Leeds United vs Bournemouth: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English Premier League Leeds United - Bournemouth
Result
2:2
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 6
  • Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)
Leeds United - Bournemouth - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.700.96
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
79% (274/349)86% (432/503)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.700.96
xG on target (xGOT)
2.071.31
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
166
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
3521
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
79% (274/349)86% (432/503)
Long passes
53% (31/59)51% (24/47)
Passes in final third
61% (53/87)77% (134/173)
Crosses
56% (9/16)14% (3/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.670.68
Throw-ins
1428
Fouls
1213
Tackles
59% (16/27)43% (10/23)
Duels won
6463
Clearances
2630
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
1.312.07
Goals prevented
-0.690.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', Jimenez A. 🟨,
  • 26', 0 - 1, Semenyo A. ,
  • 37', 1 - 1, Rodon J. , Longstaff S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', 2 - 1, Longstaff S. ,
  • 60', Christie R. , Scott A. ,
  • 60', Kluivert J. , Tavernier M. ,
  • 60', Adli A. , Brooks D. ,
  • 67', Okafor N. , Harrison J. ,
  • 70', Aaronson B. 🟨,
  • 73', Jimenez A. , Doak B. ,
  • 81', Adams T. , Kroupi E. J. ,
  • 87', Aaronson B. , Tanaka A. ,
  • 90+2', Ampadu E. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Calvert-Lewin D. , Nmecha L. ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 2, Kroupi E. J. , Senesi M. (A),
  • 90+3', Kroupi E. J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Leeds United
31.9%
Draw
29.2%
Bournemouth
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.7% 28.3% 38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3% 28.8% 37.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Leeds United - Bournemouth Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.02
    (2.84)
    3.32
    (3.38)
    2.48
    (2.52)
    3.6%
    (4.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Leeds United - Bournemouth?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Leeds will win (votes: 8 - 23.5%). Bournemouth will win (votes: 15 - 44.1%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 32.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bournemouth: 27.4%60.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Leeds (votes: 2 - 20%). Bournemouth (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 3.
    • Leeds is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Bournemouth is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Leeds has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Bournemouth has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Leeds: Gnonto W. (Calf Injury) Lucas Perri (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Bournemouth: Smith A. (Hamstring Injury) Soler J. (International duty) Unal E. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leeds: James D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bournemouth: Cook L. (Shoulder Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 2:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leeds won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leeds United - Bournemouth were as follows:
    05.11.2022 Leeds United - Bournemouth 4:3
    Latest results of Leeds United
    Latest results of Bournemouth
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal751114:31116
    2Liverpool750213:9415
    3Tottenham742113:5814
    4Bournemouth742111:8314
    5Manchester City741215:6913
    6Crystal Palace73319:5412
    7Chelsea732213:9411
    8Everton73229:7211
    9Sunderland73227:6111
    10Manchester Utd73139:11-210
    11Newcastle72326:519
    12Brighton723210:1009
    13Aston Villa72326:7-19
    14Fulham72238:11-38
    15Leeds72237:11-48
    16Brentford72149:12-37
    17Nottingham71245:12-75
    18Burnley71157:15-84
    19West Ham71156:16-104
    20Wolves70255:14-92

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

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