Lille vs Nice: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 1 Lille - Nice
Result
2:1
17/01/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 18
  • Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
Lille - Nice - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.022.87
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
1111
Shots on Goal
43
Shots off Goal
55
Blocked Shots
23
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
77
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
Free Kicks
1313
Offsides
10
Fouls
1313
Yellow Cards
13
Throw-ins
2221
Touches in the Opposition Box
2422
Passes
86% (446/517)80% (330/411)
Passes in the final third
78% (118/152)66% (62/94)
Crosses
56% (9/16)19% (4/21)
Tackles
45% (10/22)87% (13/15)
Clearances Total
3023
Interceptions
1416

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', Rosario P. , Ndombele T. ,
  • 29', 0 - 1, Diop S. ,
  • 34', Andre B. 🟨,
  • 42', Clauss J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Cabella R. , Sahraoui O. ,
  • 48', 1 - 1, Haraldsson H. , David J. (A),
  • 63', 2 - 1, Diakite B. ,
  • 74', Gomes A. , Mukau N. ,
  • 77', Abdi A. , Bard M. ,
  • 77', Laborde G. , Moukoko Y. ,
  • 77', Diop S. , Bouanani B. ,
  • 78', Cho M. , Nguene B. ,
  • 80', Bakker M. , Bouaddi A. ,
  • 84', Boudaoui H. 🟨,
  • 88', Ndombele T. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Haraldsson H. , Mandi A. ,

Chances of winning


Lille
44.1%
Draw
28.4%
Nice
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.8% 24.4% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6% 24.5% 21.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lille's form might have worsened.
  • Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nice's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lille, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lille - Nice Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (1.77)
    3.35
    (3.9)
    3.49
    (4.37)
    4.8%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS
  • What is the prediction for Lille - Nice?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lille won 0.
    • Lille is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Nice is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recently opponents have a series of guest games.
    • Lille will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Lille: Bentaleb N. (Heart Problems) Fernandez-Pardo M. (Ankle Injury) Mbappe E. (Muscle Injury) Santos T. (Knee Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury) Zhegrova E. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Nice: Boga J. (Muscle Injury) Bombito M. (Groin Injury) Moffi T. (Knee Injury) Orakpo V. (Groin Injury) Sanson M. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Lille won 4 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 23:26 (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lille won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:14 (average 1.3:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Nice were as follows:
    10.11.2024 Nice - Lille 2:2
    19.05.2024 Lille - Nice 2:2
    11.08.2023 Nice - Lille 1:1
    29.01.2023 Nice - Lille 1:0
    31.08.2022 Lille - Nice 1:2
    Latest results of Lille
    10.01.2025 Auxerre - Lille 0:0
    04.01.2025 Lille - Nantes 1:1
    20.12.2024 Rouen FC - Lille 0:1
    Latest results of Nice
    14.01.2025 Bastia - Nice 0:1
    11.01.2025 Reims - Nice 2:4
    03.01.2025 Nice - Rennes 3:2
    21.12.2024 Corte - Nice 1:2
    15.12.2024 Montpellier - Nice 2:2
    Draw
    Relegation - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1ReimsBye
    3MetzBye
    4DunkerqueGuingamp1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1ReimsBye
    2MetzDunkerque1 : 0

    Final
    1ReimsMetz
    Which TV channels are streaming of Lille - Nice?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, VOOsport World 3
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1, Moja TV
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
    chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport+
    franceFranceDAZN 1, DAZN France
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
    greeceGreeceSKAI
    indiaIndiaGXR World
    israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
    mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    polandPolandEleven Sports 3
    portugalPortugalSport TV2
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    spainSpainbeIN Sports
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
    worldWorldDisney+
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