Lech Poznań vs Legia Warsaw: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Polish Super Cup Lech Poznań - Legia Warsaw
Result
1:2
13/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super Cup - Final
  • Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
Lech Poznań - Legia Warsaw - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.81
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
86% (462/535)82% (287/352)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.262.47
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
1717
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
2110
Passes
86% (462/535)82% (287/352)
Long passes
34% (14/41)51% (27/53)
Passes in final third
68% (84/124)72% (86/119)
Crosses
41% (9/22)39% (7/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.970.65
Throw-ins
1516
Fouls
1021
Tackles
33% (6/18)31% (4/13)
Duels won
6034
Clearances
2124
Interceptions
43
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
2.471.26
Goals prevented
0.470.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 22', Morishita R. 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 1, Wszolek P. , Kun P. (A),
  • 37', Kozubal A. 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 2, Shkurin I. , Elitim J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 67', Alfarela M. , Kapustka B. ,
  • 70', Douglas A. , Skrzypczak M. ,
  • 70', Gumny R. , Szymczak F. ,
  • 70', Fiabema B. , Bengtsson L. ,
  • 73', Szymczak F. 🟨,
  • 75', Chodyna K. , Bichakhchyan V. ,
  • 75', Morishita R. , Stojanovic P. ,
  • 77', Bengtsson L. 🟨,
  • 81', 1 - 2, Szymczak F. , Sousa A. (A),
  • 85', Shkurin I. , Nsame J. ,
  • 85', Elitim J. , Urbanski W. ,
  • 86', Stojanovic P. 🟨,
  • 89', Augustyniak R. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Wszolek P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lech Poznań
47.6%
Draw
26.8%
Legia Warsaw
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.1% 27.3% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Lech Poznań - Legia Warsaw Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (2.03)
    3.57
    (3.44)
    3.76
    (3.52)
    5.4%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Lech Poznań - Legia Warsaw?
  • Users Predictions: Lech Poznań will win (28 of 32 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.04%98.96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lech Poznań will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lech won 2.
    • Legia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Legia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Legia has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Lech is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Lech: Murawski R. (Leg Injury) Thordarson G. (Broken collarbone)
    • There are questionable in Legia: Goncalves C. (Injury) Vinagre R. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lech won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lech won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.4:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lech Poznań - Legia Warsaw were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań 0:1
    10.11.2024 Lech Poznań - Legia Warsaw 5:2
    12.05.2024 Lech Poznań - Legia Warsaw 1:2
    12.11.2023 Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań 0:0
    16.04.2023 Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań 2:2
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Draw
    2025

    Final
    1Lech PoznanLegia1 : 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Lech Poznań - Legia Warsaw?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
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