Liverpool vs Real Madrid: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League
Soccer UEFA Champions League Liverpool - Real Madrid
Result
2:0
27/11/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
Liverpool - Real Madrid - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.531.29
Ball Possession
63%37%
Goal Attempts
1710
Shots on Goal
74
Shots off Goal
74
Blocked Shots
32
Free Kicks
1011
Corner Kicks
85
Offsides
12
Throw-ins
144
Goalkeeper Saves
45
Fouls
1110
Yellow Cards
34
Total Passes
613366
Completed Passes
560319
Crosses Completed
33
Interceptions
713

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Nunez D. 🟨,
  • 13', Asencio R. 🟨,
  • 18', Gravenberch R. 🟨,
  • 40', Mac Allister A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 52', 1 - 0, Mac Allister A. ⚽, Bradley C. (A),
  • 56', Guler A. ↓, Lucas ↑,
  • 56', Camavinga E. ↓, Ceballos D. ↑,
  • 61', Mbappe K. (Pen),
  • 67', Nunez D. ↓, Gakpo C. ↑,
  • 70', Mendy F. 🟨,
  • 70', Salah M. (Pen),
  • 71', Mendy F. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
  • 77', 2 - 0, Gakpo C. ⚽, Robertson A. (A),
  • 79', Modric L. ↓, Endrick ↑,
  • 80', Ceballos D. 🟨,
  • 83', Jones C. ↓, Szoboszlai D. ↑,
  • 87', Bradley C. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
  • 90', Endrick 🟨,

Chances of winning


Liverpool
53.4%		Draw
23.4%		Real Madrid
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.9% 24.7% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7% 23.3% 25.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Liverpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liverpool's performance.
  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
    •

    Liverpool - Real Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.81 ↓
    (2)    		 4.11 ↑
    (3.87)    		 4.13 ↑
    (3.48)    		 3.7%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : UniMas
    •
    What is the prediction for Liverpool - Real Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 119 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 75 - 63%). Real will win (votes: 25 - 21%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 16%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 54.3% – 71.7%. The data is statistically significant.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Liverpool won 0.
    • Liverpool in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Real is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recently Real have a series of home games.
    • In this match Liverpool is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Liverpool: Alisson (Hamstring Injury) Chiesa F. (Muscle Injury) Diogo Jota (Chest Injury) Tsimikas K. (Knock)
    • There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Knee Injury) Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Militao E. (Knee Injury) Rodrygo (Hamstring Injury) Vinicius Junior (Hamstring Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Liverpool to win the game is with odds 1.74.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Liverpool won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 4:17 (average 0.5:2.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Liverpool won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:9 (average 0.5:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Liverpool - Real Madrid were as follows:
    15.03.2023 Real Madrid - Liverpool 1:0
    21.02.2023 Liverpool - Real Madrid 2:5
    Latest results of Liverpool
    24.11.2024 Southampton - Liverpool 2:3 ✺
    09.11.2024 Liverpool - Aston Villa 2:0 ✺
    05.11.2024 Liverpool - Bayer Leverkusen 4:0 ✺
    02.11.2024 Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:1 ✺
    30.10.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion - Liverpool 2:3 ✺
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    24.11.2024 Leganés - Real Madrid 0:3 ✺
    09.11.2024 Real Madrid - Osasuna 4:0 ✺
    05.11.2024 Real Madrid - Milan 1:3 ✺
    26.10.2024 Real Madrid - Barcelona 0:4 ✺
    22.10.2024 Real Madrid - Borussia Dortmund 5:2 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF
    3ZalgirisHamrun
    4ByeDyn. Kyiv
    5PafosBye
    6ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9NoahBuducnost
    10ByeFerencvaros
    11Lech PoznanBye
    12EgnatiaBreidablik
    13FC CopenhagenBye
    14DritaDifferdange
    15RijekaBye
    16LudogoretsDin. Minsk
    17TNSShkendija
    18FCSBInter Escaldes
    19Slovan BratislavaBye
    20VirtusZrinjski
    21ShelbourneLinfield
    22ByeQarabag
    23KuPSMilsami
    24O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    27PlzenBye
    28ByeServette
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3Dyn. Kyiv
    3PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv
    4TBD #7Crvena zvezda
    5TBD #9Ferencvaros
    6Lech PoznanTBD #12
    7FC CopenhagenTBD #14
    8RijekaTBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10Slovan BratislavaTBD #20
    11TBD #21Qarabag
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13BrannSalzburg
    14PlzenServette
    15RangersPanathinaikos
    Which TV channels are streaming of Liverpool - Real Madrid?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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