Lecce vs Inter Milan: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie A
Soccer Italian Serie A Lecce - Inter Milan
Result
0:4
26/01/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie A - Round 22
  • Referee: Marinelli L. (Ita)
Lecce - Inter Milan - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.882.13
Ball Possession
49%51%
Goal Attempts
179
Shots on Goal
45
Shots off Goal
81
Blocked Shots
53
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
70
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Free Kicks
1213
Offsides
14
Fouls
1312
Yellow Cards
02
Throw-ins
1417
Touches in the Opposition Box
1322
Passes
87% (375/433)89% (411/463)
Passes in the final third
73% (61/83)69% (43/62)
Crosses
25% (7/28)25% (1/4)
Tackles
70% (14/20)30% (3/10)
Clearances Total
1019
Interceptions
127

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Frattesi D. ⚽, Thuram M. (A),
  • 16', de Vrij S. 🟨,
  • 30', Inzaghi S. 🟨,
  • 39', 0 - 2, Martinez L. ⚽, Zielinski P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', de Vrij S. ↓, Bisseck Y. ↑,
  • 46', Coulibaly L. ↓, Ramadani Y. ↑,
  • 57', 0 - 3, Dumfries D. ⚽, Martinez L. (A),
  • 58', Mkhitaryan H. ↓, Barella N. ↑,
  • 59', Martinez L. ↓, Taremi M. ↑,
  • 61', 0 - 4, Taremi M. (Pen),
  • 62', Dumfries D. ↓, Buchanan T. ↑,
  • 72', Pierret B. ↓, Kaba M. ↑,
  • 75', Frattesi D. ↓, Asllani K. ↑,
  • 82', Taremi M. 🟨,
  • 83', Tete Morente ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
  • 86', Krstovic N. ↓, Burnete R. ↑,

Chances of winning


Lecce
9.9%		Draw
19.4%		Inter Milan
70.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
11.1% 18.9% 70%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.7% 18.3% 72.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
    •

    Lecce - Inter Milan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 9.73 ↑
    (8.59)    		 4.97 ↓
    (5.05)    		 1.35 ↓
    (1.37)    		 4.4%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Lecce - Inter Milan?
  • Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 2 - 3.5%). Inter will win (votes: 49 - 86%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Inter: 77% – 95%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lecce won 0.
    • Lecce is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Inter is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Lecce could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Inter is absolute favorite.
    • There will not play in Lecce: Banda L. (Broken ankle) Gallo A. (Thigh Injury) Gaspar K. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez J. (Chest Injury) Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury) Rafia H. (Thigh Injury) Rebic A. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Inter: Acerbi F. (Thigh Injury) Calhanoglu H. (Calf Injury) Di Gennaro R. (Finger Injury)
    • There are questionable in Inter: Correa J. (Calf Injury)
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Lecce won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 2:17 (average 0.3:2.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lecce won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:7 (average 0.5:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lecce - Inter Milan were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Inter Milan - Lecce 2:0
    25.02.2024 Lecce - Inter Milan 0:4
    23.12.2023 Inter Milan - Lecce 2:0
    05.03.2023 Inter Milan - Lecce 2:0
    Latest results of Lecce
    19.01.2025 Cagliari - Lecce 4:1 ✺
    11.01.2025 Empoli - Lecce 1:3 ✺
    05.01.2025 Lecce - Genoa 0:0 ✺
    30.12.2024 Como - Lecce 2:0 ✺
    21.12.2024 Lecce - Lazio 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Inter Milan
    22.01.2025 Sparta Prague - Inter Milan 0:1 ✺
    19.01.2025 Inter Milan - Empoli 3:1 ✺
    15.01.2025 Inter Milan - Bologna 2:2 ✺
    12.01.2025 Venezia - Inter Milan 0:1 ✺
    06.01.2025 Inter Milan - Milan 2:3 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lecce00000:000
    2Bologna00000:000
    3Pisa00000:000
    4Cremonese00000:000
    5Genoa00000:000
    6Napoli00000:000
    7Udinese00000:000
    8Sassuolo00000:000
    9AS Roma00000:000
    10Inter00000:000
    11Juventus00000:000
    12Fiorentina00000:000
    13AC Milan00000:000
    14Atalanta00000:000
    15Lazio00000:000
    16Cagliari00000:000
    17Torino00000:000
    18Parma00000:000
    19Verona00000:000
    20Como00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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