Lille vs Real Madrid: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

02/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq).

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 2
Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.29	0.96
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Goal Attempts
7	13
Shots on Goal
3	6
Shots off Goal
3	4
Blocked Shots
1	3
Free Kicks
15	16
Corner Kicks
2	3
Offsides
2	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	2
Fouls
11	12
Yellow Cards
2	5
Total Passes
477	669
Completed Passes
402	591
Clearances Completed
9	10
Crosses Completed
2	4

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+3', 1 - 0, David J. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mendy F. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
46', Endrick 🟨,
57', Endrick ↓, Modric L. ↑,
57', Militao E. ↓, Mbappe K. ↑,
59', Camavinga E. 🟨,
67', Camavinga E. ↓, Guler A. ↑,
72', Cabella R. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
78', Bellingham J. 🟨,
79', Rudiger A. 🟨,
81', Modric L. 🟨,
88', Bakker M. ↓, Meunier T. ↑,
90+3', David J. 🟨,
90+6', Diakite B. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Lille
18.5%

Draw
23.1%

Real Madrid
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.4%

21.9%

61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5%

22.1%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Lille - Real Madrid Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.24 ↓ (5.85)	4.19 ↓ (4.36)	1.65 ↑ (1.55)	3.5% (4.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : UniMás

What is the prediction for Lille - Real Madrid?

Users Predictions: 143 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 5 - 3.5%). Real will win (votes: 134 - 93.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 2.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 89.7% – 97.7%. The data is statistically significant.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

Lille is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Real in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Real is a favorite.
There will not play in Lille: Gomes A. (Red Card) Haraldsson H. (Leg Injury) Ismaily (Injury) Mbappe E. (Muscle Injury) Mukau N. (Ankle Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Knee Injury) Ceballos D. (Ankle Injury) Courtois T. (Muscle Injury) Diaz B. (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Real: Mbappe K. (Hamstring Injury)
Recently, the teams did not play each other.

How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Real Madrid?

Lille has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Lille?

Real Madrid has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Real Madrid were as follows:

Latest results of Lille

28.09.2024 Le Havre - Lille 0:3 ✺

21.09.2024 Lille - Strasbourg 3:3 ✺

17.09.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Lille 2:0 ✺

13.09.2024 Saint-Étienne - Lille 1:0 ✺

01.09.2024 Lille - Paris Saint-Germain 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Real Madrid

29.09.2024 Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid 1:1 ✺

24.09.2024 Real Madrid - Deportivo Alavés 3:2 ✺

21.09.2024 Real Madrid - Espanyol 4:1 ✺

17.09.2024 Real Madrid - Stuttgart 3:1 ✺

14.09.2024 Real Sociedad - Real Madrid 0:2 ✺

UEFA Champions League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	8:2	6	6
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	7:1	6	6
3	PSG	2	2	0	0	6:1	5	6
4	Inter	2	2	0	0	5:0	5	6
5	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
6	Qarabag	2	2	0	0	5:2	3	6
7	Dortmund	2	1	1	0	8:5	3	4
8	Manchester City	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4
9	Tottenham	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
10	Atl. Madrid	2	1	0	1	7:4	3	3
11	Newcastle	2	1	0	1	5:2	3	3
12	Marseille	2	1	0	1	5:2	3	3
13	Club Brugge KV	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
14	Sporting CP	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
15	Eintracht Frankfurt	2	1	0	1	6:6	0	3
16	Barcelona	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
17	Liverpool	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
18	Chelsea	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
19	Napoli	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
20	Royale Union SG	2	1	0	1	3:5	-2	3
21	Galatasaray	2	1	0	1	2:5	-3	3
22	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	2:5	-3	3
23	Juventus	2	0	2	0	6:6	0	2
24	Bodo/Glimt	2	0	2	0	4:4	0	2
25	Bayer Leverkusen	2	0	2	0	3:3	0	2
26	Villarreal	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
27	PSV	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
28	FC Copenhagen	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
29	Olympiacos Piraeus	2	0	1	1	0:2	-2	1
30	Monaco	2	0	1	1	3:6	-3	1
31	Slavia Prague	2	0	1	1	2:5	-3	1
32	Pafos	2	0	1	1	1:5	-4	1
33	Benfica	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	0
34	Ath Bilbao	2	0	0	2	1:6	-5	0
35	Ajax	2	0	0	2	0:6	-6	0
36	Kairat Almaty	2	0	0	2	1:9	-8	0

Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Lille - Real Madrid?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Afghanistan	Asr TV, Meraj Sport
Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	FOX Sports 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 4
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN Premium
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	C+ France, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1, Silk Sport 3
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 1
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio, TV8
Japan	Wowow Live
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Caliente TV
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan
North-central-america	ESPN Norte
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Canal+ Extra 2
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-africa	SuperSport PSL
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Futbol TV
Turkey	TRT Spor
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, Sport 24 International, TNT Sports 5, Virgin Media More
Usa	Paramount+, Sport 24 At Sea, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Uzbekistan	Zor TV
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app