Los Angeles vs Atlanta United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Los Angeles - Atlanta United
Result
1:0
05/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Chapman A. (Usa)
Los Angeles - Atlanta United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.610.07
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
153
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
91
Passes
90% (562/626)88% (463/529)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.610.07
xG on target (xGOT)
0.980.01
Total shots
153
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
70
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
110
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
91
Touches in opposition box
281
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
79
Passes
90% (562/626)88% (463/529)
Long passes
42% (14/33)49% (20/41)
Passes in final third
77% (114/149)75% (88/117)
Crosses
27% (4/15)0% (0/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.260.23
Throw-ins
1315
Fouls
97
Tackles
47% (7/15)42% (8/19)
Duels won
3543
Clearances
1324
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.010.98
Goals prevented
0.01-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Segura E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Choiniere M. 🟨,
  • 65', Hollingshead R. , Smolyakov A. ,
  • 65', Choiniere M. , Moran A. ,
  • 72', Miranchuk Al. , Muyumba T. ,
  • 72', Thiare J. , Latte Lath E. ,
  • 78', Gregersen S. , Lobjanidze S. ,
  • 83', Segura E. , Ebobisse J. ,
  • 86', 1 - 0, Bouanga D. ,
  • 88', Delgado M. , Amaya F. ,
  • 90+1', Alzate S. , Leo Afonso ,
  • 90+1', Hernandez R. , Togashi C. ,
  • 90+3', Slisz B. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Los Angeles
70.3%
Draw
16.9%
Atlanta United
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.6% 23.4% 21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8% 22.1% 19.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Los Angeles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Los Angeles's performance.
  • Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlanta United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Los Angeles that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlanta United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Los Angeles - Atlanta United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.68)
    5.55
    (4)
    7.37
    (4.45)
    5.1%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Los Angeles - Atlanta United?
  • Users Predictions: Los Angeles will win (41 of 43 users predict this - 95.35%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 89.06%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Los Angeles will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
    • Los Angeles is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Los Angeles is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Atlanta has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Los Angeles may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Los Angeles is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Los Angeles: Holm O. T. (Leg Injury) Igor Jesus (Knee Injury) Long A. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Brennan L. (International duty) Edwards M. (Hamstring Injury) Fortune A. (Foot Injury) Reilly W. (Hamstring Injury)
    • We predict that Los Angeles will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Los Angeles won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Los Angeles - Atlanta United were as follows:
    25.05.2024 Atlanta United - Los Angeles 0:1
    07.06.2023 Los Angeles - Atlanta United 0:0
    Latest results of Los Angeles
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 34196964:412363
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 34189766:382863
    3Los Angeles FC ✔ 34179865:402560
    4Minnesota United ✔ 341610856:391758
    5Seattle Sounders ✔ 341510958:481055
    6Austin FC341381337:45-847
    7FC Dallas3411111252:55-344
    8Portland Timbers3411111241:48-744
    9Real Salt Lake341251738:49-1141
    10San Jose Earthquakes341181560:63-341
    11Colorado Rapids341181544:56-1241
    12Houston Dynamo349101543:56-1337
    13St. Louis City34881844:58-1432
    14Los Angeles Galaxy34791846:66-2030
    15Sporting Kansas City34772046:70-2428


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 34206857:352266
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 34205952:401265
    3Inter Miami ✔ 34198781:552665
    4Charlotte ✔ 341921355:46959
    5New York City ✔ 341751250:44656
    6Nashville SC341661258:451354
    7Columbus Crew341412855:51454
    8Chicago Fire341581168:60853
    9Orlando City341411963:511253
    10New York Red Bulls341271548:47143
    11New England Revolution34991644:51-736
    12Toronto FC346141437:44-732
    13CF Montreal346101834:60-2628
    14Atlanta Utd345131638:63-2528
    15DC United345111830:66-3626

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Seattle Sounders is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Los Angeles - Atlanta United?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT, TNT Sports
    australiaAustraliaSBS On Demand, SBS Viceland
    brazilBrazilHBO Max
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
    chileChileTNT Sports
    chinaChinaQQ Sports
    ecuadorEcuadorTNT
    germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
    indiaIndiaEurosport, JioTV app
    israelIsraelSport 3
    italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
    mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, HBO Max, TNT Sports
    paraguayParaguayTNT
    peruPeruTNT
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
    venezuelaVenezuelaTNT
    worldWorldApple TV, EA Sports FC
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