Derby County vs Luton Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English League Championship Derby County - Luton Town
Result
0:1
18/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Championship - Round 43
  • Referee: Linington J. (Eng)
Derby County - Luton Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.780.67
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
63% (192/307)56% (128/227)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.780.67
xG on target (xGOT)
0.540.53
Total shots
148
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
3820
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
139
Passes
63% (192/307)56% (128/227)
Long passes
41% (28/69)22% (13/58)
Passes in final third
61% (84/137)44% (35/80)
Crosses
17% (7/41)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.410.31
Fouls
913
Tackles
65% (11/17)63% (5/8)
Duels won
8362
Clearances Total
3081
Interceptions
43
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.530.54
Goals prevented
-0.470.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Alli M. ,
  • 15', Mendez-Laing N. , Jackson K. ,
  • 29', Langas S. 🟨,
  • 38', Morris C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 68', Alli M. 🟨,
  • 72', Dabo L. , Mengi T. ,
  • 73', Jones I. , Burke R. ,
  • 76', Langas S. , Goudmijn K. ,
  • 81', Clark J. , Nakamba M. ,
  • 81', Morris C. , Nordas L. ,
  • 90+3', Armstrong H. , Barkhuizen T. ,
  • 90+4', Alli M. , Chong T. ,
  • 90+5', Jackson K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Derby County 38.3%Draw 32.3%Luton Town 29.3%

Initially Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Derby County 44.1%Draw 28.2%Luton Town 27.7%

Our Initially ML Estimation

Derby County 43.2%Draw 28.8%Luton Town 28.3%

Derby County - Luton Town Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.48
(2.14)
2.95
(3.35)
3.25
(3.41)
5.1%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Derby County - Luton Town?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is Derby County will win! (34 of 41 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Derby won 1.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Derby will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Derby: Blackett-Taylor C. (Hamstring Injury) Brown D. (Hamstring Injury) Nelson C. (Knee Injury) Nyambe R. (Injury) Osborn B. (Hamstring Injury) Ozoh D. (Thigh Injury) Roofe K. (Hamstring Injury) Salvesen L. (Knee Injury) Ward J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Brown J. (Ankle Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Derby: Elder C. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There are questionable in Luton: Doughty A. (Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Derby won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:10 (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Luton Town were as follows:
    20.12.2024 Luton Town - Derby County 2:1
    Latest results of Derby County
    Latest results of Luton Town
    08.04.2025 Stoke City - Luton Town 1:1
    05.04.2025 Luton Town - Leeds United 1:1
    29.03.2025 Hull City - Luton Town 0:1
    15.03.2025 Luton Town - Middlesbrough 0:0
    English League Championship Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Leeds ✔ 442713489:296094
    2Burnley ✔ 442616261:154694
    3Sheffield Utd ✔ 442771060:352586
    4Sunderland ✔ 4421131058:411776
    5Bristol City4417161157:49867
    6Coventry441991662:57566
    7Middlesbrough441891764:541063
    8Millwall4417121545:46-163
    9Blackburn441881850:46462
    10West Brom4414181252:44860
    11Swansea441791848:52-460
    12Watford441682051:58-756
    13Sheffield Wed4415111858:67-956
    14Norwich4413141767:66153
    15QPR4413141752:58-653
    16Portsmouth4414102056:69-1352
    17Stoke4412141845:60-1550
    18Preston4410191545:55-1049
    19Oxford Utd4412131944:62-1849
    20Hull4412122043:52-948
    21Derby4412102247:56-946
    22Luton4412102241:64-2346
    23Cardiff449161946:69-2343
    24Plymouth4410132148:85-3743

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Leeds is Qualified for Premier League
    Burnley is Qualified for Premier League
    Sheffield Utd is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Sunderland is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs Semi~finals)
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