Luton Town vs Leeds United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship Luton Town - Leeds United
Result
1:1
05/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Championship - Round 40
  • Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)
Luton Town - Leeds United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.03
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
88
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
05
Passes
61% (140/231)81% (370/459)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.03
xG on target (xGOT)
1.240.91
Total shots
88
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
11
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
27
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
05
Touches in opposition box
2424
Through passes
0% (0/1)67% (2/3)
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1315
Passes
61% (140/231)81% (370/459)
Long passes
36% (19/53)36% (22/61)
Passes in final third
51% (61/119)70% (87/124)
Crosses
26% (5/19)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.851.04
Fouls
1513
Tackles
35% (8/23)68% (17/25)
Duels won
7279
Clearances Total
5267
Interceptions
36
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.911.24
Goals prevented
-0.090.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Jones I. , Clark J. (A),
  • 22', Jones I. 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 1, James D. ,
  • 40', Bogle J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 49', Adebayo E. , Chong T. ,
  • 59', Solomon M. 🟨,
  • 63', Gnonto W. , Bamford P. ,
  • 77', Jones I. , Alli M. ,
  • 77', Doughty A. , Nordas L. ,
  • 78', Walsh L. , Dabo L. ,
  • 79', Piroe J. , Aaronson B. ,
  • 86', Struijk P. , Wober M. ,
  • 87', Solomon M. , Schmidt I. ,
  • 87', Bogle J. , Byram S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Luton Town
17.4%
Draw
23.3%
Leeds United
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.8% 22.4% 60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3% 24.6% 66.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leeds United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Luton Town - Leeds United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.56
    (5.59)
    4.08
    (4.2)
    1.6
    (1.55)
    4.9%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Luton Town - Leeds United?
    The most likely score is 0:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
    • Luton is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Leeds is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Leeds is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Luton: Baptiste S. (Muscle Injury) Brown J. (Ankle Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury) Mengi T. (Groin Injury) Nakamba M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leeds: Bamford P. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Luton won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:7 (average 0.5:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Luton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Leeds United were as follows:
    27.11.2024 Leeds United - Luton Town 3:0
    Latest results of Luton Town
    29.03.2025 Hull City - Luton Town 0:1
    15.03.2025 Luton Town - Middlesbrough 0:0
    11.03.2025 Cardiff City - Luton Town 1:2
    08.03.2025 Burnley - Luton Town 4:0
    01.03.2025 Luton Town - Portsmouth 1:0
    Latest results of Leeds United
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Sheffield Utd (3)Bristol City (6)3 : 0
    2Sunderland (4)Coventry (5)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Luton Town - Leeds United?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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