Fiorentina vs Lecce: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie A
Soccer Italian Serie A Fiorentina - Lecce
Result
1:0
28/02/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie A - Round 27
  • Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)
Fiorentina - Lecce - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.670.77
Ball Possession
48%52%
Goal Attempts
108
Shots on Goal
33
Shots off Goal
52
Blocked Shots
23
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
52
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
32
Free Kicks
1210
Offsides
50
Fouls
1012
Yellow Cards
32
Throw-ins
2015
Touches in the Opposition Box
1218
Passes
77% (317/413)80% (361/454)
Passes in the final third
52% (48/92)57% (59/103)
Crosses
29% (7/24)26% (6/23)
Tackles
43% (3/7)50% (5/10)
Clearances Total
3625
Interceptions
810

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Gosens R. ⚽, Dodo (A),
  • 17', Beltran L. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Berisha M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', Gallo A. 🟨,
  • 61', Zaniolo N. 🟨,
  • 64', Gallo A. ↓, Sala M. ↑,
  • 64', Berisha M. ↓, Rebic A. ↑,
  • 64', Karlsson J. ↓, Helgason T. J. ↑,
  • 69', Cataldi D. ↓, Fagioli N. ↑,
  • 73', Beltran L. (Pen),
  • 81', Pongracic M. ↓, Comuzzo P. ↑,
  • 86', Guilbert F. ↓, Veiga D. ↑,
  • 86', Mandragora R. 🟨,
  • 87', Dodo ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
  • 88', Zaniolo N. ↓, Gudmundsson A. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fiorentina
50.8%		Draw
29.4%		Lecce
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.1% 25.2% 17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5% 24.6% 17.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fiorentina's form might have worsened.
  • Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fiorentina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
    •

    Fiorentina - Lecce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.89 ↑
    (1.68)    		 3.28 ↓
    (3.79)    		 4.85 ↓
    (5.4)    		 4.2%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Lecce?
  • Users Predictions: Fiorentina will win (68 of 82 users predict this - 82.93%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.79% – 91.07%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 and 16).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Adli Y. (Ankle Injury) Bove E. (Heart Problems) Colpani A. (Injury) Gudmundsson A. (Back Injury) Richardson A. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Lecce: Banda L. (Broken ankle) Gonzalez J. (Chest Injury) Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fiorentina: Folorunsho M. (Injury) Kean M. (Injury)
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:8 (average 2:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Fiorentina won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Lecce were as follows:
    20.10.2024 Lecce - Fiorentina 0:6
    02.02.2024 Lecce - Fiorentina 3:2
    27.08.2023 Fiorentina - Lecce 2:2
    19.03.2023 Fiorentina - Lecce 1:0
    17.10.2022 Lecce - Fiorentina 1:1
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    23.02.2025 Verona - Fiorentina 1:0 ✺
    16.02.2025 Fiorentina - Como 0:2 ✺
    10.02.2025 Inter Milan - Fiorentina 2:1 ✺
    06.02.2025 Fiorentina - Inter Milan 3:0 ✺
    02.02.2025 Fiorentina - Genoa 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Lecce
    21.02.2025 Lecce - Udinese 0:1 ✺
    16.02.2025 Monza - Lecce 0:0 ✺
    09.02.2025 Lecce - Bologna 0:0 ✺
    31.01.2025 Parma - Lecce 1:3 ✺
    26.01.2025 Lecce - Inter Milan 0:4 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lecce00000:000
    2Bologna00000:000
    3Pisa00000:000
    4Cremonese00000:000
    5Genoa00000:000
    6Napoli00000:000
    7Udinese00000:000
    8Sassuolo00000:000
    9AS Roma00000:000
    10Inter00000:000
    11Juventus00000:000
    12Fiorentina00000:000
    13AC Milan00000:000
    14Atalanta00000:000
    15Lazio00000:000
    16Cagliari00000:000
    17Torino00000:000
    18Parma00000:000
    19Verona00000:000
    20Como00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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