Toulouse vs Lens: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 1 Toulouse - Lens
Result
1:1
10/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 33
  • Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)
Toulouse - Lens - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.78
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
912
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
80% (292/365)88% (491/558)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.78
xG on target (xGOT)
1.220.68
Total shots
912
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
2021
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1217
Passes
80% (292/365)88% (491/558)
Long passes
33% (13/40)39% (18/46)
Passes in final third
62% (64/104)64% (55/86)
Crosses
20% (2/10)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.79
Throw-ins
2420
Fouls
1712
Tackles
56% (9/16)53% (9/17)
Duels won
4947
Clearances
2727
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.681.22
Goals prevented
-0.320.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 0, Gboho Y. , McKenzie M. (A),
  • 51', Thomasson A. 🟨,
  • 57', Medina F. 🟨,
  • 60', Mendy N. 🟨,
  • 61', 1 - 1, El Aynaoui N. , Thomasson A. (A),
  • 63', Donnum A. 🟨,
  • 68', Machado D. , Zaroury A. ,
  • 70', Kamanzi W. , Suazo G. ,
  • 70', Magri F. , Aboukhlal Z. ,
  • 76', Thomasson A. , Satriano M. ,
  • 81', Pouilly T. , Sotoca F. ,
  • 81', Koyalipou G. , Said W. ,
  • 87', Casseres C. 🟨,
  • 87', Said W. 🟨,
  • 89', Zaroury A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Toulouse
41.9%
Draw
27.1%
Lens
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.5% 26.9% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 27.1% 30.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Toulouse - Lens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.25)
    3.52
    (3.56)
    3.07
    (3.12)
    4.8%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Toulouse - Lens?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 1.
    • Toulouse has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lens has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Toulouse will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Toulouse: Cresswell C. (Yellow Cards) Edjouma N. (Red Card) Nicolaisen R. (Calf Injury) Schmidt N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lens: Aguilar R. (Yellow Cards) Aguilar R. (Hamstring Injury) Jhoanner Chavez (Ankle Injury) Labeau Lascary R. (Knee Injury) Petric D. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lens: Nzola M. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 2:11. (average 0.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Lens were as follows:
    05.01.2025 Lens - Toulouse 0:1
    28.01.2024 Toulouse - Lens 0:2
    24.09.2023 Lens - Toulouse 2:1
    02.05.2023 Toulouse - Lens 0:1
    28.10.2022 Lens - Toulouse 3:0
    Latest results of Toulouse
    03.05.2025 Toulouse - Rennes 2:1
    27.04.2025 Nantes - Toulouse 0:0
    20.04.2025 Reims - Toulouse 1:0
    12.04.2025 Toulouse - Lille 1:2
    Latest results of Lens
    04.05.2025 Lyon - Lens 1:2
    27.04.2025 Lens - Auxerre 0:4
    20.04.2025 Brest - Lens 1:3
    11.04.2025 Lens - Reims 0:2
    06.04.2025 Lens - Saint-Étienne 1:0
    Draw
    Relegation - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    3MetzBye
    4DunkerqueGuingamp1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    2MetzDunkerque

    Final
    1ByeTBD #2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Toulouse - Lens?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandViaplay
    franceFranceDAZN 1, DAZN France
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
    indiaIndiaGXR World
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    peruPeruDisney+
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 11
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
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