw 4.2%Castres 24.6%

Initially Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Lyon 66.7%Draw 6.1%Castres 27.3%

Our Initially ML Estimation

Lyon 72.5%Draw 5.6%Castres 25.1%

What is the Odds of Lyon - Castres?

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.29
(1.37)
21.4
(15)
3.72
(3.35)
9.5%
(9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 46.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
  • What is the prediction for the Lyon - Castres?
    The most likely score prediction is 27:20.
    What is the user predictions?
    User prediction is Lyon will win! (5 of 5 users predict this).
    Do you have any preview information?
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lyon won 2.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • In this match Lyon is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Lyon to win the game is with odds 1.33.
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Lyon won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 332-366.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lyon won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 163-134.
    How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Castres?
    Lyon has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
    How many head-to-head matches has Castres won against Lyon?
    Castres has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
    Who is the favorite in this match?
    Lyon is the certain favorite in this match.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lyon - Castres were as follows:
    02.12.2023 Castres - Lyon 29:14
    04.03.2023 Castres - Lyon 27:22
    05.11.2022 Lyon - Castres 26:20
    What were the latest results of Lyon in their previous matches?
    The latest results are as follows:
    02.03.2024 Aviron Bayonnais - Lyon 39:10
    24.02.2024 Lyon - Oyonnax Rugby 43:26
    17.02.2024 Lyon - La Rochelle 28:17
    03.02.2024 Clermont - Lyon 38:21
    27.01.2024 Lyon - Perpignan 36:24
    What were the latest results of Castres in their previous matches?
    The latest results are as follows:
    02.03.2024 Toulouse - Castres 33:6
    24.02.2024 Castres - Bordeaux Bègles 41:12
    18.02.2024 Castres - Toulon 25:17
    03.02.2024 Section Paloise - Castres 33:44
    27.01.2024 Castres - Clermont 20:23
    French Top 14 Table
    2023/24
    PlWDLPts
    1Stade Toulousain241608706:52174
    2Stade Francais Paris231517476:44667
    3Bordeaux Begles231409589:49263
    4RC Toulonnais2414010632:48663
    5Stade Rochelais2412012540:44660
    6Racing 922412012579:50757
    7Section Paloise2412012579:56156
    8Clermont2411211559:60456
    9USA Perpignan2412012573:63554
    10Castres Olympique2411013588:60754
    11Aviron Bayonnais2411013535:61452
    12Lyon2411013564:68551
    13Montpellier ✔ 248016486:57740
    14US Oyonnax ✔ 246117505:73030

          Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Top 14 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro D2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Montpellier is Top 14 (Relegation)
    US Oyonnax is Relegated to Pro D2
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