Vélez Sársfield vs Lanús: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Vélez Sársfield - Lanús
Result
3:0
30/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 7
  • Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)
Vélez Sársfield - Lanús - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.800.46
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
68% (264/388)73% (279/380)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.800.46
xG on target (xGOT)
2.640.01
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
86
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
2312
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
68% (264/388)73% (279/380)
Long passes
29% (18/62)36% (19/53)
Passes in final third
59% (70/118)62% (64/104)
Crosses
8% (2/24)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.900.35
Throw-ins
2319
Fouls
1113
Tackles
65% (15/23)85% (11/13)
Duels won
6450
Clearances
1627
Interceptions
916
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.012.64
Goals prevented
0.01-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Braian Romero ,
  • 35', Bouzat A. 🟨,
  • 42', Marcich S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Losada N. , Morales L. ,
  • 50', 2 - 0, Galvan T. , Aliendro R. (A),
  • 53', 3 - 0, Carrizo M. , Braian Romero (A),
  • 59', Quiroz T. 🟨,
  • 59', Ramirez J. , Sanchez F. ,
  • 69', Castillo R. , Bou W. ,
  • 69', Segovia A. , Aquino D. ,
  • 75', Machuca I. , Lanzini M. ,
  • 77', Magallan L. 🟨,
  • 81', Braian Romero , Santos M. ,
  • 82', Galvan T. , Pellegrini M. ,
  • 83', Watson F. N. , Canelo A. ,
  • 87', Bouzat A. , Andrada I. ,
  • 88', Carrizo M. , Pizzini F. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vélez Sársfield
41.8%
Draw
33.5%
Lanús
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.1% 31.5% 25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 32.3% 24.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Vélez Sársfield - Lanús Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.2)
    2.8
    (3.01)
    3.77
    (3.72)
    6.1%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Lanús?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 1.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Vélez is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Vélez: Garcia J. (Broken ankle) Monzon F. (Knee Injury) Valdes D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Lanús: Cabrera B. (Inactive) De Jesus R. (Head Injury) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Munoz E. (Hamstring Injury) Ortellado F. (Knee Injury) Pena Biafore F. (Shoulder Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vélez won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:3. (average 2.1:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Lanús were as follows:
    21.05.2025 Lanús - Vélez Sársfield 2:0
    21.02.2025 Lanús - Vélez Sársfield 0:0
    20.11.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Lanús 0:0
    04.07.2023 Lanús - Vélez Sársfield 0:1
    Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
    Latest results of Lanús
    25.08.2025 Lanús - River Plate 1:1
    21.08.2025 Lanús - Central Córdoba 2:0
    17.08.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Lanús 1:2
    14.08.2025 Central Córdoba - Lanús 1:0
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union de Santa Fe843113:6715
    2Barracas Central843111:8315
    3Boca Juniors834110:4613
    4Central Cordoba834110:6413
    5Banfield84139:10-113
    6Defensa y Justicia83329:7212
    7Estudiantes L.P84049:10-112
    8Huracan83325:6-112
    9Newells Old Boys82338:809
    10Tigre82336:7-19
    11Belgrano82336:7-19
    12Argentinos Jrs82247:8-18
    13Ind. Rivadavia82248:10-28
    14Racing Club82158:12-47
    15Aldosivi80351:10-93


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate853016:51118
    2Dep. Riestra851211:5616
    3Velez Sarsfield84319:3615
    4Lanus84137:7013
    5San Lorenzo83325:5012
    6Rosario Central72505:3211
    7Gimnasia L.P83146:8-210
    8Atl. Tucuman82338:809
    9Platense72327:9-29
    10Sarmiento Junin72327:9-29
    11San Martin S.J82335:7-29
    12Instituto82334:10-69
    13Godoy Cruz81437:10-37
    14Talleres Cordoba81343:8-56
    15Independiente70344:8-43

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Vélez Sársfield - Lanús?
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