Result
2:3
08/03/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie A - Round 28
- Referee: Doveri D. (Ita)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 3.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 29% | 71% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 14 | 33 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (164/242) | 89% (518/581) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 50% (40/80) | 84% (142/169) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 41% (9/22) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (16/22) | 67% (4/6) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 38 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Krstovic N. ⚽, Helgason T. J. (A),
- 42', Berisha M. 🟨,
- 45+4', Conceicao S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Jimenez A. ↓, Leao R. ↑,
- 56', Berisha M. ↓, Pierret B. ↑,
- 59', 2 - 0, Krstovic N. ⚽, Guilbert F. (A),
- 62', Gimenez S. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,
- 62', Bondo W. ↓, Joao Felix ↑,
- 68', 2 - 1, Gallo A. (Own goal),
- 73', 2 - 2, Pulisic C. (Pen),
- 74', Helgason T. J. ↓, Ramadani Y. ↑,
- 74', Pierotti S. ↓, Veiga D. ↑,
- 74', Musah Y. ↓, Sottil R. ↑,
- 75', Walker K. ↓, Fofana Y. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 3, Pulisic C. ⚽, Leao R. (A),
- 83', Coulibaly L. ↓, Rebic A. ↑,
- 83', Tete Morente ↓, Banda L. ↑,
- 88', Abraham T. 🟨,
- 90+1', Krstovic N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lecce
20.5% | Draw
27% | Milan
52.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Milan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lecce - Milan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.66 ↓
(5.01) |
3.55 ↓
(4.05) |
1.82 ↑
(1.68) |
4.4%
(4.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fubo (for US customers) Network on : FOX Deportes
What is the prediction for Lecce - Milan?
The most likely score is 1:2.
User prediction is Milan will win! (40 of 49 users predict this).
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lecce won 0.
- Recent matches Lecce is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Milan is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Lecce could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Milan is a favorite.
- There will not play in Lecce: Gonzalez J.
(Chest Injury)
Marchwinski F.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Milan: Emerson Royal
(Muscle Injury)
Florenzi A.
(Knee Injury)
Loftus-Cheek R.
(Thigh Injury)
Maignan M.
(Suspended)
Pavlovic S.
(Red Card)
Traore C.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Lecce: Pierotti S.
(Injury)
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Lecce won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:20 (average 0.9:2.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lecce won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1.7:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Lecce won against Milan?
Lecce has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Lecce?
Milan has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lecce - Milan were as follows:
27.09.2024
Milan
-
Lecce
3:0
06.04.2024
Milan
-
Lecce
3:0
11.11.2023
Lecce
-
Milan
2:2
23.04.2023
Milan
-
Lecce
2:0
14.01.2023
Lecce
-
Milan
2:2
Italian Serie A Table
2024/25 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Napoli ✔ | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 57:27 | 30 | 79 |
| 2 | Inter ✔ | 37 | 23 | 9 | 5 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
| 3 | Atalanta ✔ | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 76:34 | 42 | 74 |
| 4 | Juventus | 37 | 17 | 16 | 4 | 55:33 | 22 | 67 |
| 5 | AS Roma | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 54:35 | 19 | 66 |
| 6 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 61:48 | 13 | 65 |
| 7 | Fiorentina | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 57:39 | 18 | 62 |
| 8 | Bologna | 37 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 56:44 | 12 | 62 |
| 9 | AC Milan | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 59:43 | 16 | 60 |
| 10 | Como | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 49:50 | -1 | 49 |
| 11 | Torino | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 39:43 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 39:53 | -14 | 44 |
| 13 | Genoa | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 40 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 40:54 | -14 | 36 |
| 15 | Verona | 37 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 32:65 | -33 | 34 |
| 16 | Parma | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 41:56 | -15 | 33 |
| 17 | Lecce | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 26:58 | -32 | 31 |
| 18 | Empoli | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 32:57 | -25 | 31 |
| 19 | Venezia | 37 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 30:53 | -23 | 29 |
| 20 | Monza ✔ | 37 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 28:67 | -39 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
Clinched Spots for Teams
Napoli is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Inter is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Atalanta is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Monza is Relegated to Serie B
Which TV channels are streaming of Lecce - Milan?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football |
 Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
 Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
 Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1 |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 Hungary | Match 4, Net4+ |
 India | GXR World |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | 214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
 Kosovo | ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1 |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | Cignal Play, Premier Football |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru |
 Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Slovenia | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 Premium |
 South-africa | SuperSport Football |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South |
 South-korea | SPOTV Prime 2 |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 4 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1 |
 United-arab-emirates | Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | Disney+, Onefootball |
