Milan vs Liverpool: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League
Soccer UEFA Champions League Milan - Liverpool
Result
1:3
17/09/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Eskas E. (Nor)
Milan - Liverpool - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.602.64
Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
719
Shots on Goal
210
Shots off Goal
37
Blocked Shots
22
Free Kicks
1713
Corner Kicks
25
Offsides
34
Goalkeeper Saves
71
Fouls
911
Yellow Cards
22
Total Passes
486511
Completed Passes
400446
Tackles
1115
Attacks
83117
Dangerous Attacks
3558
Clearances Completed
117
Crosses Completed
55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Pulisic C. ⚽, Morata A. (A),
  • 22', Calabria D. 🟨,
  • 23', 1 - 1, Konate I. ⚽, Alexander-Arnold T. (A),
  • 31', Fofana Y. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 2, van Dijk V. ⚽, Tsimikas K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', Maignan M. ↓, Torriani L. ↑,
  • 53', Mac Allister A. 🟨,
  • 60', Fonseca P. 🟨,
  • 67', 1 - 3, Szoboszlai D. ⚽, Gakpo C. (A),
  • 68', Diogo Jota ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
  • 68', Gakpo C. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
  • 69', Loftus-Cheek R. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,
  • 69', Calabria D. ↓, Emerson Royal ↑,
  • 79', Alexander-Arnold T. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
  • 80', Konate I. 🟨,
  • 84', Morata A. ↓, Okafor N. ↑,
  • 84', Tomori F. ↓, Gabbia M. ↑,
  • 90+2', Mac Allister A. ↓, Endo W. ↑,
  • 90+2', Salah M. ↓, Chiesa F. ↑,

Chances of winning


Milan
26%		Draw
25.4%		Liverpool
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.2% 24.9% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2% 24.9% 50%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
    •

    Milan - Liverpool Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.71 ↓
    (3.82)    		 3.79 ↓
    (3.86)    		 1.98 ↑
    (1.92)    		 3.7%
    (4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Milan - Liverpool?
  • Users Predictions: Liverpool will win (87 of 106 users predict this - 82.08%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.78% – 89.38%. The data is statistically significant.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Milan is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Liverpool is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Liverpool will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Milan: Bennacer I. (Calf Injury) Florenzi A. (Knee Injury) Sportiello M. (Hand Injury) Thiaw M. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Liverpool: Elliott H. (Broken ankle)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Milan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-13.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Milan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Milan - Liverpool were as follows:
    16.12.2022 Liverpool - Milan 4:1
    Latest results of Milan
    14.09.2024 Milan - Venezia 4:0 ✺
    31.08.2024 Lazio - Milan 2:2 ✺
    24.08.2024 Parma - Milan 2:1 ✺
    17.08.2024 Milan - Torino 2:2 ✺
    13.08.2024 Milan - Monza 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Liverpool
    14.09.2024 Liverpool - Nottingham Forest 0:1 ✺
    01.09.2024 Manchester United - Liverpool 0:3 ✺
    25.08.2024 Liverpool - Brentford 2:0 ✺
    17.08.2024 Ipswich Town - Liverpool 0:2 ✺
    11.08.2024 Liverpool - Las Palmas 0:0 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF
    3ZalgirisHamrun
    4ByeDyn. Kyiv
    5PafosBye
    6ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9NoahBuducnost
    10ByeFerencvaros
    11Lech PoznanBye
    12EgnatiaBreidablik
    13FC CopenhagenBye
    14DritaDifferdange
    15RijekaBye
    16LudogoretsDin. Minsk
    17TNSShkendija
    18FCSBInter Escaldes
    19Slovan BratislavaBye
    20VirtusZrinjski
    21ShelbourneLinfield
    22ByeQarabag
    23KuPSMilsami
    24O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    27PlzenBye
    28ByeServette
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3Dyn. Kyiv
    3PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv
    4TBD #7Crvena zvezda
    5TBD #9Ferencvaros
    6Lech PoznanTBD #12
    7FC CopenhagenTBD #14
    8RijekaTBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10Slovan BratislavaTBD #20
    11TBD #21Qarabag
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13BrannSalzburg
    14PlzenServette
    15RangersPanathinaikos
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