Universidad Católica vs Libertad Asuncion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Copa Sudamericana Universidad Católica - Libertad Asuncion
Result
1:1
24/07/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Rojas A. (Col)
Universidad Católica - Libertad Asuncion - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Goal Attempts
126
Shots on Goal
24
Shots off Goal
102
Free Kicks
109
Corner Kicks
73
Offsides
42
Throw-ins
1228
Goalkeeper Saves
31
Fouls
712
Yellow Cards
03
Attacks
124110
Dangerous Attacks
4835

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Fajardo J. , Nieto L. (A),
  • 12', Melgarejo L. 🟨,
  • 42', Caballero H. 🟨,
  • 45', Bareiro A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 67', Santa C. R. , Cardozo O. ,
  • 67', Lezcano R. , Silva A. ,
  • 73', Nieto L. , Cifuentes J. ,
  • 76', Anangono G. , Diaz M. ,
  • 80', Rodriguez A. , Vivar J. ,
  • 80', Loor L. , Castillo Saa J. L. ,
  • 86', Melgarejo L. , Piris I. ,
  • 89', Bareiro A. , Aguilar G. ,
  • 89', Sanabria L. , Cardozo Lucena A. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 1, Cardozo O. , Aguilar G. (A),

Chances of winning


Universidad Católica
62.7%
Draw
22.5%
Libertad Asuncion
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.6% 29.1% 21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 25.5% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad Católica's performance.
  • Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Libertad Asuncion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-19.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad Católica that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Libertad Asuncion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Universidad Católica - Libertad Asuncion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.85)
    4.18
    (3.15)
    6.34
    (4.3)
    6.5%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Universidad Católica - Libertad Asuncion?
  • Users Predictions: Universidad Católica will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.76%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Universidad Católica won 0.
    • Recent matches Universidad Católica is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Libertad in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • In this match Universidad Católica is a favorite.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Universidad Católica won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7-16.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Universidad Católica won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica - Libertad Asuncion were as follows:
    17.07.2024 Libertad Asuncion - Universidad Católica 2:0
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Independiente640216:61012
    2Guarani62229:12-38
    3Boston River621312:14-27
    4Nacional Potosi62138:13-57


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. Catolica642012:5714
    2Cerro Largo62135:8-37
    3Vitoria61323:4-16
    4Defensa y Justicia60424:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Huracan642011:2914
    2America De Cali61506:428
    3Corinthians62225:508
    4Racing Montevideo60153:14-111


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Godoy Cruz633010:5512
    2Gremio63308:4412
    3Grau60425:9-44
    4Sp. Luqueno60244:9-52


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mushuc Runa651012:4816
    2Palestino63039:909
    3Cruzeiro61235:7-25
    4Union de Santa Fe61142:8-64


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fluminense641111:2913
    2Once Caldas64028:6212
    3U. Espanola61236:7-15
    4GV San Jose61145:15-104


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lanus63309:4512
    2Vasco62228:808
    3FBC Melgar62135:10-57
    4Puerto Cabello61238:805


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cienciano624012:6610
    2Atletico-MG623111:659
    3Caracas62229:11-28
    4Deportes Iquique61147:16-94

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Universidad Católica - Libertad Asuncion?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaESPN 2
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports 3
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaMoja TV
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV
    chileChileESPN 2
    colombiaColombiaESPN 2
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1
    georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
    indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
    israelIsraelSport 3
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    portugalPortugalSport TV1, Sport TV2
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    spainSpainbeIN Sports
    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV
    worldWorldAmazon Prime Video, Disney+, Fanatiz
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