Lens vs Lille: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 1 Lens - Lille
Result
3:0
20/09/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 5
  • Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)
Lens - Lille - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.531.76
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1517
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
73
Corner Kicks
410
Passes
79% (257/327)84% (451/538)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
3.531.76
xG on target (xGOT)
3.740.95
Total shots
1517
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
28
Shots inside the Box
1013
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
73
Corner Kicks
410
Touches in opposition box
2140
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1117
Passes
79% (257/327)84% (451/538)
Long passes
43% (21/49)52% (23/44)
Passes in final third
69% (60/87)72% (103/143)
Crosses
25% (4/16)23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.261.06
Throw-ins
1821
Fouls
1711
Tackles
57% (12/21)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4951
Clearances
2918
Interceptions
198
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.953.74
Goals prevented
0.950.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 18', Perraud R. , Verdonk C. ,
  • 28', 1 - 0, Said W. ,
  • 36', Verdonk C. 🟨,
  • 43', 2 - 0, Thauvin F. , Said W. (A),
  • 45+1', Mandi A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Correia F. , Sahraoui O. ,
  • 52', 3 - 0, Fofana R. ,
  • 59', Haraldsson H. , Mukau N. ,
  • 69', Fofana R. , Edouard O. ,
  • 69', Aguilar R. , Abdulhamid S. ,
  • 74', Said W. , Guilavogui M. ,
  • 77', Bentaleb N. , Mbappe E. ,
  • 77', Giroud O. , Igamane H. ,
  • 83', Udol M. 🟨,
  • 86', Sangare M. , Sylla F. ,
  • 86', Thauvin F. , Sotoca F. ,
  • 90+5', Mbemba Ch. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lens
45.5%
Draw
27.6%
Lille
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.5% 27.5% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5% 28.9% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lens's performance.
  • Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lille might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Lens - Lille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.4)
    3.62
    (3.45)
    3.79
    (2.87)
    0%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Lens - Lille?
  • Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Lens will win (votes: 3 - 9.4%). Lille will win (votes: 23 - 71.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 56.3%87.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lille will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lens won 0.
    • Recent performances by Lens have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Lille is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Lens: Jhoanner Chavez (Ankle Injury) Machado D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lille: Alexsandro (Thigh Injury) Meunier T. (Groin Injury) Raghouber U. (Injury) Toure O. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Lens won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 0.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lens won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lens - Lille were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Lille - Lens 1:0
    26.10.2024 Lens - Lille 0:2
    29.03.2024 Lille - Lens 2:1
    08.10.2023 Lens - Lille 1:1
    04.03.2023 Lens - Lille 1:1
    Latest results of Lens
    14.09.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Lens 2:0
    29.08.2025 Lens - Brest 3:1
    24.08.2025 Le Havre - Lens 1:2
    16.08.2025 Lens - Lyon 0:1
    09.08.2025 Lens - RB Leipzig 2:1
    Latest results of Lille
    14.09.2025 Lille - Toulouse 2:1
    30.08.2025 Lorient - Lille 1:7
    24.08.2025 Lille - Monaco 1:0
    17.08.2025 Brest - Lille 3:3
    09.08.2025 West Ham United - Lille 1:1
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG440010:3712
    2Monaco540113:7612
    3Lyon54017:3412
    4Strasbourg54018:5312
    5Lille531113:8510
    6Lens53028:539
    7Rennes52217:8-18
    8Marseille42029:456
    9Toulouse52037:9-26
    10Auxerre52034:6-26
    11Paris FC52039:12-36
    12Nice52036:9-36
    13Angers51223:4-15
    14Brest51139:11-24
    15Le Havre51136:8-24
    16Nantes51133:5-24
    17Lorient51136:13-74
    18Metz50145:13-81

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Lens - Lille?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, StarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
    albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 4
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Play Sports 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Nova Sport, Play Diema Xtra
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    europeEuropeTV5 Monde Europe
    finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
    franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
    israelIsrael5 STARS Israel
    italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kosovoKosovoART Sport 2
    mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    peruPeruDisney+
    philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play
    polandPolandEleven Sports 2
    portugalPortugalSport TV3
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport 2, Okko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South, TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
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