Las Palmas vs Atlético Madrid: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

19/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas).

: LaLiga - Round 32
Referee: Garcia V. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.66	0.80
Ball Possession
41%	59%
Total shots
8	7
Shots on target
2	2
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	4
Passes
80% (302/377)	83% (454/544)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66	0.80
xG on target (xGOT)
0.44	0.42
Total shots
8	7
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
2	4
Blocked Shots
4	1
Shots inside the Box
4	7
Shots outside the Box
4	0
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
17	19
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
13	13
Passes
80% (302/377)	83% (454/544)
Long passes
45% (26/58)	43% (20/46)
Passes in final third
53% (51/96)	56% (55/99)
Crosses
12% (2/17)	40% (8/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.35	0.91
Fouls
13	13
Tackles
75% (12/16)	56% (9/16)
Duels won
51	49
Clearances Total
28	22
Interceptions
14	10
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
0.42	0.44
Goals prevented
0.42	-0.56

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Galan J. 🟨,
59', Koke ↓, de Paul R. ↑,
59', Gallagher C. ↓, Riquelme R. ↑,
65', Galan J. ↓, Azpilicueta C. ↑,
65', Alvarez J. ↓, Griezmann A. ↑,
67', McBurnie O. ↓, Marvin ↑,
71', Javier Munoz 🟨,
75', Sorloth A. ↓, Correa A. ↑,
77', Essugo D. 🟨,
79', Essugo D. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
83', Moleiro A. ↓, Campana J. ↑,
83', Silva F. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 0, Javier Munoz ⚽,
90+4', Mata J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Las Palmas
17.6%

Draw
22.7%

Atlético Madrid
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

24.3%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

23.4%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Las Palmas - Atlético Madrid Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.47 ↑ (5.4)	4.26 ↑ (3.96)	1.6 ↓ (1.66)	4.3% (3.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : ESPN Deportes

What is the prediction for Las Palmas - Atlético Madrid?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (37 of 42 users predict this - 88.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.31% – 97.89%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 1.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
In this match Atlético is a favorite.
There will not play in Las Palmas: Cillessen J. (Health problems) Rodriguez K. (Health problems)
Last 12 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 6:32 (average 0.5:2.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Las Palmas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3:18 (average 0.5:3).

How many head-to-head matches has Las Palmas won against Atlético Madrid?

Las Palmas has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Madrid won against Las Palmas?

Atlético Madrid has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Las Palmas - Atlético Madrid were as follows:

03.11.2024 Atlético Madrid - Las Palmas 2:0

17.02.2024 Atlético Madrid - Las Palmas 5:0

03.11.2023 Las Palmas - Atlético Madrid 2:1

Latest results of Las Palmas

12.04.2025 Getafe - Las Palmas 1:3 ✺

06.04.2025 Las Palmas - Real Sociedad 1:3 ✺

31.03.2025 Celta de Vigo - Las Palmas 1:1 ✺

14.03.2025 Las Palmas - Deportivo Alavés 2:2 ✺

09.03.2025 Betis - Las Palmas 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Atlético Madrid

14.04.2025 Atlético Madrid - Valladolid 4:2 ✺

06.04.2025 Sevilla - Atlético Madrid 1:2 ✺

02.04.2025 Atlético Madrid - Barcelona 0:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Espanyol - Atlético Madrid 1:1 ✺

12.03.2025 Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid 1:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Sociedad	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Elche	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Alaves	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Celta Vigo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Rayo Vallecano	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Real Madrid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Villarreal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Atl. Madrid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Sevilla	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Mallorca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Valencia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Ath Bilbao	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Espanyol	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Betis	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Osasuna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Levante	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Girona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	R. Oviedo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Las Palmas - Atlético Madrid?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	K-Sport 1
Angola	Z Sport La Liga
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Madagascar	UpTV
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
Taiwan	DAZN
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2, Varzish Sport
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
World	Disney+