Leyton Orient vs Derby County: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

14/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Brisbane Road (London).

ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/32-finals
Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)

Match Stats


Ball Possession
50%	50%
Goal Attempts
11	11
Shots on Goal
1	6
Shots off Goal
6	4
Blocked Shots
4	1
Corner Kicks
6	5
Shots inside the Box
5	6
Shots outside the Box
6	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
5	0
Free Kicks
17	16
Offsides
3	4
Fouls
16	17
Yellow Cards
4	1
Red Cards
1	0
Throw-ins
20	32

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Kelman C. ⚽, Perkins S. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Brown D. ⚽, Harness M. (A),
43', Pratley D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Thompson L. ↓, Adams E. ↑,
46', Phillips N. ↓, Elder C. ↑,
62', Pratley D. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
68', Blackett-Taylor C. ↓, Barkhuizen T. ↑,
68', Brown D. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
71', Jaiyesimi D. ↓, James T. ↑,
74', Donley J. 🟨,
75', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Collins J. ↑,
82', Galbraith E. ↓, Sweeney J. ↑,
84', Adams E. 🟨,
90+2', Clare S. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
100', Simpson J. ↓, Cooper B. ↑,
101', Perkins S. ↓, Obiero Z. ↑,
113', Clare S. 🟨,
Penalties (6 - 5)
1, Collins J. (Pen),
1, Donley J. (Pen),
2, Goudmijn K. (Pen),
2, James T. (Pen),
3, Harness M. (Pen),
3, Brown J. (Pen),
4, Jackson K. (Pen),
4, Cooper B. (Pen),
5, Barkhuizen T. (Pen),
5, Kelman C. (Pen),
6, Elder C. (Pen),
6, Obiero Z. (Pen),

Chances of winning

Leyton Orient
40.6%

Draw
28.3%

Derby County
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

28.5%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

28.6%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leyton Orient's performance.

Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derby County might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leyton Orient that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derby County could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leyton Orient - Derby County Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (3.11)	3.3 ↓ (3.31)	3 ↑ (2.29)	7.1% (6.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Leyton Orient - Derby County?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Leyton Orient will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Derby will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 30.4% – 86.2%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Leyton Orient in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Derby is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Our prediction for today's Leyton Orient to win the game is with odds 2.8.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:6 (average 0:3).
Including matches at home between the teams Leyton Orient won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

How many head-to-head matches has Leyton Orient won against Derby County?

Leyton Orient has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Leyton Orient?

Derby County has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Leyton Orient - Derby County were as follows:

