Fiorentina vs Lech Poznań: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Europa Conference League Fiorentina - Lech Poznań
Result
2:3
20/04/2023 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS
  • Referee: Obrenovic R. (Slo)
Fiorentina - Lech Poznań - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Fiorentina
70.7%
Draw
18.2%
Lech Poznań
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.6% 18% 10.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75% 17.2% 9.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Fiorentina - Lech Poznań Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.31)
    5.22
    (5.21)
    8.68
    (9.05)
    5.1%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Lech Poznań?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 24 - 80%). Lech will win (votes: 1 - 3.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 65.7%94.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 4-1.
    • Fiorentina has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, a very good chance of semis (>99%), a good chance of final (66%), a chance of win league (40%).
    • Lech has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, a very small chance of semis (<1%), a very small chance of final (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has quality 60, very big importance 100, big match rating 80. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Fiorentina is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Lech is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Fiorentina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Fiorentina is absolute favorite.
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Amrabat S. (Injury) Brekalo J. (Injury) Ikone J. (Injury) Sirigu S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Lech: Salamon B. (Doping) Szymczak F. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lech: Dagerstal F. (Injury) Karlstrom J. (Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Fiorentina to win the game is with odds 1.3.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Fiorentina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Lech Poznań were as follows:
    13.04.2023 Lech Poznań - Fiorentina 1:4
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    17.04.2023 Fiorentina - Atalanta 1:1
    13.04.2023 Lech Poznań - Fiorentina 1:4
    08.04.2023 Fiorentina - Spezia 1:1
    05.04.2023 Cremonese - Fiorentina 0:2
    01.04.2023 Inter Milan - Fiorentina 0:1
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1Dundee UtdBye
    2ByeUNA Strassen
    3LarneAuda0 : 0
    6UrartuNeman1 : 2
    7VaduzBye
    8ByeDungannon
    9SilkeborgBye
    10ByeKA Akureyri
    11RosenborgBye
    12ByeBanga
    13Atletic EscaldesDudelange2 : 0
    14ByeDinamo Tirana
    15Austria ViennaBye
    16ByeSpaeri
    17FC BallkaniBye
    18FlorianaHaverfordwest2 : 1
    19VikingBye
    20ZeljeznicarKoper1 : 1
    21AEK Athens FCBye
    23Tre FioriPyunik Yerevan1 : 0
    24ByeGyor
    25Riga FCBye
    26Racing LuxembourgDila Gori1 : 2
    27RakowBye
    28ByeZilina
    29BirkirkaraPetrocub1 : 0
    31Ararat-ArmeniaBye
    32ByeU. Cluj
    33VarazdinBye
    34ByeSanta Clara
    35Kauno ZalgirisPenybont3 : 0
    36ValurFlora3 : 0
    38ByeMaribor
    39VllazniaBFC Daugavpils0 : 1
    40MalishevaVikingur Reykjavik0 : 1
    41HammarbyBye
    42ByeCharleroi
    43Radnicki 1923Bye
    44SJKKlaksvik1 : 2
    45Novi PazarBye
    46ByeJagiellonia
    47Polissya ZhytomyrBye
    48Borac Banja LukaFC Santa Coloma1 : 4
    49La FioritaVardar0 : 3
    50ByeLausanne
    51HB TorshavnBye
    52ByeBrondby
    53OleksandriyaBye
    55HiberniansBye
    57St. PatricksHegelmann1 : 0
    58KaljuPartizani1 : 1
    59AIKBye
    60MagpiesPaide2 : 3
    61FK SarajevoBye
    62ByeUniv. Craiova
    63ArisBye
    64ByePuskas Academy
    65St JosephsCliftonville2 : 2
    66ByeShamrock Rovers
    68ByeAZ Alkmaar
    69ZiraBye
    70ByeHajduk Split
    71ArdaBye
    72NSI RunavikHJK4 : 0
    74ByeSparta Prague
    75Zimbru ChisinauBye
    76ByeFC Astana
    77DecicSileks2 : 0
    78ByeSK Rapid
    79ZhodinoRabotnicki3 : 0
    80ByeMaccabi Haifa
    81ArazBye
    82ByeAris
    83OmoniaBye
    84Torpedo KutaisiOrdabasy4 : 3
    85Cherno MoreBye
    86ByeBasaksehir
    87SutjeskaDynamo Brest1 : 2
    88ByeBeitar Jerusalem

    Quarter-finals
    1Dundee UtdUNA Strassen
    2TBD #3Bye
    3ByeTBD #6
    4VaduzDungannon
    5SilkeborgKA Akureyri
    6RosenborgBanga
    7TBD #13Dinamo Tirana
    8Austria ViennaSpaeri
    9FC BallkaniTBD #18
    10VikingTBD #20
    11AEK Athens FCBye
    12TBD #23Gyor
    13Riga FCTBD #26
    14RakowZilina
    15TBD #29Bye
    16Ararat-ArmeniaU. Cluj
    17VarazdinSanta Clara
    18TBD #35TBD #36
    19ByeMaribor
    20TBD #39TBD #40
    21HammarbyCharleroi
    22Radnicki 1923TBD #44
    23Novi PazarJagiellonia
    24Polissya ZhytomyrTBD #48
    25TBD #49Lausanne
    26HB TorshavnBrondby
    27OleksandriyaBye
    28HiberniansBye
    29TBD #57TBD #58
    30AIKTBD #60
    31FK SarajevoUniv. Craiova
    32ArisPuskas Academy
    33TBD #65Shamrock Rovers
    34ByeAZ Alkmaar
    35ZiraHajduk Split
    36ArdaTBD #72
    37ByeSparta Prague
    38Zimbru ChisinauFC Astana
    39TBD #77SK Rapid
    40TBD #79Maccabi Haifa
    41ArazAris
    42OmoniaTBD #84
    43Cherno MoreBasaksehir
    44TBD #87Beitar Jerusalem
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