Leyton Orient vs Derby County: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

14/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Brisbane Road (London).

ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/32-finals
Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)

Match Stats


Ball Possession
50%	50%
Goal Attempts
11	11
Shots on Goal
1	6
Shots off Goal
6	4
Blocked Shots
4	1
Corner Kicks
6	5
Shots inside the Box
5	6
Shots outside the Box
6	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
5	0
Free Kicks
17	16
Offsides
3	4
Fouls
16	17
Yellow Cards
4	1
Red Cards
1	0
Throw-ins
20	32

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Kelman C. ⚽, Perkins S. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Brown D. ⚽, Harness M. (A),
43', Pratley D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Thompson L. ↓, Adams E. ↑,
46', Phillips N. ↓, Elder C. ↑,
62', Pratley D. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
68', Blackett-Taylor C. ↓, Barkhuizen T. ↑,
68', Brown D. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
71', Jaiyesimi D. ↓, James T. ↑,
74', Donley J. 🟨,
75', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Collins J. ↑,
82', Galbraith E. ↓, Sweeney J. ↑,
84', Adams E. 🟨,
90+2', Clare S. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
100', Simpson J. ↓, Cooper B. ↑,
101', Perkins S. ↓, Obiero Z. ↑,
113', Clare S. 🟨,
Penalties (6 - 5)
1, Collins J. (Pen),
1, Donley J. (Pen),
2, Goudmijn K. (Pen),
2, James T. (Pen),
3, Harness M. (Pen),
3, Brown J. (Pen),
4, Jackson K. (Pen),
4, Cooper B. (Pen),
5, Barkhuizen T. (Pen),
5, Kelman C. (Pen),
6, Elder C. (Pen),
6, Obiero Z. (Pen),

Chances of winning

Leyton Orient
40.6%

Draw
28.3%

Derby County
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

28.5%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

28.6%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leyton Orient's performance.

Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derby County might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leyton Orient that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derby County could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leyton Orient - Derby County Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (3.11)	3.3 ↓ (3.31)	3 ↑ (2.29)	7.1% (6.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Leyton Orient - Derby County?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Leyton Orient will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Derby will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 30.4% – 86.2%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Leyton Orient in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Derby is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Our prediction for today's Leyton Orient to win the game is with odds 2.8.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:6 (average 0:3).
Including matches at home between the teams Leyton Orient won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

How many head-to-head matches has Leyton Orient won against Derby County?

Leyton Orient has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Leyton Orient?

Derby County has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Leyton Orient - Derby County were as follows:

13.04.2024 Derby County - Leyton Orient 3:0

09.12.2023 Leyton Orient - Derby County 0:3

Latest results of Leyton Orient

04.01.2025 Leyton Orient - Shrewsbury Town 1:0 ✺

01.01.2025 Bristol Rovers - Leyton Orient 2:3 ✺

29.12.2024 Leyton Orient - Cambridge United 2:0 ✺

26.12.2024 Leyton Orient - Crawley Town 3:0 ✺

21.12.2024 Barnsley - Leyton Orient 0:4 ✺

Latest results of Derby County

04.01.2025 Bristol City - Derby County 1:0 ✺

01.01.2025 Sheffield Wednesday - Derby County 4:2 ✺

29.12.2024 Derby County - Leeds United 0:1 ✺

26.12.2024 Derby County - West Bromwich Albion 2:1 ✺

20.12.2024 Luton Town - Derby County 2:1 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/8-finals

1	AFC Fylde	Bye
2	Warrington	Bamber Bridge	0 : 3
3	Silsden	Bootle	2 : 4, 0 : 0
4	Bye	Darlington
5	AFC Telford	Bye
6	Bye	Kidderminster
7	Kidsgrove	Racing Club Warwick	1 : 2
8	Evesham	Bromsgrove	5 : 2
9	Macclesfield	Bye
10	Atherton R.	Atherton	5 : 2
11	Avro	Nantwich	0 : 2, 1 : 1
12	Trafford	Stockton	2 : 1
13	Sutton Coldfield	Abbey Hulton	3 : 2, 2 : 2
14	Hanley Town	Stourbridge	0 : 2
15	Bourne	Shepshed	1 : 2, 0 : 0
16	Stamford	Coventry Sphinx	1 : 0
17	Kendal	Dunston	0 : 1
18	Wombwell Town	Stocksbridge	1 : 3
19	Corby	Gainsborough	1 : 2
20	Rushall	Atherstone	5 : 1
24	Bye	Hartlepool
25	Carlisle	Bye
32	Bye	Boston Utd
33	Rochdale	Bye
40	Bye	York City
41	Pickering Town	Redcar Athletic	5 : 2
42	West D. & C.	Runcorn Linnets	0 : 2
43	Hallam	Ashton Utd	0 : 2, 2 : 2
44	Bye	Scarborough
45	Newcastle Blue Star	Heaton Stannington	1 : 0
46	Bye	Marine
47	Buxton	Bye
48	Redditch	Skegness Town	5 : 0
49	Morecambe	Bye
53	Workington	Stalybridge	2 : 3
54	Bye	Chester
55	Curzon Ashton	Bye
56	Hebburn Town	Longridge Town	1 : 0
57	South Shields	Bye
58	Warrington Rylands	Guiseley	1 : 4
59	Widnes	Congleton (WO.)
60	Bye	Chorley
61	Ilkeston	Spalding United	1 : 2
62	Bye	Alfreton
63	Bedford	Bye
64	Bye	Dag & Red
65	Tamworth	Bye
69	Hyde	Prescot	1 : 0, 2 : 2
70	Lancaster	Whitby	1 : 2
71	Matlock	Bottesford	4 : 1
72	Carlton Town	Cleethorpes	3 : 0
73	Scunthorpe	Bye
77	Redbridge	Royston	1 : 2
78	Brentwood	Leighton Town	2 : 1
79	Chesham	Bye
80	Bye	Kingu2019s Lynn
81	Eastwood Community	Grimsby Borough	1 : 2
82	Halesowen	Stratford	3 : 0, 1 : 1
83	Sudbury	Mildenhall	4 : 0
84	Aveley	Hashtag	3 : 0
88	Bye	Gateshead
89	West Auckland	Wythenshawe FC	3 : 1
90	Bye	Spennymoor
91	Rossington Main	FC United	0 : 4
92	Bishop Auckland	Chadderton	1 : 3
93	Coleshill	Worcester Raiders	2 : 1
94	Hednesford	Basford	3 : 1
95	Billericay	Barton	4 : 1
96	Berkhamsted	St. Ives	2 : 0
97	Morpeth	Pontefract	2 : 1
98	Witton	Shildon	3 : 0, 3 : 3
99	Radcliffe	Bye
100	Bye	Southport
104	Bye	FC Halifax
105	Altrincham	Bye
109	Harborough	Leek	3 : 0, 0 : 0
110	Bye	Worksop
111	Peterborough Sports	Bye
112	Bye	Hornchurch
113	Bishops Cleeve	Wimborne	2 : 5
114	Bye	Bath
115	Burnham FC	Jersey Bulls	0 : 3
116	Bye	Worthing
120	Bye	Forest Green
121	Haverhill	Waltham Abbey	0 : 3
122	March Town	Gorleston	1 : 3
123	Maldon & Tiptree	Canvey	2 : 0
124	Stanway	Cockfosters	2 : 1
125	Tower Hamlets	Ascot	4 : 1
126	Flackwell	Lewes	2 : 1
127	Bracknell	Dartford	2 : 0, 2 : 2
128	Tadley	Weymouth	4 : 2
129	Woking	Bye
136	Bye	Brackley Town
137	Wealdstone	Bye
141	Dulwich Hamlet	Whitstable Town	2 : 3
142	Havant & W	Chichester	0 : 1
143	Hungerford	AFC Stoneham	3 : 0
144	Tavistock	Swindon S	1 : 4
145	Cray Wanderers	Hanwell Town	0 : 1, 2 : 2
146	Bedfont Sports	Littlehampton	4 : 3
147	Uxbridge	Welling	1 : 2
148	Bye	Slough
149	Enfield FC	Ilford	3 : 1
150	Bye	Enfield Town
151	Quorn	Sherwood Colliery	8 : 0
152	Long Eaton	Kettering	1 : 4
153	Winchester	Fareham	0 : 1, 0 : 0
154	Fairford	Sholing	0 : 2
155	Eastbourne Boro	Bye
156	Epsom	Risborough	2 : 1
160	Bye	Boreham Wood
161	Merthyr Town	Bye
162	Royal Wootton	Torpoint	1 : 3
163	Hampton & Richmond	Bye
164	Sittingbourne	Croydon Ath.	1 : 2
168	Bye	Eastleigh
169	Southend	Bye
173	Westfield	Sheppey United	2 : 0
174	Bye	Horsham FC
175	Folkestone	Sevenoaks	3 : 0
176	Bye	Maidstone
177	Ebbsfleet	Bye
178	Ashford Town	Whyteleafe	3 : 2
179	Maidenhead	Bye
180	Faversham	Hastings	3 : 0, 2 : 2
184	Bye	Solihull Moors
185	Braintree	Bye
189	Westbury United	Yate Town	3 : 2, 2 : 2
190	Bye	Oxford City
191	Farnborough	Bye
192	Bye	Dover
193	Chertsey	Thame	2 : 1
194	Ramsgate	Cray Valley	1 : 2
195	Steyning Town	Lancing	5 : 0
196	Bye	Tonbridge
197	Raynes Park Vale	Ashford U.	0 : 2
198	Chatham	Marlow	4 : 0
199	Deal	Cobham	2 : 0
200	Beckenham	Egham	2 : 3
201	Gosport	Basingstoke	2 : 1
202	Didcot	Poole	1 : 2, 1 : 1
203	Tiverton	Taunton	3 : 4
204	Bye	Weston-super-Mare
205	Needham Market	Tilbury	4 : 2
206	Eynesbury	Arlesey	3 : 1
207	Histon	Mulbarton Wanderers	2 : 3
208	Witham	Lowestoft	3 : 2
209	Hemel Hempstead	Bye
210	Real Bedford	Bishop's Stortford	0 : 1, 1 : 1
211	Boston Town	Sporting Khalsa	0 : 2, 1 : 1
212	Bye	Hereford
216	Bye	Yeovil
217	Cheshunt	Leiston	1 : 2
218	Knaphill	Hackney Wick	1 : 2
219	Worcester	Chasetown	2 : 3, 1 : 1
220	Mangotsfield	Banbury	0 : 1
221	Brightlingsea	Bury Town	2 : 3
222	Newmarket	Woodford Town	2 : 3
223	Potters Bar	Hitchin	0 : 2, 2 : 2
224	Aylesbury Vale	St. Albans	1 : 3
225	Alvechurch	Barwell	4 : 2
226	Bye	Leamington
227	Chelmsford	Bye
228	Bowers & Pitsea	Hertford	1 : 2
229	Hayes & Yeading	Whitehawk	2 : 3, 1 : 1
230	Three Bridges	Walton & Hersham	0 : 2
231	Gloucester	Portchester	2 : 0, 1 : 1
232	Bye	Chippenham
233	AFC Totton	Bye
234	Bye	Torquay
235	Shaftesbury Town	Exmouth Town	2 : 0, 1 : 1
236	Plymouth Parkway	Frome	0 : 4
240	Bye	Truro
241	Salisbury	Bye
242	Hythe & Dibden	Laverstock & Ford	1 : 2
243	Dorking	Bye
244	Carshalton	Wingate & Finchley	2 : 3, 0 : 0
248	Bye	Aldershot
249	Wokingham	Burgess Hill	1 : 5
250	Erith Town	Farnham	0 : 3
251	Falmouth Town	Brixham	0 : 5
252	Slimbridge	Dorchester	0 : 1
256	Bye	Sutton

Quarter-finals

1	AFC Fylde	Bamber Bridge	4 : 1
2	Bootle	Darlington	1 : 3
3	AFC Telford	Kidderminster	3 : 1
4	Racing Club Warwick	Evesham	0 : 1, 3 : 3
5	Macclesfield	Atherton R.	3 : 0
6	Nantwich	Trafford	3 : 1
7	Sutton Coldfield	Stourbridge	3 : 1
8	Shepshed	Stamford	0 : 2
9	Dunston	Stocksbridge	1 : 0
10	Gainsborough	Rushall	2 : 1
12	Bye	Hartlepool
13	Carlisle	Bye
16	Bye	Boston Utd
17	Rochdale	Bye
20	Bye	York City
21	Pickering Town	Runcorn Linnets	0 : 2
22	Ashton Utd	Scarborough	2 : 0
23	Newcastle Blue Star	Marine	0 : 2
24	Buxton	Redditch	3 : 0
25	Morecambe	Bye
27	Stalybridge	Chester	1 : 2
28	Curzon Ashton	Hebburn Town	4 : 1
29	South Shields	Guiseley	2 : 1
30	Congleton	Chorley	0 : 1
31	Spalding United	Alfreton	3 : 0
32	Bedford	Dag & Red	0 : 1, 1 : 1
33	Tamworth	Bye
35	Hyde	Whitby	2 : 0
36	Matlock	Carlton Town	3 : 0
37	Scunthorpe	Bye
39	Royston	Brentwood	1 : 0
40	Chesham	Kingu2019s Lynn	1 : 4
41	Grimsby Borough	Halesowen	1 : 6, 1 : 1
42	Sudbury	Aveley	1 : 2
44	Bye	Gateshead
45	West Auckland	Spennymoor	0 : 1
46	FC United	Chadderton	0 : 1
47	Coleshill	Hednesford	0 : 7
48	Billericay	Berkhamsted	3 : 0
49	Morpeth	Witton	2 : 1
50	Radcliffe	Southport	2 : 3, 1 : 1
52	Bye	FC Halifax
53	Altrincham	Bye
55	Harborough	Worksop	3 : 2
56	Peterborough Sports	Hornchurch	2 : 1
57	Wimborne	Bath	2 : 1
58	Jersey Bulls	Worthing	0 : 5, 2 : 2
60	Bye	Forest Green
61	Waltham Abbey	Gorleston	2 : 0
62	Maldon & Tiptree	Stanway	2 : 0
63	Tower Hamlets	Flackwell	0 : 2
64	Bracknell	Tadley	2 : 0
65	Woking	Bye
68	Bye	Brackley Town
69	Wealdstone	Bye
71	Whitstable Town	Chichester	1 : 0, 1 : 1
72	Hungerford	Swindon S	3 : 0
73	Hanwell Town	Bedfont Sports	0 : 1
74	Welling	Slough	0 : 1, 1 : 1
75	Enfield FC	Enfield Town	0 : 3
76	Quorn	Kettering	2 : 1
77	Fareham	Sholing	0 : 3
78	Eastbourne Boro	Epsom	4 : 0
80	Bye	Boreham Wood
81	Merthyr Town	Torpoint	4 : 0
82	Hampton & Richmond	Croydon Ath.	4 : 2
84	Bye	Eastleigh
85	Southend	Bye
87	Westfield	Horsham FC	0 : 6, 2 : 2
88	Folkestone	Maidstone	2 : 0
89	Ebbsfleet	Ashford Town	5 : 0
90	Maidenhead	Faversham	0 : 1
92	Bye	Solihull Moors
93	Braintree	Bye
95	Westbury United	Oxford City	3 : 2
96	Farnborough	Dover	4 : 1
97	Chertsey	Cray Valley	2 : 3
98	Steyning Town	Tonbridge	1 : 6, 2 : 2
99	Ashford U.	Chatham	0 : 3
100	Deal	Egham	2 : 1
101	Gosport	Poole	0 : 3
102	Taunton	Weston-super-Mare	0 : 3, 1 : 1
103	Needham Market	Eynesbury	4 : 2
104	Mulbarton Wanderers	Witham	0 : 2, 0 : 0
105	Hemel Hempstead	Bishop's Stortford	4 : 1
106	Sporting Khalsa	Hereford	2 : 3
108	Bye	Yeovil
109	Leiston	Hackney Wick	4 : 1
110	Chasetown	Banbury	1 : 2, 0 : 0
111	Bury Town	Woodford Town	0 : 1, 1 : 1
112	Hitchin	St. Albans	1 : 2
113	Alvechurch	Leamington	3 : 0
114	Chelmsford	Hertford	6 : 0
115	Whitehawk	Walton & Hersham	0 : 2
116	Gloucester	Chippenham	1 : 2
117	AFC Totton	Torquay	2 : 0
118	Shaftesbury Town	Frome	1 : 2, 1 : 1
120	Bye	Truro
121	Salisbury	Laverstock & Ford	4 : 1
122	Dorking	Wingate & Finchley	7 : 2
124	Bye	Aldershot
125	Burgess Hill	Farnham	1 : 3
126	Brixham	Dorchester	1 : 3
128	Bye	Sutton

Semi-finals

1	AFC Fylde	Darlington	1 : 3, 2 : 2
2	AFC Telford	Evesham	4 : 1
3	Macclesfield	Nantwich	2 : 0
4	Sutton Coldfield	Stamford	0 : 1
5	Dunston	Gainsborough	1 : 2
6	Bye	Hartlepool
7	Carlisle	Bye
8	Bye	Boston Utd
9	Rochdale	Bye
10	Bye	York City
11	Runcorn Linnets	Ashton Utd	2 : 1, 1 : 1
12	Marine	Buxton	2 : 3
13	Morecambe	Bye
14	Chester	Curzon Ashton	5 : 1
15	South Shields	Chorley	4 : 1
16	Spalding United	Dag & Red	2 : 1
17	Tamworth	Bye
18	Hyde	Matlock	1 : 0
19	Scunthorpe	Bye
20	Royston	Kingu2019s Lynn	1 : 5
21	Halesowen	Aveley	0 : 1, 0 : 0
22	Bye	Gateshead
23	Spennymoor	Chadderton	3 : 0
24	Hednesford	Billericay	0 : 2, 0 : 0
25	Morpeth	Southport	1 : 3
26	Bye	FC Halifax
27	Altrincham	Bye
28	Harborough	Peterborough Sports	4 : 1
29	Wimborne	Worthing	0 : 3
30	Bye	Forest Green
31	Waltham Abbey	Maldon & Tiptree	2 : 4
32	Flackwell	Bracknell	3 : 0, 1 : 1
33	Woking	Bye
34	Bye	Brackley Town
35	Wealdstone	Bye
36	Whitstable Town	Hungerford	2 : 0
37	Bedfont Sports	Slough	1 : 2
38	Enfield Town	Quorn	5 : 1
39	Sholing	Eastbourne Boro	1 : 2
40	Bye	Boreham Wood
41	Merthyr Town	Hampton & Richmond	0 : 1
42	Bye	Eastleigh
43	Southend	Bye
44	Horsham FC	Folkestone	2 : 3
45	Ebbsfleet	Faversham	2 : 1
46	Bye	Solihull Moors
47	Braintree	Bye
48	Westbury United	Farnborough	0 : 1
49	Cray Valley	Tonbridge	0 : 5, 0 : 0
50	Chatham	Deal	3 : 1
51	Poole	Weston-super-Mare	0 : 2
52	Needham Market	Witham	2 : 1
53	Hemel Hempstead	Hereford	3 : 0, 2 : 2
54	Bye	Yeovil
55	Leiston	Banbury	0 : 3
56	Woodford Town	St. Albans	0 : 1
57	Alvechurch	Chelmsford	1 : 2
58	Walton & Hersham	Chippenham	0 : 2
59	AFC Totton	Frome	4 : 2
60	Bye	Truro
61	Salisbury	Dorking	2 : 4, 1 : 1
62	Bye	Aldershot
63	Farnham	Dorchester	3 : 0
64	Bye	Sutton

Final

1	Darlington	AFC Telford	0 : 6
2	Macclesfield	Stamford	1 : 0
3	Gainsborough	Hartlepool	1 : 1
4	Carlisle	Boston Utd	5 : 2
5	Rochdale	York City	1 : 2
6	Runcorn Linnets	Buxton	0 : 1
7	Morecambe	Chester	1 : 1
8	South Shields	Spalding United	4 : 0
9	Tamworth	Hyde	1 : 0
10	Scunthorpe	Kingu2019s Lynn	4 : 2
11	Aveley	Gateshead	0 : 3
12	Spennymoor	Billericay	1 : 0
13	Southport	FC Halifax	1 : 3
14	Altrincham	Harborough	2 : 2
15	Worthing	Forest Green
16	Maldon & Tiptree	Flackwell	1 : 0
17	Woking	Brackley Town	1 : 1
18	Wealdstone	Whitstable Town	5 : 1
19	Slough	Enfield Town	3 : 2
20	Eastbourne Boro	Boreham Wood	0 : 3
21	Hampton & Richmond	Eastleigh	0 : 2
22	Southend	Folkestone	4 : 1
23	Ebbsfleet	Solihull Moors	2 : 0
24	Braintree	Farnborough	2 : 0
25	Tonbridge	Chatham	1 : 3
26	Weston-super-Mare	Needham Market	1 : 0
27	Hemel Hempstead	Yeovil	2 : 1
28	Banbury	St. Albans	1 : 1
29	Chelmsford	Chippenham	4 : 3
30	AFC Totton	Truro	1 : 1
31	Dorking	Aldershot	2 : 3
32	Farnham	Sutton	3 : 3

Which TV channels are streaming of Leyton Orient - Derby County?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Australia	Optus Sport
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	Sportsnet Now Plus
China	Migu
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Iceland	Viaplay
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Philippines	beIN Connect
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Daystar Pacific, Disney+