Legia Warsaw vs Samsunspor: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

02/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadion Wojska Polskiego (Warsaw).

: Conference League - League phase - Round 1
Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.12	0.76
Ball Possession
64%	36%
Total shots
19	7
Shots on target
2	3
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
8	2
Passes
84% (462/547)	72% (227/316)
Yellow Cards
3	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12	0.76
xG on target (xGOT)
0.80	0.93
Total shots
19	7
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
13	3
Blocked Shots
4	1
Shots inside the Box
11	5
Shots outside the Box
8	1
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
8	2
Touches in opposition box
26	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	0
Free Kicks
10	7
Passes
84% (462/547)	72% (227/316)
Long passes
46% (17/37)	31% (18/58)
Passes in final third
76% (132/173)	54% (31/57)
Crosses
24% (8/33)	17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.31	0.17
Throw-ins
27	15
Fouls
7	10
Tackles
50% (6/12)	61% (14/23)
Duels won
53	48
Clearances
8	53
Interceptions
7	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.93	0.80
Goals prevented
-0.07	-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Musaba A. ⚽, Marius (A),
20', Yuksel C. 🟨,
24', Augustyniak R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Coulibaly T. ↓, Cift Y. E. ↑,
63', Yuksel C. ↓, Makoumbou A. ↑,
63', Stojanovic P. ↓, Weisshaupt N. ↑,
63', Urbanski K. ↓, Elitim J. ↑,
63', Colak A. ↓, Rajovic M. ↑,
76', Urbanski W. ↓, Bichakhchyan V. ↑,
82', Chodyna K. ↓, Zewlakow J. ↑,
84', Ntcham O. ↓, Borevkovic T. ↑,
84', Musaba A. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
90+1', Jedrzejczyk A. 🟨,
90+1', Van Drongelen R. 🟨,
90+2', Yavru Z. ↓, Gonul S. ↑,
90+3', Pankov R. 🟨,
90+3', Borevkovic T. 🟨,
90+6', Cift Y. E. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Legia Warsaw
42%

Draw
29.1%

Samsunspor
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

27.6%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

27.5%

28%

Legia Warsaw - Samsunspor Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.11)	3.38 ↓ (3.39)	3.31 ↓ (3.33)	1.6% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Samsunspor?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Legia (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DC - Samsunspor (1.72) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH 0 - Samsunspor (2.60) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Samsunspor (2.32) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Legia Warsaw will win (29 of 36 users predict this - 80.56%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.63% – 93.49%.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Legia (votes: 6 - 40%). Samsunspor (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Samsunspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Legia might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Legia: Arreiol H. (Muscle Injury) Goncalves C. (Ankle Injury) Nsame J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Samsunspor: Aydin E. (Inactive) Aydogdu S. (Injury) Cetin B. (Knee Injury) Kilinc E. (Injury) Ndiaye C. (Inactive) Sousa A. (Inactive) Ustun E. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Legia: Piatkowski K. (Injury)
Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Samsunspor?

Legia Warsaw has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Samsunspor won against Legia Warsaw?

Samsunspor has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Samsunspor were as follows:

Latest results of Legia Warsaw

28.09.2025 Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Szczecin 1:0 ✺

24.09.2025 Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok 0:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw 1:1 ✺

14.09.2025 Legia Warsaw - Radomiak Radom 4:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Cracovia - Legia Warsaw 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Samsunspor

27.09.2025 Gaziantep - Samsunspor 2:2 ✺

21.09.2025 Samsunspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 3:2 ✺

17.09.2025 Samsunspor - Kasımpaşa 0:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Samsunspor - Antalyaspor 1:2 ✺

31.08.2025 Trabzonspor - Samsunspor 1:1 ✺

UEFA Europa Conference League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Strasbourg	6	5	1	0	11:5	6	16
2	Rakow	6	4	2	0	9:2	7	14
3	AEK Athens	6	4	1	1	14:7	7	13
4	Sparta Prague	6	4	1	1	10:3	7	13
5	Rayo Vallecano	6	4	1	1	13:7	6	13
6	Shakhtar Donetsk	6	4	1	1	10:5	5	13
7	Mainz	6	4	1	1	7:3	4	13
8	AEK Larnaca	6	3	3	0	7:1	6	12
9	Lausanne	6	3	2	1	6:3	3	11
10	Crystal Palace	6	3	1	2	11:6	5	10
11	Lech Poznan	6	3	1	2	12:8	4	10
12	Samsunspor	6	3	1	2	10:6	4	10
13	Celje	6	3	1	2	8:7	1	10
14	AZ Alkmaar	6	3	1	2	7:7	0	10
15	Fiorentina	6	3	0	3	8:5	3	9
16	Rijeka	6	2	3	1	5:2	3	9
17	Jagiellonia	6	2	3	1	5:4	1	9
18	Omonia	6	2	2	2	5:4	1	8
19	Noah	6	2	2	2	6:7	-1	8
20	Drita	6	2	2	2	4:8	-4	8
21	KuPS	6	1	4	1	6:5	1	7
22	Shkendija	6	2	1	3	4:5	-1	7
23	Zrinjski	6	2	1	3	8:10	-2	7
24	Sigma Olomouc	6	2	1	3	7:9	-2	7
25	Univ. Craiova	6	2	1	3	6:8	-2	7
26	Lincoln Red Imps	6	2	1	3	7:15	-8	7
27	Dyn. Kyiv	6	2	0	4	9:9	0	6
28	Legia	6	2	0	4	8:8	0	6
29	Slovan Bratislava	6	2	0	4	5:9	-4	6
30	Breidablik	6	1	2	3	6:11	-5	5
31	Shamrock Rovers	6	1	1	4	7:13	-6	4
32	Hacken	6	0	3	3	5:8	-3	3
33	Hamrun	6	1	0	5	4:11	-7	3
34	Shelbourne	6	0	2	4	0:7	-7	2
35	Aberdeen	6	0	2	4	3:14	-11	2
36	SK Rapid	6	0	1	5	3:14	-11	1

Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Legia Warsaw - Samsunspor?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Stan Sport
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	RTL+
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 15, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Disney+
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii, TRT 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 15
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus