Paris FC vs Lorient: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

08/03/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stade Charlety (Paris).

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 26
Referee: Thual O. (Fra)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.04	2.25
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Goal Attempts
11	16
Shots on Goal
5	7
Shots off Goal
4	4
Blocked Shots
2	5
Big Chances
5	3
Corner Kicks
1	7
Shots inside the Box
8	8
Shots outside the Box
3	8
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Headed Goals
2	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	2
Free Kicks
17	17
Offsides
1	0
Fouls
17	17
Yellow Cards
4	2
Throw-ins
16	25
Touches in the Opposition Box
15	24
Passes
82% (357/437)	78% (291/373)
Passes in the final third
70% (68/97)	66% (65/99)
Crosses
25% (3/12)	27% (6/22)
Tackles
74% (17/23)	62% (13/21)
Clearances Total
19	11
Interceptions
10	8

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Cafaro M. ⚽, Dicko N. (A),
22', Kebbal I. 🟨,
25', Chergui S. 🟨,
25', 1 - 1, Soumano S. (Pen),
31', Cafaro M. 🟨,
35', 2 - 1, Krasso J. ⚽, Cafaro M. (A),
38', 3 - 1, Krasso J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', De Smet T. ↓, Ollila T. ↑,
53', Makengo J. ↓, Pagis P. ↑,
55', Cafaro M. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
61', Igor Silva 🟨,
65', Dicko N. ↓, Marchetti V. ↑,
71', 3 - 2, Kroupi E. J. (Pen),
72', Soumano S. ↓, Bamba M. ↑,
72', Katseris P. ↓, Mvuka Mugisha J. ↑,
75', Lopez J. 🟨,
79', Krasso J. ↓, Hamel P. ↑,
79', Kebbal I. ↓, Gory A. ↑,
87', Avom A. ↓, Fadiga B. ↑,
90+3', Pagis P. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yrmvtckt

Chances of winning

Paris FC
35%

Draw
32.5%

Lorient
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

32.2%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

32.5%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Paris FC - Lorient Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.64)	2.91 ↑ (2.88)	2.9 ↑ (2.85)	5.9% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

Watch this match and French Ligue 2 with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : beIN SPORTS 3

What is the prediction for Paris FC - Lorient?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Lorient will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 0.
At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
Lorient could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Gory A. (Injury) Gueye L. (Knee Injury) Tourraine M. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Lorient: Adjei N. (Ankle Injury) Diarra S. (Injury) Kalulu G. (Injury) Ponceau J. (Injury)
There are questionable in Paris FC: Camara A. (Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5:14 (average 0.7:2).
Including matches at home between the teams Paris FC won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Paris FC won against Lorient?

Paris FC has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lorient won against Paris FC?

Lorient has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Paris FC - Lorient were as follows:

14.12.2024 Lorient - Paris FC 2:0

Latest results of Paris FC

28.02.2025 Annecy - Paris FC 2:3 ✺

21.02.2025 Paris FC - Troyes 1:0 ✺

15.02.2025 Dunkerque - Paris FC 1:0 ✺

07.02.2025 Paris FC - Pau 3:1 ✺

01.02.2025 Guingamp - Paris FC 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Lorient

01.03.2025 Lorient - Rodez 3:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Lorient - Laval 0:1 ✺

14.02.2025 Troyes - Lorient 0:1 ✺

08.02.2025 Lorient - Amiens 3:1 ✺

01.02.2025 Red Star - Lorient 1:2 ✺

French Ligue 2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Pau FC	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
2	Troyes	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
3	Le Mans	1	0	1	0	3:3	0	1
4	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	3:3	0	1
5	Guingamp	1	0	1	0	3:3	0	1
6	Laval	1	0	1	0	3:3	0	1
7	Clermont	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
8	Dunkerque	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
9	Montpellier	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
10	Red Star	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
11	Nancy	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
12	Rodez	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
13	Amiens	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Bastia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Boulogne	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Reims	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Grenoble	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
18	Annecy	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0

      Promotion ~ Ligue 1
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Ligue 2 (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ National

Which TV channels are streaming of Paris FC - Lorient?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport 8
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV