Lecce vs Milan: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie A Lecce - Milan
Result
0:2
29/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A - Round 2
  • Referee: Marinelli L. (Ita)
Lecce - Milan - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.411.57
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
714
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
85% (329/389)86% (418/485)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.411.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.441.87
Total shots
714
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
511
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1935
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
810
Passes
85% (329/389)86% (418/485)
Long passes
61% (31/51)45% (23/51)
Passes in final third
71% (79/111)75% (89/118)
Crosses
21% (4/19)47% (7/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.421.44
Throw-ins
1317
Fouls
108
Tackles
47% (7/15)61% (11/18)
Duels won
4142
Clearances
1617
Interceptions
18
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.870.44
Goals prevented
-0.130.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Camarda F. , Stulic N. ,
  • 63', Pierotti S. , Sottil R. ,
  • 63', Kaba M. , Berisha M. ,
  • 64', Gaspar K. 🟨,
  • 66', 0 - 1, Loftus-Cheek R. , Modric L. (A),
  • 77', Loftus-Cheek R. , Ricci S. ,
  • 77', Saelemaekers A. , Pulisic C. ,
  • 82', Ramadani Y. , Helgason T. J. ,
  • 82', Tete Morente , Ndri K. ,
  • 86', 0 - 2, Pulisic C. ,
  • 88', Gimenez S. , Mul C. ,

Chances of winning


Lecce
14.1%
Draw
25.2%
Milan
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.7% 24.4% 56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3% 23.8% 58.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Lecce - Milan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.69
    (5.11)
    3.79
    (3.92)
    1.57
    (1.68)
    5.1%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Lecce - Milan?
  • Users Predictions: Milan will win (65 of 80 users predict this - 81.25%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.7%89.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milan will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 0.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Milan is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Lecce: Jean G. (Knee Injury) Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Milan: Jashari A. (Calf Injury) Leao R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lecce: Pierret B. (Illness) Rafia H. (Illness)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:23. (average 1:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lecce won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.8:2.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lecce - Milan were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Lecce - Milan 2:3
    27.09.2024 Milan - Lecce 3:0
    06.04.2024 Milan - Lecce 3:0
    11.11.2023 Lecce - Milan 2:2
    23.04.2023 Milan - Lecce 2:0
    Latest results of Lecce
    23.08.2025 Genoa - Lecce 0:0
    15.08.2025 Lecce - Juve Stabia 2:0
    09.08.2025 Monopoli - Lecce 2:2
    03.08.2025 Lecce - Carrarese 1:0
    Latest results of Milan
    23.08.2025 Milan - Cremonese 1:2
    17.08.2025 Milan - Bari 2:0
    10.08.2025 Chelsea - Milan 4:1
    09.08.2025 Leeds United - Milan 1:1
    31.07.2025 Perth Glory - Milan 0:9
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Napoli22003:036
    2Juventus22003:036
    3Cremonese22005:326
    4AS Roma22002:026
    5Udinese21103:214
    6Inter21016:243
    7Lazio21014:223
    8AC Milan21013:213
    9Como21012:113
    10Bologna21011:103
    11Atalanta20202:202
    12Fiorentina20201:102
    13Pisa20111:2-11
    14Cagliari20111:2-11
    15Genoa20110:1-11
    16Parma20111:3-21
    17Lecce20110:2-21
    18Verona20111:5-41
    19Torino20110:5-51
    20Sassuolo20022:5-30

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

    Which TV channels are streaming of Lecce - Milan?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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