Result
0:1
11/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Ekstraklasa - Round 32
- Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (318/406) | 83% (363/439) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (318/406) | 83% (363/439) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (13/49) | 43% (17/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (79/121) | 77% (87/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (9/26) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.72 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.32 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Gurgul M. 🟨,
- 45+8', Vinagre R. 🟨,
- 45+10', Hotic D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Hakans D. ↓, Walemark P. ↑,
- 57', Shkurin I. ↓, Gual M. ↑,
- 76', Sousa A. ↓, Lisman K. ↑,
- 76', Hotic D. ↓, Carstensen R. ↑,
- 77', Goncalves C. ↓, Chodyna K. ↑,
- 78', 0 - 1, Gholizadeh A. ⚽, Pereira J. (A),
- 85', Augustyniak R. ↓, Pekhart T. ↑,
- 86', Gholizadeh A. ↓, Pingot M. ↑,
- 86', Ishak M. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
- 90+2', Elitim J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Legia Warsaw
46% | Draw
25.1% | Lech Poznań
28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.14) |
3.74 ↑
(3.6) |
3.23 ↑
(3.14) |
6.5%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Lech will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 35.2% – 92%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia won 1.
- Legia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Lech is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Lech may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Legia: Kapustka B.
(Knee Injury)
Leszczynski J.
(Knee Injury)
Oyedele M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Lech: Dagerstal F.
(Ankle Injury)
Douglas A.
(Inactive)
Thordarson G.
(Broken collarbone)
- There are questionable in Legia: Luquinhas
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Lech: Murawski R.
(Inactive)
Salamon B.
(Inactive)
Walemark P.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Legia won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Legia won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Lech Poznań?
Legia Warsaw has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Legia Warsaw?
Lech Poznań has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań were as follows:
10.11.2024
Lech Poznań
-
Legia Warsaw
5:2
12.05.2024
Lech Poznań
-
Legia Warsaw
1:2
12.11.2023
Legia Warsaw
-
Lech Poznań
0:0
16.04.2023
Legia Warsaw
-
Lech Poznań
2:2
01.10.2022
Lech Poznań
-
Legia Warsaw
0:0
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arka Gdynia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Piast Gliwice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | GKS Katowice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Motor Lublin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Wisla Plock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Pogon Szczecin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Legia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Lech Poznan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Zaglebie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Widzew Lodz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Termalica B-B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Rakow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Which TV channels are streaming of Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
 World | Onefootball |
