Los Angeles Galaxy vs Vancouver Whitecaps: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

04/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Dignity Health Sports Park (Carson, CA).

: MLS

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.50	0.52
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
12	6
Shots on target
8	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
6	7
Passes
90% (481/532)	90% (349/387)
Yellow Cards
1	6
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50	0.52
xG on target (xGOT)
2.44	0.23
Total shots
12	6
Shots on target
8	1
Shots off target
1	3
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
8	5
Shots outside the Box
4	1
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
6	7
Touches in opposition box
20	27
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
17	7
Passes
90% (481/532)	90% (349/387)
Long passes
67% (20/30)	57% (13/23)
Passes in final third
78% (87/111)	78% (91/116)
Crosses
43% (3/7)	21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.11	0.73
Throw-ins
21	15
Fouls
7	17
Tackles
61% (11/18)	85% (11/13)
Duels won
42	28
Clearances
17	13
Interceptions
9	4
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
0.23	2.44
Goals prevented
0.23	-0.56

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Matheus Nascimento ⚽,
18', Matheus Nascimento 🟨,
35', Laborda M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Laborda M. ↓, Nelson J. ↑,
55', Nelson J. 🟨,
60', 2 - 0, Paintsil J. ⚽, Reus M. (A), Gabriel Pec (A2)
72', Ocampo E. 🟨,
74', Veselinovic R. 🟨,
77', 3 - 0, Paintsil J. (Pen),
78', Ngando J. ↓, Utvik B. ↑,
78', Yamane M. ↓, Cuevas M. ↑,
78', Aude J. ↓, Nelson J. ↑,
78', Matheus Nascimento ↓, Sanabria L. ↑,
79', Rios D. ↓, Pierre N. ↑,
86', Utvik B. 🟨,
87', Reus M. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
90', Fagundez D. ↓, Parente I. ↑,
90', Vite P. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
90', Sabbi E. ↓, Kreilach D. ↑,
90+2', Nelson J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Los Angeles Galaxy
40.6%

Draw
26.8%

Vancouver Whitecaps
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

25.3%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

25.1%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Angeles Galaxy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Los Angeles Galaxy's performance.

Vancouver Whitecaps has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vancouver Whitecaps might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (-18.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Los Angeles Galaxy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vancouver Whitecaps than the current prediction. (+20.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vancouver Whitecaps could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Los Angeles Galaxy - Vancouver Whitecaps Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (4.27)	3.55 ↓ (3.73)	2.92 ↑ (1.79)	4.9% (6.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Los Angeles Galaxy - Vancouver Whitecaps?

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. LA Galaxy will win (votes: 32 - 69.6%). Vancouver will win (votes: 11 - 23.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for LA Galaxy: 56.3% – 82.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Los Angeles Galaxy will win (12 of 16 users predict this - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LA Galaxy won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in LA Galaxy: Puig R. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Vancouver: Adekugbe S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ahmed A. (Ankle Injury) Gauld R. (Knee Injury) Priso-Mbongue R. (Yellow Cards) White B. (International duty)
There are questionable in LA Galaxy: Berry M. (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Vancouver: Bovalina G. (Illness) Cubas A. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, LA Galaxy won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 32:34. (average 1.6:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, LA Galaxy won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 1.9:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Los Angeles Galaxy won against Vancouver Whitecaps?

Los Angeles Galaxy has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Vancouver Whitecaps won against Los Angeles Galaxy?

Vancouver Whitecaps has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Los Angeles Galaxy - Vancouver Whitecaps were as follows:

02.03.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps - Los Angeles Galaxy 2:1

21.09.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy - Vancouver Whitecaps 4:2

13.04.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps - Los Angeles Galaxy 1:3

30.07.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy - Vancouver Whitecaps 1:2

15.07.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps - Los Angeles Galaxy 4:2

Latest results of Los Angeles Galaxy

28.06.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy 1:1 ✺

25.06.2025 Colorado Rapids - Los Angeles Galaxy 2:0 ✺

14.06.2025 St. Louis City - Los Angeles Galaxy 3:3 ✺

31.05.2025 Los Angeles Galaxy - Real Salt Lake 2:0 ✺

28.05.2025 Los Angeles Galaxy - San Jose Earthquakes 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Vancouver Whitecaps

29.06.2025 Los Angeles - Vancouver Whitecaps 0:1 ✺

25.06.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps - San Diego 3:5 ✺

14.06.2025 Columbus Crew - Vancouver Whitecaps 2:1 ✺

08.06.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps - Seattle Sounders 3:0 ✺

01.06.2025 Cruz Azul - Vancouver Whitecaps 5:0 ✺

MLS Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	San Diego FC ✔	31	17	6	8	56:38	18	57
2	Vancouver Whitecaps ✔	29	16	7	6	56:31	25	55
3	Minnesota United ✔	31	15	9	7	51:36	15	54
4	Los Angeles FC ✔	29	14	8	7	57:37	20	50
5	Seattle Sounders	30	12	9	9	52:45	7	45
6	Austin FC	30	12	8	10	33:37	-4	44
7	Portland Timbers	30	11	9	10	38:40	-2	42
8	Colorado Rapids	31	11	6	14	41:52	-11	39
9	FC Dallas	30	9	10	11	45:49	-4	37
10	Houston Dynamo	31	9	9	13	40:49	-9	36
11	San Jose Earthquakes	31	9	8	14	56:58	-2	35
12	Real Salt Lake	30	10	4	16	32:45	-13	34
13	St. Louis City	31	7	7	17	39:52	-13	28
14	Sporting Kansas City	31	7	6	18	45:63	-18	27
15	Los Angeles Galaxy	30	4	9	17	37:61	-24	21

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Philadelphia Union ✔	31	18	6	7	50:33	17	60
2	FC Cincinnati ✔	31	18	4	9	47:39	8	58
3	Charlotte ✔	31	17	2	12	51:42	9	53
4	New York City ✔	30	16	5	9	46:35	11	53
5	Inter Miami	28	15	7	6	60:46	14	52
6	Orlando City	30	14	9	7	58:43	15	51
7	Nashville SC	31	15	5	11	52:38	14	50
8	Columbus Crew	31	13	11	7	51:47	4	50
9	Chicago Fire	30	13	6	11	57:53	4	45
10	New York Red Bulls	31	12	7	12	45:40	5	43
11	New England Revolution	31	8	8	15	39:45	-6	32
12	Toronto FC	30	5	12	13	30:37	-7	27
13	Atlanta Utd	30	5	12	13	37:55	-18	27
14	DC United	31	5	10	16	29:58	-29	25
15	CF Montreal	31	5	9	17	29:55	-26	24

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Clinched Spots for Teams

San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Los Angeles Galaxy - Vancouver Whitecaps?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Canada	RDS 2, RDS App, TSN 1, TSN 3
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC