Legia Warsaw vs Lech Poznań: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Polish Ekstraklasa Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań
11/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Legia Warsaw
38.6%
Draw
25.8%
Lech Poznań
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.9% 26.1% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2% 27.5% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Legia Warsaw's form might have worsened.
  • Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lech Poznań's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Legia Warsaw, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lech Poznań, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (2.14)
    3.66
    (3.6)
    2.64
    (3.14)
    6.2%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia won 1.
    • Legia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Lech is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Lech may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Legia won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Legia won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań were as follows:
    10.11.2024 Lech Poznań - Legia Warsaw 5:2
    12.05.2024 Lech Poznań - Legia Warsaw 1:2
    12.11.2023 Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań 0:0
    16.04.2023 Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań 2:2
    01.10.2022 Lech Poznań - Legia Warsaw 0:0
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rakow31198447:192865
    2Lech Poznan31203864:293563
    3Jagiellonia31168752:391356
    4Pogon Szczecin30165952:341853
    5Legia30148855:391650
    6Gornik Zabrze321371242:36646
    7Cracovia311291052:49345
    8Korona Kielce3111101033:40-743
    9Motor Lublin311271244:54-1043
    10GKS Katowice311261342:42042
    11Piast Gliwice3210121035:35042
    12Widzew Lodz301071334:43-937
    13Radomiak Radom311071442:47-537
    14Lechia Gdansk31961636:51-1533
    15Zaglebie31961630:47-1733
    16Slask Wroclaw326101636:51-1528
    17Puszcza31691634:57-2327
    18Stal Mielec31681732:50-1826

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

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