Liverpool vs Atlético Madrid: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League Liverpool - Atlético Madrid
Result
3:2
17/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Champions League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
Liverpool - Atlético Madrid - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Liverpool - Atlético Madrid live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.600.61
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
89% (532/597)84% (390/464)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.600.61
xG on target (xGOT)
2.101.80
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
186
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
4325
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
97
Passes
89% (532/597)84% (390/464)
Long passes
54% (22/41)44% (24/54)
Passes in final third
80% (166/207)73% (97/132)
Crosses
29% (6/21)13% (3/23)
Expected assists (xA)
3.120.76
Throw-ins
1910
Fouls
79
Tackles
46% (6/13)71% (12/17)
Duels won
4741
Clearances
2626
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.802.10
Goals prevented
-0.200.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Robertson A. , Salah M. (A),
  • 6', 2 - 0, Salah M. , Gravenberch R. (A),
  • 31', Le Normand R. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 2 - 1, Llorente M. , Raspadori G. (A),
  • 45+4', Lenglet C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', Raspadori G. , Koke ,
  • 58', Frimpong J. , Bradley C. ,
  • 58', Isak A. , Ekitike H. ,
  • 58', Gakpo C. , Mac Allister A. ,
  • 61', Griezmann A. , Sorloth A. ,
  • 61', Gallagher C. , Molina N. ,
  • 70', Bradley C. 🟨,
  • 74', Wirtz F. , Ngumoha R. ,
  • 77', Gonzalez N. , Pubill M. ,
  • 81', 2 - 2, Llorente M. ,
  • 86', Robertson A. , Kerkez M. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 2, van Dijk V. , Szoboszlai D. (A),
  • 90+4', Simeone D. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Liverpool
61.7%
Draw
21.8%
Atlético Madrid
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.3% 23.4% 19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8% 22.8% 18.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Liverpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Liverpool - Atlético Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.66)
    4.36
    (4.08)
    5.68
    (4.93)
    4.2%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Liverpool - Atlético Madrid?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 23 high ROI users predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Atlético (votes: 2 - 8.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Liverpool will win (82 of 99 users predict this - 82.83%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.4%90.26%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Liverpool is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Atlético has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Liverpool may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Liverpool is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Liverpool: Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Chambers L. (Back Injury) Chiesa F. (Inactive) Jones C. (Injury) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlético: Almada T. (Muscle Injury) Alvarez J. (Knee Injury) Baena A. (Muscle Injury) Cardoso J. (Ankle Injury) Gimenez J. M. (Thigh Injury)
    • We predict that Liverpool will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    Latest results of Liverpool
    14.09.2025 Burnley - Liverpool 0:1
    31.08.2025 Liverpool - Arsenal 1:0
    15.08.2025 Liverpool - Bournemouth 4:2
    10.08.2025 Crystal Palace - Liverpool 3:2
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eintracht Frankfurt11005:143
    2PSG11004:043
    3Club Brugge KV11004:133
    4Sporting CP11004:133
    5Royale Union SG11003:123
    6Bayern Munich11003:123
    7Arsenal11002:023
    8Inter11002:023
    9Manchester City11002:023
    10Qarabag11003:213
    11Liverpool11003:213
    12Barcelona11002:113
    13Real Madrid11002:113
    14Tottenham11001:013
    15Dortmund10104:401
    16Juventus10104:401
    17Bayer Leverkusen10102:201
    18Bodo/Glimt10102:201
    19Slavia Prague10102:201
    20FC Copenhagen10102:201
    21Pafos10100:001
    22Olympiacos Piraeus10100:001
    23Atl. Madrid10012:3-10
    24Benfica10012:3-10
    25Marseille10011:2-10
    26Newcastle10011:2-10
    27Villarreal10010:1-10
    28Chelsea10011:3-20
    29PSV10011:3-20
    30Napoli10010:2-20
    31Ajax10010:2-20
    32Ath Bilbao10010:2-20
    33Monaco10011:4-30
    34Kairat Almaty10011:4-30
    35Galatasaray10011:5-40
    36Atalanta10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Liverpool - Atlético Madrid?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
    albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2
    azerbaijanAzerbaijanIctimai TV
    belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
    brazilBrazilHBO Max
    bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
    denmarkDenmarkTV3+, TV3 Puls, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
    europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2, V Sport Ultra
    franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
    georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 2
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3, Cosmote Sport 4K
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
    hungaryHungaryRTL+
    icelandIcelandSÝN Sport
    indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sony Sports TEN 4
    indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
    irelandIrelandRTE 2, RTE Player
    israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
    italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio, TV8
    japanJapanWowow Live
    kazakhstanKazakhstanKazakhstan TV
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 3, Sooka
    maldivesMaldivesMedianet
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
    mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports
    mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 1
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
    new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
    nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play
    peruPeruDisney+
    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1, CANAL+ Sport 5
    portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
    singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
    slovakiaSlovakiaKanal A, Voyo
    south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
    spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
    swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Ultra
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 2
    thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 1
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Extra
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaParamount+, SiriusXM FC, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
    worldWorldVIX App
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan