Result
3:2
02/02/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 17
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Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 14', 0 - 1, Lopes G. ⚽, Mendes L. (A),
- 16', 1 - 1, Davou S. ⚽,
- 27', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 52', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 62', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Lusitano GC
60.1% | Draw
24.6% | Serpa
15.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lusitano GC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lusitano GC's performance.Serpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Serpa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lusitano GC that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Serpa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lusitano GC - Serpa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.72) |
3.7 ↑
(3.48) |
5.93 ↑
(4.24) |
10%
(10.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
How many head-to-head matches has Lusitano GC won against Serpa?
Lusitano GC has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Serpa won against Lusitano GC?
Serpa has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lusitano GC - Serpa were as follows:
15.09.2024
Serpa
-
Lusitano GC
0:0
09.03.2024
Serpa
-
Lusitano GC
0:0
12.11.2023
Lusitano GC
-
Serpa
0:1
19.03.2023
Serpa
-
Lusitano GC
2:2
04.12.2022
Lusitano GC
-
Serpa
2:1
Latest results of Lusitano GC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | O Elvas CAD | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | Oriental | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Sintrense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Alverca B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Louletano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | GD Alcochetense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Juv. Evora | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Malveira | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Lagoa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Moncarapachense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Serpa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Portimonense B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Industria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 14 | Vasco da Gama | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
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