Lillestrøm SK vs Fredrikstad: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

21/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Åråsen Stadion (Lillestrøm).

: NM Cup - 1/8-finals

Match Stats


Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
11	9
Shots on target
5	4
Corner Kicks
9	4
Yellow Cards
3	2
Total shots
11	9
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
6	5
Corner Kicks
9	4
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Olsen T. ⚽, Drammeh S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Faraas B. ↓, Sorlokk S. ↑,
46', Begby L. ↓, Molde S. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Molde S. ⚽, Skogvold H. (A),
58', Tonnesen K. ↓, Elkaer F. ↑,
58', Asen G. ↓, Krygard K. ↑,
67', Sorlokk S. 🟨,
69', Foss S. 🟨,
71', Rafn S. ↓, Eid D. ↑,
74', Eid D. 🟨,
76', Shein R. R. ↓, Holten E. ↑,
76', Metcalfe P. ↓, Ohlenschlaeger O. ↑,
84', Karlsbakk M. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Fall F. ↓, Skaret B. ↑,
93', Elkaer F. 🟨,
101', Drammeh S. ↓, Adedeji J. ↑,
101', Larsson E. ↓, Ranger L. ↑,
106', Olsen T. ↓, Diop M. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 1)
1, Karlsbakk M. (Pen),
1, Holten E. (Pen),
2, Krygard K. (Pen),
2, Ohlenschlaeger O. (Pen),
3, Gabrielsen R. (Pen),
3, Eid D. (Pen),
4, Kitolano E. (Pen),
4, Sorlokk S. (Pen),

Chances of winning

Lillestrøm SK
38.2%

Draw
28.9%

Fredrikstad
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

26.8%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

27%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lillestrøm SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Fredrikstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fredrikstad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fredrikstad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lillestrøm SK - Fredrikstad Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.79)	3.21 ↓ (3.53)	2.83 ↑ (2.4)	7.4% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Lillestrøm SK - Fredrikstad?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lillestrøm (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lillestrøm won 1.
Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.
Recently, Fredrikstad has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lillestrøm won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.6:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Lillestrøm won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Lillestrøm SK won against Fredrikstad?

Lillestrøm SK has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Fredrikstad won against Lillestrøm SK?

Fredrikstad has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lillestrøm SK - Fredrikstad were as follows:

