Górnik Zabrze vs Legia Warsaw: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Polish Ekstraklasa Górnik Zabrze - Legia Warsaw
Result
3:1
05/10/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ekstraklasa - Round 11
  • Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
Górnik Zabrze - Legia Warsaw - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.101.37
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
915
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
06
Passes
81% (265/329)85% (416/491)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.101.37
xG on target (xGOT)
2.460.15
Total shots
915
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
07
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
06
Touches in opposition box
1032
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
81% (265/329)85% (416/491)
Long passes
50% (26/52)59% (26/44)
Passes in final third
73% (54/74)71% (111/156)
Crosses
33% (2/6)23% (7/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.400.95
Throw-ins
1526
Fouls
1010
Tackles
48% (10/21)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4752
Clearances
3714
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.152.46
Goals prevented
-0.85-0.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Khlan M. , Sow O. (A),
  • 31', 2 - 0, Sow O. ,
  • 38', Pankov R. 🟨,
  • 43', Hellebrand P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Krasniqi E. , Bichakhchyan V. ,
  • 46', Weisshaupt N. , Urbanski K. ,
  • 72', Kapustka B. , Colak A. ,
  • 72', Reca A. , Stojanovic P. ,
  • 83', Khlan M. , Kmet M. ,
  • 83', 3 - 0, Sow O. ,
  • 90', 3 - 1, Bichakhchyan V. , Urbanski K. (A),
  • 90+4', Liseth S. , Zahovic L. ,
  • 90+7', Sow O. , Olkowski P. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Górnik Zabrze
36.2%
Draw
29.6%
Legia Warsaw
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.4% 27.8% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 27.7% 36.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Górnik Zabrze - Legia Warsaw Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.69
    (2.65)
    3.35
    (3.37)
    3
    (2.55)
    0.5%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Górnik Zabrze - Legia Warsaw?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Legia will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8%76.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Legia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 0.
    • Górnik Zabrze is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Legia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Legia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Legia has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Sacek M. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Legia: Arreiol H. (Muscle Injury) Goncalves C. (Ankle Injury) Nsame J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Górnik Zabrze: Podolski L. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 28:41. (average 1.4:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Zabrze won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.6:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Górnik Zabrze - Legia Warsaw were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Legia Warsaw 1:2
    28.09.2024 Legia Warsaw - Górnik Zabrze 1:1
    01.04.2024 Górnik Zabrze - Legia Warsaw 1:3
    24.09.2023 Legia Warsaw - Górnik Zabrze 2:1
    04.03.2023 Górnik Zabrze - Legia Warsaw 0:1
    Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gornik Zabrze1171318:9922
    2Jagiellonia1063119:13621
    3Cracovia1053218:12618
    4Korona Kielce1153315:10518
    5Wisla Plock1053212:7518
    6Lech Poznan1053218:16218
    7Legia1043313:9415
    8Radomiak Radom1143420:19115
    9Rakow1042412:13-114
    10Zaglebie1034321:16513
    11Widzew Lodz1141617:15213
    12Pogon Szczecin1141616:20-413
    13Arka Gdynia113357:15-812
    14Motor Lublin1025311:16-511
    15Termalica B-B1123615:21-69
    16GKS Katowice1122711:22-118
    17Piast Gliwice91448:11-37
    18Lechia Gdansk1133519:26-77

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Which TV channels are streaming of Górnik Zabrze - Legia Warsaw?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
    polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
    ukraineUkraineSport 3
    usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
    worldWorldSport 1 Baltic
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