Pau vs Laval: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 2 Pau - Laval
Result
1:0
23/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 2 - Round 7
  • Referee: Petit A. (Fra)
Pau - Laval - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.580.46
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
175
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
89% (447/504)86% (446/519)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.580.46
xG on target (xGOT)
1.590.40
Total shots
175
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
123
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2417
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1810
Passes
89% (447/504)86% (446/519)
Long passes
55% (24/44)53% (25/47)
Passes in final third
65% (70/107)54% (57/105)
Crosses
23% (5/22)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.790.97
Throw-ins
1614
Fouls
1018
Tackles
67% (2/3)81% (13/16)
Duels won
4138
Clearances
1830
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.401.59
Goals prevented
0.400.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Bianda W. 🟨,
  • 29', Kante 🟨,
  • 45', Zuliani E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', 1 - 0, Messi R. , Touzghar R. (A),
  • 61', Clavreul E. , Sellouki M. ,
  • 62', Meddah D. 🟨,
  • 64', Zuliani E. , Sadik O. ,
  • 65', Touzghar R. , Beusnard S. ,
  • 65', Messi R. , Sissoko O. ,
  • 73', Maggiotti J. , Thomas T. ,
  • 74', Bianda W. , Pellenard T. ,
  • 74', Vargas T. , Faurand-Tournaire A. ,
  • 82', Bobichon A. , Gasnier K. ,
  • 85', Dong K. , Karamoko S. ,

Chances of winning


Pau
40.3%
Draw
30.2%
Laval
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.3% 27.6% 36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7% 28.1% 36.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Laval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Laval might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laval than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Laval could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pau - Laval Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.44)
    3.08
    (3.2)
    3.19
    (2.45)
    6.3%
    (13%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Pau - Laval?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Pau will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Laval will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pau: 28.1%78.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Laval (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pau won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Pau: Gaspar J. (Inactive) Pouilly T. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Laval: Adilehou M. (Inactive) Camara M. (Inactive) Montet E. (Leg Injury) Ouaneh P. (Knee Injury) Vargas T. (Personal Reasons)
    • There are questionable in Pau: Briancon A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Laval: Clavreul E. (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Pau won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pau won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pau - Laval were as follows:
    31.01.2025 Pau - Laval 1:1
    27.09.2024 Laval - Pau 3:1
    20.04.2024 Pau - Laval 3:0
    16.12.2023 Laval - Pau 1:1
    18.02.2023 Pau - Laval 0:1
    Latest results of Pau
    19.09.2025 Boulogne - Pau 0:3
    12.09.2025 Pau - Red Star 0:3
    29.08.2025 Nancy - Pau 2:2
    25.08.2025 Pau - Reims 2:0
    15.08.2025 Bastia - Pau 1:1
    Latest results of Laval
    19.09.2025 Laval - Amiens 0:3
    12.09.2025 Boulogne - Laval 1:2
    29.08.2025 Laval - Clermont 0:0
    22.08.2025 Rodez - Laval 1:1
    15.08.2025 Grenoble - Laval 1:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes962119:91020
    2St Etienne962119:10920
    3Pau FC962116:8820
    4Red Star952215:9617
    5Reims942314:13114
    6Guingamp942316:19-314
    7Nancy933310:11-112
    8Rodez93338:11-312
    9Montpellier93248:10-211
    10Dunkerque924316:14210
    11Le Mans924311:12-110
    12Clermont92439:13-410
    13Amiens923411:13-29
    14Grenoble923410:12-29
    15Annecy92349:12-39
    16Boulogne93067:11-49
    17Laval91537:11-48
    18Bastia90454:11-74

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National

    Which TV channels are streaming of Pau - Laval?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
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