Fiorentina vs Lecce: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Italian Serie A Fiorentina - Lecce
Result
1:0
28/02/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie A - Round 27
  • Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)
Fiorentina - Lecce - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.670.77
Ball Possession
48%52%
Goal Attempts
108
Shots on Goal
33
Shots off Goal
52
Blocked Shots
23
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
52
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
32
Free Kicks
1210
Offsides
50
Fouls
1012
Yellow Cards
32
Throw-ins
2015
Touches in the Opposition Box
1218
Passes
77% (317/413)80% (361/454)
Passes in the final third
52% (48/92)57% (59/103)
Crosses
29% (7/24)26% (6/23)
Tackles
43% (3/7)50% (5/10)
Clearances Total
3625
Interceptions
810

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Gosens R. , Dodo (A),
  • 17', Beltran L. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Berisha M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', Gallo A. 🟨,
  • 61', Zaniolo N. 🟨,
  • 64', Gallo A. , Sala M. ,
  • 64', Berisha M. , Rebic A. ,
  • 64', Karlsson J. , Helgason T. J. ,
  • 69', Cataldi D. , Fagioli N. ,
  • 73', Beltran L. (Pen),
  • 81', Pongracic M. , Comuzzo P. ,
  • 86', Guilbert F. , Veiga D. ,
  • 86', Mandragora R. 🟨,
  • 87', Dodo , Moreno M. ,
  • 88', Zaniolo N. , Gudmundsson A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fiorentina
50.8%
Draw
29.4%
Lecce
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.1% 25.2% 17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5% 24.6% 17.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fiorentina's form might have worsened.
  • Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fiorentina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Fiorentina - Lecce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.68)
    3.28
    (3.79)
    4.85
    (5.4)
    4.2%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Lecce?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is Fiorentina will win! (68 of 82 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 and 16).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Adli Y. (Ankle Injury) Bove E. (Heart Problems) Colpani A. (Injury) Gudmundsson A. (Back Injury) Richardson A. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Lecce: Banda L. (Broken ankle) Gonzalez J. (Chest Injury) Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fiorentina: Folorunsho M. (Injury) Kean M. (Injury)
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:8 (average 2:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Fiorentina won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Lecce were as follows:
    20.10.2024 Lecce - Fiorentina 0:6
    02.02.2024 Lecce - Fiorentina 3:2
    27.08.2023 Fiorentina - Lecce 2:2
    19.03.2023 Fiorentina - Lecce 1:0
    17.10.2022 Lecce - Fiorentina 1:1
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    23.02.2025 Verona - Fiorentina 1:0
    16.02.2025 Fiorentina - Como 0:2
    10.02.2025 Inter Milan - Fiorentina 2:1
    06.02.2025 Fiorentina - Inter Milan 3:0
    02.02.2025 Fiorentina - Genoa 2:1
    Latest results of Lecce
    21.02.2025 Lecce - Udinese 0:1
    16.02.2025 Monza - Lecce 0:0
    09.02.2025 Lecce - Bologna 0:0
    31.01.2025 Parma - Lecce 1:3
    26.01.2025 Lecce - Inter Milan 0:4
    Italian Serie A Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Napoli ✔ 35238455:253077
    2Inter ✔ 35228573:334074
    3Atalanta35208771:314068
    4Juventus351615452:322063
    5AS Roma35189850:321863
    6Lazio35189858:451363
    7Bologna351614553:381562
    8Fiorentina351781053:351859
    9AC Milan351691055:391657
    10Como351291445:48-345
    11Torino3510141139:40-144
    12Udinese351281538:49-1144
    13Genoa359121430:43-1339
    14Cagliari35891836:51-1533
    15Verona35952130:63-3332
    16Parma356141540:54-1432
    17Lecce35692024:57-3327
    18Venezia354141728:49-2126
    19Empoli354131827:55-2825
    20Monza ✔ 35292425:63-3815

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Napoli is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Inter is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Monza is Relegated to Serie B
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