Milan vs Lecce: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Coppa Italia Milan - Lecce
Result
3:0
23/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Coppa Italia - 1/16-finals
Milan - Lecce - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
4.330.17
Ball Possession
77%23%
Total shots
242
Shots on target
101
Big Chances
90
Corner Kicks
122
Passes
94% (691/734)80% (177/221)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
4.330.17
xG on target (xGOT)
3.110.42
Total shots
242
Shots on target
101
Shots off target
111
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
181
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
40
Big Chances
90
Corner Kicks
122
Touches in opposition box
353
Accurate through passes
30
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
811
Passes
94% (691/734)80% (177/221)
Long passes
76% (29/38)42% (16/38)
Passes in final third
88% (179/203)44% (8/18)
Crosses
38% (10/26)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
3.210.05
Throw-ins
1216
Fouls
118
Tackles
73% (8/11)60% (6/10)
Duels won
3733
Clearances
824
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.423.11
Goals prevented
0.420.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', Siebert J. 🟥,
  • 20', 1 - 0, Gimenez S. , Bartesaghi D. (A),
  • 22', Ndri K. , Gaspar K. ,
  • 35', Ricci S. 🟨,
  • 43', Kaba M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Kaba M. , Pierotti S. ,
  • 46', Helgason T. J. , Gorter O. ,
  • 46', Ricci S. , Fofana Y. ,
  • 51', 2 - 0, Nkunku C. , Saelemaekers A. (A),
  • 57', Tete Morente , Gallo A. ,
  • 61', Saelemaekers A. , Athekame Z. ,
  • 61', Nkunku C. , Pulisic C. ,
  • 64', 3 - 0, Pulisic C. , Fofana Y. (A),
  • 68', Gimenez S. , Balentien C. ,
  • 70', Pavlovic S. 🟨,
  • 79', Pavlovic S. , Odogu D. ,
  • 80', Berisha M. , Coulibaly L. ,

Chances of winning


Milan
85%
Draw
10.6%
Lecce
4.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.8% 18.8% 8.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Milan's performance.
  • Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Milan - Lecce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.12
    (1.32)
    9.69
    (5.1)
    22.42
    (11.5)
    3.9%
    (4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Milan - Lecce?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Milan will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 76.1%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Milan (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 4.
    • Milan is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Lecce is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Lecce may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Milan is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Milan won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:9. (average 2.5:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Milan won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:2. (average 2.4:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Milan - Lecce were as follows:
    29.08.2025 Lecce - Milan 0:2
    08.03.2025 Lecce - Milan 2:3
    27.09.2024 Milan - Lecce 3:0
    06.04.2024 Milan - Lecce 3:0
    11.11.2023 Lecce - Milan 2:2
    Latest results of Milan
    20.09.2025 Udinese - Milan 0:3
    14.09.2025 Milan - Bologna 1:0
    29.08.2025 Lecce - Milan 0:2
    23.08.2025 Milan - Cremonese 1:2
    17.08.2025 Milan - Bari 2:0
    Latest results of Lecce
    19.09.2025 Lecce - Cagliari 1:2
    14.09.2025 Atalanta - Lecce 4:1
    29.08.2025 Lecce - Milan 0:2
    23.08.2025 Genoa - Lecce 0:0
    15.08.2025 Lecce - Juve Stabia 2:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/64-finals
    1BolognaBye
    5ParmaBye
    6PescaraRimini1 : 0
    7SpeziaBye
    8ByeSampdoria
    9LazioBye
    13AC MilanBye
    14ByeBari
    15LecceBye
    16ByeJuve Stabia
    17JuventusBye
    21UdineseBye
    22ByeCarrarese
    23CremoneseBye
    24ByePalermo
    25AtalantaBye
    29EmpoliBye
    30ByeReggiana
    31GenoaBye
    32PadovaL.R. Vicenza0 : 2
    33InterBye
    37Audace CerignolaAvellino1 : 0
    38VeronaBye
    39VeneziaBye
    40ByeMantova
    41AS RomaBye
    45TorinoBye
    46ByeModena
    47PisaBye
    48ByeCesena
    49FiorentinaBye
    53ComoBye
    54ByeSudtirol
    55SassuoloBye
    56ByeCatanzaro
    57NapoliBye
    61MonzaBye
    62ByeFrosinone
    63CagliariBye
    64EntellaTernana4 : 0

    1/32-finals
    1BolognaBye
    3ParmaPescara2 : 0
    4SpeziaSampdoria2 : 1
    5LazioBye
    7AC MilanBari2 : 0
    8LecceJuve Stabia2 : 0
    9JuventusBye
    11UdineseCarrarese2 : 0
    12CremonesePalermo0 : 1
    13AtalantaBye
    15EmpoliReggiana2 : 1
    16GenoaL.R. Vicenza3 : 0
    17InterBye
    19Audace CerignolaVerona1 : 2
    20VeneziaMantova4 : 0
    21AS RomaBye
    23TorinoModena1 : 0
    24PisaCesena1 : 0
    25FiorentinaBye
    27ComoSudtirol3 : 1
    28SassuoloCatanzaro1 : 0
    29NapoliBye
    31MonzaFrosinone0 : 1
    32CagliariEntella2 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1BolognaBye
    2ParmaSpezia
    3LazioBye
    4AC MilanLecce3 : 0
    5JuventusBye
    6UdinesePalermo2 : 1
    7AtalantaBye
    8EmpoliGenoa
    9InterBye
    10VeronaVenezia
    11AS RomaBye
    12TorinoPisa
    13FiorentinaBye
    14ComoSassuolo
    15NapoliBye
    16FrosinoneCagliari1 : 4

    1/8-finals
    1BolognaTBD #2
    2LazioAC Milan
    3JuventusUdinese
    4AtalantaTBD #8
    5InterTBD #10
    6AS RomaTBD #12
    7FiorentinaTBD #14
    8NapoliCagliari

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Milan - Lecce?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
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    asiaAsiaMBC Action
    australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
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    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
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    slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
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    south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
    spainSpainDAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
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    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Premier Sports Player
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