New York Red Bulls vs Los Angeles Galaxy: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

10/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Red Bull Arena (Harrison, NJ).

: MLS
Referee: Gonzalez G. Jr. (Usa)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
3.28	1.77
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
20	16
Shots on target
12	6
Big Chances
8	3
Corner Kicks
2	6
Passes
87% (386/444)	84% (424/503)
Yellow Cards
2	5
Expected Goals (xG)
3.28	1.77
xG on target (xGOT)
5.49	0.72
Total shots
20	16
Shots on target
12	6
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked Shots
2	6
Shots inside the Box
13	10
Shots outside the Box
6	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
8	3
Corner Kicks
2	6
Touches in opposition box
24	26
Accurate through passes
3	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
17	7
Passes
87% (386/444)	84% (424/503)
Long passes
50% (18/36)	54% (27/50)
Passes in final third
69% (66/95)	75% (86/114)
Crosses
25% (2/8)	31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.64	1.28
Throw-ins
10	23
Fouls
7	17
Tackles
67% (6/9)	78% (14/18)
Duels won
46	37
Clearances
25	12
Interceptions
14	7
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	2
Goalkeeper Saves
6	5
xGOT faced
0.72	5.49
Goals prevented
0.72	-0.51

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Choupo-Moting E. M. ⚽,
10', Garces C. 🟨,
16', 2 - 0, Forsberg E. ⚽, Valencia O. (A),
31', 3 - 0, Choupo-Moting E. M. ⚽, Forsberg E. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Berry M. ↓, Cuevas M. ↑,
46', Nelson J. ↓, Sanabria L. ↑,
49', Aude J. 🟨,
50', 4 - 0, Forsberg E. ⚽,
64', Reus M. ↓, Wynder E. ↑,
64', Ramirez C. ↓, Matheus Nascimento ↑,
67', Carmona W. ↓, Harper C. ↑,
67', Sofo M. ↓, Gjengaar D. ↑,
67', Edelman D. ↓, Stroud P. ↑,
68', 5 - 0, Harper C. ⚽,
73', Cuevas M. 🟨,
74', Eile N. 🟨,
74', Nealis S. 🟨,
74', Cerrillo E. 🟨,
76', Choupo-Moting E. M. ↓, Bogacz W. ↑,
76', Forsberg E. ↓, Hall J. ↑,
78', Wynder E. 🟨,
81', Fagundez D. ↓, Lepley T. ↑,
88', 6 - 0, Gjengaar D. ⚽, Bogacz W. (A),
90+3', 7 - 0, Yamane M. (Own goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning

New York Red Bulls
47.7%

Draw
26.6%

Los Angeles Galaxy
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

25.5%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

25.2%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New York Red Bulls's form might have worsened.

Los Angeles Galaxy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New York Red Bulls, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

New York Red Bulls - Los Angeles Galaxy Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.78)	3.6 ↓ (3.73)	3.72 ↓ (4.48)	4.9% (5.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - Los Angeles Galaxy?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 50.6% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 2.
Recent performances by NY Red Bulls have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
LA Galaxy has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
LA Galaxy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, NY Red Bulls is a strong favorite.
There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Mitchell R. (Knee Injury) Morales M. (Thigh Injury) Morgan L. (Knee Injury) Nealis D. (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in LA Galaxy: Puig R. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Harper C. (Muscle Injury) Ngoma S. (Back Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 1.4:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has New York Red Bulls won against Los Angeles Galaxy?

New York Red Bulls has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Los Angeles Galaxy won against New York Red Bulls?

Los Angeles Galaxy has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - Los Angeles Galaxy were as follows:

07.12.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy - New York Red Bulls 2:1

Latest results of New York Red Bulls

06.05.2025 Colorado Springs Switchbacks - New York Red Bulls 1:4 ✺

03.05.2025 Inter Miami - New York Red Bulls 4:1 ✺

26.04.2025 New York Red Bulls - CF Montréal 1:0 ✺

19.04.2025 New York Red Bulls - DC United 1:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Orlando City - New York Red Bulls 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Los Angeles Galaxy

04.05.2025 Sporting Kansas City - Los Angeles Galaxy 1:0 ✺

27.04.2025 Los Angeles Galaxy - Portland Timbers 2:4 ✺

19.04.2025 Austin FC - Los Angeles Galaxy 1:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Los Angeles Galaxy - Houston Dynamo 1:1 ✺

08.04.2025 Tigres UANL - Los Angeles Galaxy 3:2 ✺

MLS Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	San Diego FC ✔	31	17	6	8	56:38	18	57
2	Vancouver Whitecaps ✔	30	16	8	6	57:32	25	56
3	Minnesota United ✔	31	15	9	7	51:36	15	54
4	Los Angeles FC ✔	29	14	8	7	57:37	20	50
5	Seattle Sounders	30	12	9	9	52:45	7	45
6	Austin FC	30	12	8	10	33:37	-4	44
7	Portland Timbers	31	11	10	10	39:41	-2	43
8	Colorado Rapids	31	11	6	14	41:52	-11	39
9	FC Dallas	30	9	10	11	45:49	-4	37
10	Houston Dynamo	31	9	9	13	40:49	-9	36
11	San Jose Earthquakes	31	9	8	14	56:58	-2	35
12	Real Salt Lake	30	10	4	16	32:45	-13	34
13	St. Louis City	31	7	7	17	39:52	-13	28
14	Sporting Kansas City	31	7	6	18	45:63	-18	27
15	Los Angeles Galaxy	30	4	9	17	37:61	-24	21

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Philadelphia Union ✔	31	18	6	7	50:33	17	60
2	FC Cincinnati ✔	31	18	4	9	47:39	8	58
3	Inter Miami ✔	29	16	7	6	64:46	18	55
4	Charlotte ✔	31	17	2	12	51:42	9	53
5	New York City ✔	31	16	5	10	46:39	7	53
6	Orlando City	30	14	9	7	58:43	15	51
7	Nashville SC	31	15	5	11	52:38	14	50
8	Columbus Crew	31	13	11	7	51:47	4	50
9	Chicago Fire	30	13	6	11	57:53	4	45
10	New York Red Bulls	31	12	7	12	45:40	5	43
11	New England Revolution	31	8	8	15	39:45	-6	32
12	Toronto FC	30	5	12	13	30:37	-7	27
13	Atlanta Utd	30	5	12	13	37:55	-18	27
14	DC United	31	5	10	16	29:58	-29	25
15	CF Montreal	31	5	9	17	29:55	-26	24

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Clinched Spots for Teams

San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of New York Red Bulls - Los Angeles Galaxy?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Usa	MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC