Leyton Orient vs Derby County: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English FA Cup Leyton Orient - Derby County
Result
2:1 penalties
14/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/32-finals
  • Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)
Leyton Orient - Derby County - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
1111
Shots on Goal
16
Shots off Goal
64
Blocked Shots
41
Corner Kicks
65
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
50
Free Kicks
1716
Offsides
34
Fouls
1617
Yellow Cards
41
Red Cards
10
Throw-ins
2032

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Kelman C. , Perkins S. (A),
  • 24', 1 - 1, Brown D. , Harness M. (A),
  • 43', Pratley D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Thompson L. , Adams E. ,
  • 46', Phillips N. , Elder C. ,
  • 62', Pratley D. , Brown J. ,
  • 68', Blackett-Taylor C. , Barkhuizen T. ,
  • 68', Brown D. , Jackson K. ,
  • 71', Jaiyesimi D. , James T. ,
  • 74', Donley J. 🟨,
  • 75', Mendez-Laing N. , Collins J. ,
  • 82', Galbraith E. , Sweeney J. ,
  • 84', Adams E. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Clare S. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 100', Simpson J. , Cooper B. ,
  • 101', Perkins S. , Obiero Z. ,
  • 113', Clare S. 🟨,
  • Penalties (6 - 5)
  • 1, Collins J. (Pen),
  • 1, Donley J. (Pen),
  • 2, Goudmijn K. (Pen),
  • 2, James T. (Pen),
  • 3, Harness M. (Pen),
  • 3, Brown J. (Pen),
  • 4, Jackson K. (Pen),
  • 4, Cooper B. (Pen),
  • 5, Barkhuizen T. (Pen),
  • 5, Kelman C. (Pen),
  • 6, Elder C. (Pen),
  • 6, Obiero Z. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Leyton Orient
40.6%
Draw
28.3%
Derby County
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.3% 28.5% 41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2% 28.6% 41.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leyton Orient's performance.
  • Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derby County might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leyton Orient that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derby County could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Leyton Orient - Derby County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (3.11)
    3.3
    (3.31)
    3
    (2.29)
    7.1%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Leyton Orient - Derby County?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Leyton Orient will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Derby will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 30.4%86.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Leyton Orient in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Derby is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Our prediction for today's Leyton Orient to win the game is with odds 2.8.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:6 (average 0:3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Leyton Orient won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leyton Orient - Derby County were as follows:
    13.04.2024 Derby County - Leyton Orient 3:0
    09.12.2023 Leyton Orient - Derby County 0:3
    Latest results of Leyton Orient
    Latest results of Derby County
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1Rossington MainFC United0 : 4
    2Bishop AucklandChadderton1 : 3
    3MacclesfieldBye
    4Atherton R.Atherton5 : 2
    5Curzon AshtonBye
    6Hebburn TownLongridge Town1 : 0
    7WorkingtonStalybridge2 : 3
    8ByeChester
    9WidnesCongleton (WO.)
    10ByeChorley
    11SilsdenBootle2 : 4, 0 : 0
    12ByeDarlington
    13RadcliffeBye
    14ByeSouthport
    15West AucklandWythenshawe FC3 : 1
    16ByeSpennymoor
    17HydePrescot1 : 0, 2 : 2
    18LancasterWhitby1 : 2
    19South ShieldsBye
    20Warrington RylandsGuiseley1 : 4
    21KendalDunston0 : 1
    22Wombwell TownStocksbridge1 : 3
    23Pickering TownRedcar Athletic5 : 2
    24West D. & C.Runcorn Linnets0 : 2
    25AFC FyldeBye
    26WarringtonBamber Bridge0 : 3
    27AvroNantwich0 : 2, 1 : 1
    28TraffordStockton2 : 1
    29Newcastle Blue StarHeaton Stannington1 : 0
    30ByeMarine
    31MorpethPontefract2 : 1
    32WittonShildon3 : 0, 3 : 3
    33HallamAshton Utd2 : 2
    34ByeScarborough
    35KidsgroveRacing Club Warwick1 : 2
    36EveshamBromsgrove5 : 2
    37WorcesterChasetown2 : 3, 1 : 1
    38MangotsfieldBanbury0 : 1
    39AFC TelfordBye
    40ByeKidderminster
    41AlvechurchBarwell4 : 2
    42ByeLeamington
    43BourneShepshed1 : 2, 0 : 0
    44StamfordCoventry Sphinx1 : 0
    45CorbyGainsborough1 : 2
    46RushallAtherstone5 : 1
    47Boston TownSporting Khalsa0 : 2, 1 : 1
    48ByeHereford
    49ColeshillWorcester Raiders2 : 1
    50HednesfordBasford3 : 1
    51BuxtonBye
    52RedditchSkegness Town5 : 0
    53IlkestonSpalding United1 : 2
    54ByeAlfreton
    55QuornSherwood Colliery8 : 0
    56Long EatonKettering1 : 4
    57MatlockBottesford4 : 1
    58Carlton TownCleethorpes3 : 0
    59HarboroughLeek3 : 0, 0 : 0
    60ByeWorksop
    61Eastwood CommunityGrimsby Borough1 : 2
    62HalesowenStratford3 : 0, 1 : 1
    63Sutton ColdfieldAbbey Hulton3 : 2, 2 : 2
    64Hanley TownStourbridge0 : 2
    65RedbridgeRoyston1 : 2
    66BrentwoodLeighton Town2 : 1
    67BrightlingseaBury Town2 : 3
    68NewmarketWoodford Town2 : 3
    69Potters BarHitchin0 : 2, 2 : 2
    70Aylesbury ValeSt. Albans1 : 3
    71CheshuntLeiston1 : 2
    72KnaphillHackney Wick1 : 2
    73HistonMulbarton Wanderers2 : 3
    74WithamLowestoft3 : 2
    75BedfordBye
    76ByeDag & Red
    77Enfield FCIlford3 : 1
    78ByeEnfield Town
    79CheshamBye
    80ByeKingu2019s Lynn
    81ChelmsfordBye
    82Bowers & PitseaHertford1 : 2
    83SudburyMildenhall4 : 0
    84AveleyHashtag3 : 0
    85Hemel HempsteadBye
    86Real BedfordBishop's Stortford0 : 1, 1 : 1
    87Peterborough SportsBye
    88ByeHornchurch
    89Needham MarketTilbury4 : 2
    90EynesburyArlesey3 : 1
    91HaverhillWaltham Abbey0 : 3
    92March TownGorleston1 : 3
    93Maldon & TiptreeCanvey2 : 0
    94StanwayCockfosters2 : 1
    95BillericayBarton4 : 1
    96BerkhamstedSt. Ives2 : 0
    97Raynes Park ValeAshford U.0 : 2
    98ChathamMarlow4 : 0
    99UxbridgeWelling1 : 2
    100ByeSlough
    101FolkestoneSevenoaks3 : 0
    102ByeMaidstone
    103FarnboroughBye
    104ByeDover
    105DorkingBye
    106CarshaltonWingate & Finchley2 : 3, 0 : 0
    107Eastbourne BoroBye
    108EpsomRisborough2 : 1
    109WokinghamBurgess Hill1 : 5
    110Erith TownFarnham0 : 3
    111Burnham FCJersey Bulls0 : 3
    112ByeWorthing
    113Cray WanderersHanwell Town0 : 1, 2 : 2
    114Bedfont SportsLittlehampton4 : 3
    115ChertseyThame2 : 1
    116RamsgateCray Valley1 : 2
    117WestfieldSheppey United2 : 0
    118ByeHorsham FC
    119BracknellDartford2 : 0, 2 : 2
    120TadleyWeymouth4 : 2
    121Hayes & YeadingWhitehawk1 : 1
    122Three BridgesWalton & Hersham0 : 2
    123MaidenheadBye
    124FavershamHastings3 : 0, 2 : 2
    125EbbsfleetBye
    126Ashford TownWhyteleafe3 : 2
    127Tower HamletsAscot4 : 1
    128FlackwellLewes2 : 1
    129DealCobham2 : 0
    130BeckenhamEgham2 : 3
    131Dulwich HamletWhitstable Town2 : 3
    132Havant & WChichester0 : 1
    133Hampton & RichmondBye
    134SittingbourneCroydon Ath.1 : 2
    135Steyning TownLancing5 : 0
    136ByeTonbridge
    137WinchesterFareham0 : 1, 0 : 0
    138FairfordSholing0 : 2
    139TivertonTaunton3 : 4
    140ByeWeston-super-Mare
    141Bishops CleeveWimborne2 : 5
    142ByeBath
    143Falmouth TownBrixham0 : 5
    144SlimbridgeDorchester0 : 1
    145GloucesterPortchester2 : 0, 1 : 1
    146ByeChippenham
    147SalisburyBye
    148Hythe & DibdenLaverstock & Ford1 : 2
    149GosportBasingstoke2 : 1
    150DidcotPoole1 : 2, 1 : 1
    151AFC TottonBye
    152ByeTorquay
    153HungerfordAFC Stoneham3 : 0
    154TavistockSwindon S1 : 4
    155Merthyr TownBye
    156Royal WoottonTorpoint1 : 3
    157Westbury UnitedYate Town3 : 2, 2 : 2
    158ByeOxford City
    159Shaftesbury TownExmouth Town1 : 1
    160Plymouth ParkwayFrome0 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1FC UnitedChadderton
    2MacclesfieldAtherton R.
    3Curzon AshtonHebburn Town
    4StalybridgeChester
    5CongletonChorley
    6BootleDarlington
    7RadcliffeSouthport
    8West AucklandSpennymoor
    9HydeWhitby
    10South ShieldsGuiseley
    11DunstonStocksbridge
    12Pickering TownRuncorn Linnets
    13AFC FyldeBamber Bridge
    14NantwichTrafford
    15Newcastle Blue StarMarine
    16MorpethWitton
    17TBD #33Scarborough
    18Racing Club WarwickEvesham
    19ChasetownBanbury
    20AFC TelfordKidderminster
    21AlvechurchLeamington
    22ShepshedStamford
    23GainsboroughRushall
    24Sporting KhalsaHereford
    25ColeshillHednesford
    26BuxtonRedditch
    27Spalding UnitedAlfreton
    28QuornKettering
    29MatlockCarlton Town
    30HarboroughWorksop
    31Grimsby BoroughHalesowen
    32Sutton ColdfieldStourbridge
    33RoystonBrentwood
    34Bury TownWoodford Town
    35HitchinSt. Albans
    36LeistonHackney Wick
    37Mulbarton WanderersWitham
    38BedfordDag & Red
    39Enfield FCEnfield Town
    40CheshamKingu2019s Lynn
    41ChelmsfordHertford
    42SudburyAveley
    43Hemel HempsteadBishop's Stortford
    44Peterborough SportsHornchurch
    45Needham MarketEynesbury
    46Waltham AbbeyGorleston
    47Maldon & TiptreeStanway
    48BillericayBerkhamsted
    49Ashford U.Chatham
    50WellingSlough
    51FolkestoneMaidstone
    52FarnboroughDover
    53DorkingWingate & Finchley
    54Eastbourne BoroEpsom
    55Burgess HillFarnham
    56Jersey BullsWorthing
    57Hanwell TownBedfont Sports
    58ChertseyCray Valley
    59WestfieldHorsham FC
    60BracknellTadley
    61TBD #121Walton & Hersham
    62MaidenheadFaversham
    63EbbsfleetAshford Town
    64Tower HamletsFlackwell
    65DealEgham
    66Whitstable TownChichester
    67Hampton & RichmondCroydon Ath.
    68Steyning TownTonbridge
    69FarehamSholing
    70TauntonWeston-super-Mare
    71WimborneBath
    72BrixhamDorchester
    73GloucesterChippenham
    74SalisburyLaverstock & Ford
    75GosportPoole
    76AFC TottonTorquay
    77HungerfordSwindon S
    78Merthyr TownTorpoint
    79Westbury UnitedOxford City
    80TBD #159Frome
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