13.04.2024 Derby County - Leyton Orient 3:0

09.12.2023 Leyton Orient - Derby County 0:3

Latest results of Leyton Orient

04.01.2025 Leyton Orient - Shrewsbury Town 1:0 ✺

01.01.2025 Bristol Rovers - Leyton Orient 2:3 ✺

29.12.2024 Leyton Orient - Cambridge United 2:0 ✺

26.12.2024 Leyton Orient - Crawley Town 3:0 ✺

21.12.2024 Barnsley - Leyton Orient 0:4 ✺

Latest results of Derby County

04.01.2025 Bristol City - Derby County 1:0 ✺

01.01.2025 Sheffield Wednesday - Derby County 4:2 ✺

29.12.2024 Derby County - Leeds United 0:1 ✺

26.12.2024 Derby County - West Bromwich Albion 2:1 ✺

20.12.2024 Luton Town - Derby County 2:1 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/8-finals

1	Workington	Stalybridge	2 : 3
2	Bye	Chester
3	Curzon Ashton	Bye
4	Hebburn Town	Longridge Town	1 : 0
5	AFC Fylde	Bye
6	Warrington	Bamber Bridge	0 : 3
7	Silsden	Bootle	2 : 4, 0 : 0
8	Bye	Darlington
9	Pickering Town	Redcar Athletic	5 : 2
10	West D. & C.	Runcorn Linnets	0 : 2
11	Hallam	Ashton Utd	0 : 2, 2 : 2
12	Bye	Scarborough
13	West Auckland	Wythenshawe FC	3 : 1
14	Bye	Spennymoor
15	Rossington Main	FC United	0 : 4
16	Bishop Auckland	Chadderton	1 : 3
17	Morpeth	Pontefract	2 : 1
18	Witton	Shildon	3 : 0, 3 : 3
19	Radcliffe	Bye
20	Bye	Southport
21	Macclesfield	Bye
22	Atherton R.	Atherton	5 : 2
23	Avro	Nantwich	0 : 2, 1 : 1
24	Trafford	Stockton	2 : 1
25	Kendal	Dunston	0 : 1
26	Wombwell Town	Stocksbridge	1 : 3
27	Corby	Gainsborough	1 : 2
28	Rushall	Atherstone	5 : 1
29	South Shields	Bye
30	Warrington Rylands	Guiseley	1 : 4
31	Widnes	Congleton (WO.)
32	Bye	Chorley
33	Newcastle Blue Star	Heaton Stannington	1 : 0
34	Bye	Marine
35	Buxton	Bye
36	Redditch	Skegness Town	5 : 0
37	Hyde	Prescot	1 : 0, 2 : 2
38	Lancaster	Whitby	1 : 2
39	Matlock	Bottesford	4 : 1
40	Carlton Town	Cleethorpes	3 : 0
41	Cheshunt	Leiston	1 : 2
42	Knaphill	Hackney Wick	1 : 2
43	Worcester	Chasetown	2 : 3, 1 : 1
44	Mangotsfield	Banbury	0 : 1
45	Enfield FC	Ilford	3 : 1
46	Bye	Enfield Town
47	Quorn	Sherwood Colliery	8 : 0
48	Long Eaton	Kettering	1 : 4
49	Needham Market	Tilbury	4 : 2
50	Eynesbury	Arlesey	3 : 1
51	Histon	Mulbarton Wanderers	2 : 3
52	Witham	Lowestoft	3 : 2
53	Brightlingsea	Bury Town	2 : 3
54	Newmarket	Woodford Town	2 : 3
55	Potters Bar	Hitchin	0 : 2, 2 : 2
56	Aylesbury Vale	St. Albans	1 : 3
57	Haverhill	Waltham Abbey	0 : 3
58	March Town	Gorleston	1 : 3
59	Maldon & Tiptree	Canvey	2 : 0
60	Stanway	Cockfosters	2 : 1
61	Harborough	Leek	3 : 0, 0 : 0
62	Bye	Worksop
63	Peterborough Sports	Bye
64	Bye	Hornchurch
65	Alvechurch	Barwell	4 : 2
66	Bye	Leamington
67	Chelmsford	Bye
68	Bowers & Pitsea	Hertford	1 : 2
69	Ilkeston	Spalding United	1 : 2