22.03.2025 Fredrikstad - Lillestrøm SK 1:0

20.10.2024 Fredrikstad - Lillestrøm SK 2:1

20.05.2024 Lillestrøm SK - Fredrikstad 0:3

27.01.2024 Lillestrøm SK - Fredrikstad 2:1

Latest results of Lillestrøm SK

16.05.2025 Lillestrøm SK - Kongsvinger 2:0 ✺

12.05.2025 Skeid - Lillestrøm SK 1:1 ✺

07.05.2025 Grorud - Lillestrøm SK 2:3 ✺

03.05.2025 Lillestrøm SK - Moss 3:0 ✺

27.04.2025 Lyn - Lillestrøm SK 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Fredrikstad

16.05.2025 Fredrikstad - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo 1:0 ✺

11.05.2025 Kristiansund - Fredrikstad 0:1 ✺

07.05.2025 Pors - Fredrikstad 1:3 ✺

27.04.2025 Haugesund - Fredrikstad 0:0 ✺

24.04.2025 Flint - Fredrikstad 0:5 ✺

Draw

2025

1/64-finals

1	NHHI	Sandviken	1 : 3
2	Volda TI	Sogndal	1 : 2
3	Elverum	SK Gjovik-Lyn	2 : 0
4	Ridabu	Kongsvinger	0 : 12
5	Melbo	Sortland	0 : 1
6	Ulfstind	Tromsdalen	0 : 3
7	Trygg/Lade	Strindheim	0 : 1
8	Rindal	Rosenborg	1 : 11
9	FK Kvik	Stjordals Blink	0 : 1
10	Sverresborg IF	Ranheim	2 : 4
11	Vindbjart	Jerv	0 : 3
12	Eiger	Egersund	1 : 7
13	Gamle Oslo	Valerenga	2 : 1
14	Sprint-Jeloy	Sarpsborg 08	0 : 4
15	Orn	Arendal	2 : 1
16	Teie	Sandefjord	0 : 5
17	Nordstrand	Ull/Kisa	3 : 4
18	Rollon	Aalesund	0 : 3
19	Junkeren	Harstad	2 : 1
20	Innstrandens	Bodo/Glimt	0 : 8
21	Oppsal	Kjelsas	0 : 1
22	Rade	Lyn	1 : 2
23	Frigg	Lorenskog	1 : 3
24	Lillehammer	HamKam	0 : 2
25	OS TF	Fana	4 : 2
26	Gneist	Lysekloster	0 : 2
27	Djerv 1919	Sotra	2 : 3
28	Askoy	Asane	1 : 5
29	Ullern	Follo	2 : 5
30	Kvik Halden	Moss	1 : 3
31	Brodd	Flekkeroy	1 : 3
32	Hana	Viking	0 : 6
33	Fram	Eik-Tonsberg	4 : 1
34	Notodden	Stabaek	0 : 3
35	Vidar	Sandnes	2 : 0
36	Nord	Haugesund	0 : 11
37	Bjorkelangen	Strommen	1 : 6
38	Brumunddal	Raufoss	1 : 4
39	Assiden	Mjondalen	1 : 4
40	Konnerud	Stromsgodset	0 : 5
41	Verdal	Levanger	0 : 8
42	Mosjoen	Rana FK	0 : 4
43	Spjelkavik	Traeff	0 : 2
44	Elnesvagen	Molde	0 : 7
45	Bjornevatn	Alta	0 : 11
46	Union Carl Berner	Skeid	0 : 3
47	Byasen	Nardo	3 : 5
48	Melhus	Kristiansund	1 : 5
49	Baerum Sportsklubb	Grorud	3 : 4
50	Brattvag	Hodd	1 : 2
51	Skedsmo	Eidsvold TF	0 : 5
52	Skjetten	Lillestrom	0 : 5
53	Honefoss	Pors	0 : 1
54	Vag	Start	2 : 4
55	Flint	Odd	3 : 2
56	Sarpsborg FK	Fredrikstad	0 : 4
57	Torvastad	V. Haugesund	2 : 0
58	Varhaug	Bryne	0 : 4
59	Fjora	Bjarg	1 : 3
60	Varegg	Brann	0 : 6
61	Skjervoy	Floya	2 : 1
62	Hamna	Tromso	0 : 10
63	Ready	Asker	4 : 3
64	Grei	KFUM Oslo	1 : 5

1/32-finals

1	Sandviken	Sogndal	0 : 4
2	Elverum	Kongsvinger	2 : 7
3	Sortland	Tromsdalen	0 : 5
4	Strindheim	Rosenborg	0 : 3
5	Stjordals Blink	Ranheim	1 : 2
6	Jerv	Egersund	0 : 1
7	Gamle Oslo	Sarpsborg 08	1 : 6
8	Orn	Sandefjord	0 : 2
9	Ull/Kisa	Aalesund	2 : 3
10	Junkeren	Bodo/Glimt	1 : 5
11	Kjelsas	Lyn	0 : 3
12	Lorenskog	HamKam	0 : 1
13	OS TF	Lysekloster	5 : 4
14	Sotra	Asane	0 : 2
15	Follo	Moss	2 : 3
16	Flekkeroy	Viking	0 : 3
17	Fram	Stabaek	0 : 4
18	Vidar	Haugesund	1 : 2
19	Strommen	Raufoss	2 : 1
20	Mjondalen	Stromsgodset	2 : 1
21	Levanger	Rana FK	1 : 2
22	Traeff	Molde	1 : 2
23	Alta	Skeid	3 : 0
24	Nardo	Kristiansund	1 : 4
25	Grorud	Hodd	3 : 1
26	Eidsvold TF	Lillestrom	0 : 2
27	Pors	Start	3 : 2
28	Flint	Fredrikstad	0 : 5
29	Torvastad	Bryne	1 : 2
30	Bjarg	Brann	0 : 2
31	Skjervoy	Tromso	0 : 1
32	Ready	KFUM Oslo	0 : 3

1/16-finals

1	Sogndal	Kongsvinger	3 : 4
2	Tromsdalen	Rosenborg	0 : 5
3	Ranheim	Egersund	2 : 3
4	Sarpsborg 08	Sandefjord	3 : 1
5	Aalesund	Bodo/Glimt	1 : 0
6	Lyn	HamKam	0 : 2
7	OS TF	Asane	1 : 4
8	Moss	Viking	0 : 1
9	Stabaek	Haugesund	2 : 1
10	Strommen	Mjondalen	1 : 3
11	Rana FK	Molde	0 : 4
12	Alta	Kristiansund	0 : 4
13	Grorud	Lillestrom	2 : 3
14	Pors	Fredrikstad	1 : 3
15	Bryne	Brann	2 : 1
16	Tromso	KFUM Oslo	0 : 1

1/8-finals

1	Kongsvinger	Rosenborg	2 : 3
2	Egersund	Sarpsborg 08	1 : 3
3	Aalesund	HamKam	3 : 2
4	Asane	Viking	0 : 7
5	Stabaek	Mjondalen	4 : 3
6	Molde	Kristiansund	3 : 4
7	Lillestrom	Fredrikstad	2 : 1
8	Bryne	KFUM Oslo	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Rosenborg	Sarpsborg 08
2	Aalesund	Viking
3	Stabaek	Kristiansund
4	Lillestrom	KFUM Oslo

Semi-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4

Final

1

TBD #1

TBD #2

Which TV channels are streaming of Lillestrøm SK - Fredrikstad?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Norway	NRK 3, NRK TV