Le Mans vs Bastia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 2 Le Mans - Bastia
Result
1:0
22/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 2 - Round 3
  • Referee: Bouille T. (Fra)
Le Mans - Bastia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.400.73
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
95
Passes
78% (253/326)79% (236/299)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.400.73
xG on target (xGOT)
1.320.26
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
95
Touches in opposition box
1215
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1117
Passes
78% (253/326)79% (236/299)
Long passes
44% (24/55)48% (30/62)
Passes in final third
73% (65/89)51% (39/76)
Crosses
21% (6/29)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.950.42
Throw-ins
2125
Fouls
1711
Tackles
57% (4/7)67% (4/6)
Duels won
4846
Clearances
3336
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.261.32
Goals prevented
0.260.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Ribelin A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Luvambo T. , Harhouz W. ,
  • 60', Tomi F. , Vincent C. ,
  • 61', Ble M. , Parravicini N. ,
  • 64', Guidi D. 🟨,
  • 65', Vercruysse J. , Quarshie E. ,
  • 65', Abanda L. , Calodat L. ,
  • 65', Rossignol M. , Robin M. ,
  • 76', Bohnert F. , Meynadier T. ,
  • 76', Sebas J. , Karamoko I. ,
  • 77', Robin M. 🟨,
  • 81', Ribelin A. , Oggad B. ,
  • 84', Yohou S. 🟨,
  • 88', Parravicini N. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 1 - 0, Gueye D. (Pen),
  • 90+8', Janneh J. , Aiki A. ,

Chances of winning


Le Mans
35%
Draw
29.9%
Bastia
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.3% 27.9% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Le Mans's form might have worsened.
  • Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Le Mans - Bastia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (2.29)
    3.11
    (3.31)
    2.68
    (2.9)
    6.9%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Le Mans - Bastia?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Le Mans will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Bastia will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bastia: 21.4%67.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Bastia (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Le Mans is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Bastia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Le Mans: Colas E. (Back Injury) Guillaume B. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Bastia: Akueson G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ducrocq T. (Red Card) Guevara J. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Le Mans won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Le Mans won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    Latest results of Le Mans
    18.08.2025 Le Mans - Montpellier 1:2
    09.08.2025 Guingamp - Le Mans 3:3
    01.08.2025 Le Mans - Caen 2:0
    23.07.2025 Quevilly - Le Mans 2:4
    19.07.2025 Le Havre - Le Mans 0:1
    Latest results of Bastia
    15.08.2025 Bastia - Pau 1:1
    10.05.2025 Bastia - Caen 2:1
    02.05.2025 Guingamp - Bastia 2:2
    25.04.2025 Bastia - Grenoble 2:3
    19.04.2025 Paris FC - Bastia 1:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1St Etienne42209:458
    2Pau FC42207:348
    3Nancy42206:338
    4Red Star42117:437
    5Reims42114:407
    6Troyes42113:307
    7Clermont41304:316
    8Amiens41216:515
    9Dunkerque41217:705
    10Montpellier41214:405
    11Rodez41212:5-35
    12Laval40405:504
    13Le Mans41125:6-14
    14Annecy41123:5-24
    15Guingamp41126:9-34
    16Grenoble40224:6-22
    17Bastia30122:5-31
    18Boulogne30030:3-30

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National

    Which TV channels are streaming of Le Mans - Bastia?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
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