70	Bye	Alfreton
71	Bedford	Bye
72	Bye	Dag & Red
73	Coleshill	Worcester Raiders	2 : 1
74	Hednesford	Basford	3 : 1
75	Billericay	Barton	4 : 1
76	Berkhamsted	St. Ives	2 : 0
77	Redbridge	Royston	1 : 2
78	Brentwood	Leighton Town	2 : 1
79	Chesham	Bye
80	Bye	Kingu2019s Lynn
81	AFC Telford	Bye
82	Bye	Kidderminster
83	Kidsgrove	Racing Club Warwick	1 : 2
84	Evesham	Bromsgrove	5 : 2
85	Eastwood Community	Grimsby Borough	1 : 2
86	Halesowen	Stratford	3 : 0, 1 : 1
87	Sudbury	Mildenhall	4 : 0
88	Aveley	Hashtag	3 : 0
89	Hemel Hempstead	Bye
90	Real Bedford	Bishop's Stortford	0 : 1, 1 : 1
91	Boston Town	Sporting Khalsa	0 : 2, 1 : 1
92	Bye	Hereford
93	Sutton Coldfield	Abbey Hulton	3 : 2, 2 : 2
94	Hanley Town	Stourbridge	0 : 2
95	Bourne	Shepshed	1 : 2, 0 : 0
96	Stamford	Coventry Sphinx	1 : 0
97	Bishops Cleeve	Wimborne	2 : 5
98	Bye	Bath
99	Burnham FC	Jersey Bulls	0 : 3
100	Bye	Worthing
101	Wokingham	Burgess Hill	1 : 5
102	Erith Town	Farnham	0 : 3
103	Falmouth Town	Brixham	0 : 5
104	Slimbridge	Dorchester	0 : 1
105	Ebbsfleet	Bye
106	Ashford Town	Whyteleafe	3 : 2
107	Maidenhead	Bye
108	Faversham	Hastings	3 : 0, 2 : 2
109	Dulwich Hamlet	Whitstable Town	2 : 3
110	Havant & W	Chichester	0 : 1
111	Hungerford	AFC Stoneham	3 : 0
112	Tavistock	Swindon S	1 : 4
113	Chertsey	Thame	2 : 1
114	Ramsgate	Cray Valley	1 : 2
115	Steyning Town	Lancing	5 : 0
116	Bye	Tonbridge
117	Cray Wanderers	Hanwell Town	0 : 1, 2 : 2
118	Bedfont Sports	Littlehampton	4 : 3
119	Uxbridge	Welling	1 : 2
120	Bye	Slough
121	Merthyr Town	Bye
122	Royal Wootton	Torpoint	1 : 3
123	Hampton & Richmond	Bye
124	Sittingbourne	Croydon Ath.	1 : 2
125	Winchester	Fareham	0 : 1, 0 : 0
126	Fairford	Sholing	0 : 2
127	Eastbourne Boro	Bye
128	Epsom	Risborough	2 : 1
129	Westfield	Sheppey United	2 : 0
130	Bye	Horsham FC
131	Folkestone	Sevenoaks	3 : 0
132	Bye	Maidstone
133	Salisbury	Bye
134	Hythe & Dibden	Laverstock & Ford	1 : 2
135	Dorking	Bye
136	Carshalton	Wingate & Finchley	2 : 3, 0 : 0
137	Westbury United	Yate Town	3 : 2, 2 : 2
138	Bye	Oxford City
139	Farnborough	Bye
140	Bye	Dover
141	Gosport	Basingstoke	2 : 1
142	Didcot	Poole	1 : 2, 1 : 1
143	Tiverton	Taunton	3 : 4
144	Bye	Weston-super-Mare
145	AFC Totton	Bye
146	Bye	Torquay
147	Shaftesbury Town	Exmouth Town	2 : 0, 1 : 1
148	Plymouth Parkway	Frome	0 : 4
149	Tower Hamlets	Ascot	4 : 1
150	Flackwell	Lewes	2 : 1
151	Bracknell	Dartford	2 : 0, 2 : 2
152	Tadley	Weymouth	4 : 2
153	Hayes & Yeading	Whitehawk	2 : 3, 1 : 1
154	Three Bridges	Walton & Hersham	0 : 2
155	Gloucester	Portchester	2 : 0, 1 : 1
156	Bye	Chippenham
157	Raynes Park Vale	Ashford U.	0 : 2
158	Chatham	Marlow	4 : 0
159	Deal	Cobham	2 : 0
160	Beckenham	Egham	2 : 3

Quarter-finals

1	Stalybridge	Chester	1 : 2
2	Curzon Ashton	Hebburn Town	4 : 1
3	AFC Fylde	Bamber Bridge	4 : 1
4	Bootle	Darlington	1 : 3
5	Pickering Town	Runcorn Linnets	0 : 2
6	Ashton Utd	Scarborough	2 : 0
7	West Auckland	Spennymoor	0 : 1
8	FC United	Chadderton	0 : 1
9	Morpeth	Witton	2 : 1
10	Radcliffe	Southport	2 : 3, 1 : 1
11	Macclesfield	Atherton R.	3 : 0
12	Nantwich	Trafford	3 : 1
13	Dunston	Stocksbridge	1 : 0
14	Gainsborough	Rushall	2 : 1
15	South Shields	Guiseley	2 : 1
16	Congleton	Chorley	0 : 1
17	Newcastle Blue Star	Marine	0 : 2
18	Buxton	Redditch	3 : 0
19	Hyde	Whitby	2 : 0
20	Matlock	Carlton Town	3 : 0
21	Leiston	Hackney Wick	4 : 1
22	Chasetown	Banbury	1 : 2, 0 : 0
23	Enfield FC	Enfield Town	0 : 3
24	Quorn	Kettering	2 : 1
25	Needham Market	Eynesbury	4 : 2
26	Mulbarton Wanderers	Witham	0 : 2, 0 : 0
27	Bury Town	Woodford Town	0 : 1, 1 : 1
28	Hitchin	St. Albans	1 : 2
29	Waltham Abbey	Gorleston	2 : 0
30	Maldon & Tiptree	Stanway	2 : 0
31	Harborough	Worksop	3 : 2
32	Peterborough Sports	Hornchurch	2 : 1
33	Alvechurch	Leamington	3 : 0
34	Chelmsford	Hertford	6 : 0
35	Spalding United	Alfreton	3 : 0
36	Bedford	Dag & Red	0 : 1, 1 : 1
37	Coleshill	Hednesford	0 : 7
38	Billericay	Berkhamsted	3 : 0
39	Royston	Brentwood	1 : 0
40	Chesham	Kingu2019s Lynn	1 : 4
41	AFC Telford	Kidderminster	3 : 1
42	Racing Club Warwick	Evesham	0 : 1, 3 : 3
43	Grimsby Borough	Halesowen	1 : 6, 1 : 1
44	Sudbury	Aveley	1 : 2
45	Hemel Hempstead	Bishop's Stortford	4 : 1
46	Sporting Khalsa	Hereford
47	Sutton Coldfield	Stourbridge	3 : 1
48	Shepshed	Stamford	0 : 2
49	Wimborne	Bath	2 : 1
50	Jersey Bulls	Worthing	0 : 5, 2 : 2
51	Burgess Hill	Farnham	1 : 3
52	Brixham	Dorchester	1 : 3
53	Ebbsfleet	Ashford Town	5 : 0
54	Maidenhead	Faversham	0 : 1
55	Whitstable Town	Chichester	1 : 0, 1 : 1
56	Hungerford	Swindon S	3 : 0
57	Chertsey	Cray Valley	2 : 3
58	Steyning Town	Tonbridge	1 : 6, 2 : 2
59	Hanwell Town	Bedfont Sports	0 : 1
60	Welling	Slough	0 : 1, 1 : 1
61	Merthyr Town	Torpoint	4 : 0
62	Hampton & Richmond	Croydon Ath.	4 : 2
63	Fareham	Sholing	0 : 3
64	Eastbourne Boro	Epsom	4 : 0
65	Westfield	Horsham FC	0 : 6, 2 : 2
66	Folkestone	Maidstone	2 : 0
67	Salisbury	Laverstock & Ford	4 : 1
68	Dorking	Wingate & Finchley	7 : 2
69	Westbury United	Oxford City	3 : 2
70	Farnborough	Dover	4 : 1
71	Gosport	Poole	0 : 3
72	Taunton	Weston-super-Mare	0 : 3, 1 : 1
73	AFC Totton	Torquay	2 : 0
74	Shaftesbury Town	Frome	1 : 2, 1 : 1
75	Tower Hamlets	Flackwell	0 : 2
76	Bracknell	Tadley	2 : 0
77	Whitehawk	Walton & Hersham	0 : 2
78	Gloucester	Chippenham	1 : 2
79	Ashford U.	Chatham	0 : 3
80	Deal	Egham	2 : 1

Semi-finals

1	Chester	Curzon Ashton
2	AFC Fylde	Darlington
3	Runcorn Linnets	Ashton Utd
4	Spennymoor	Chadderton
5	Morpeth	Southport
6	Macclesfield	Nantwich
7	Dunston	Gainsborough
8	South Shields	Chorley
9	Marine	Buxton
10	Hyde	Matlock
11	Leiston	Banbury
12	Enfield Town	Quorn
13	Needham Market	Witham
14	Woodford Town	St. Albans
15	Waltham Abbey	Maldon & Tiptree
16	Harborough	Peterborough Sports
17	Alvechurch	Chelmsford
18	Spalding United	Dag & Red
19	Hednesford	Billericay
20	Royston	Kingu2019s Lynn
21	AFC Telford	Evesham
22	Halesowen	Aveley
23	Hemel Hempstead	TBD #46
24	Sutton Coldfield	Stamford
25	Wimborne	Worthing
26	Farnham	Dorchester
27	Ebbsfleet	Faversham
28	Whitstable Town	Hungerford
29	Cray Valley	Tonbridge
30	Bedfont Sports	Slough
31	Merthyr Town	Hampton & Richmond
32	Sholing	Eastbourne Boro
33	Horsham FC	Folkestone
34	Salisbury	Dorking
35	Westbury United	Farnborough
36	Poole	Weston-super-Mare
37	AFC Totton	Frome
38	Flackwell	Bracknell
39	Walton & Hersham	Chippenham
40	Chatham	Deal

Which TV channels are streaming of Leyton Orient - Derby County?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Australia	Optus Sport
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	Sportsnet Now Plus
China	Migu
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Iceland	Viaplay
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Philippines	beIN Connect
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Daystar Pacific, Disney+