Lanús vs Independiente Rivadavia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Lanús - Independiente Rivadavia
Result
1:0
12/09/2025 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 8
  • Referee: Mastrangelo H. (Arg)
Lanús - Independiente Rivadavia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.290.91
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
81% (387/477)75% (294/390)
Yellow Cards
10
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.290.91
xG on target (xGOT)
1.140.16
Total shots
910
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1913
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
81% (387/477)75% (294/390)
Long passes
52% (32/62)47% (27/58)
Passes in final third
75% (114/151)63% (69/109)
Crosses
7% (1/15)35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.980.90
Throw-ins
2427
Fouls
1213
Tackles
56% (5/9)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4645
Clearances
3218
Interceptions
1013
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.161.14
Goals prevented
0.160.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', 1 - 0, Bou W. , Salvio E. (A),
  • 64', Cardillo M. , Bonifacio E. ,
  • 64', Osella A. , Arce A. ,
  • 72', Amarfil M. , Bucca L. ,
  • 72', Fernandez M. , Retamar K. ,
  • 75', Segovia A. , Aquino D. ,
  • 75', Bou W. , Castillo R. ,
  • 80', Marcelino Moreno , Canelo A. ,
  • 80', Sartori F. , Bergara M. ,
  • 86', Castillo R. 🟥,
  • 89', Salvio E. , Acosta L. ,
  • 90', Medina A. , Perez G. ,
  • 90+1', Morgantini N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lanús
46.2%
Draw
31.9%
Independiente Rivadavia
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.5% 30.1% 20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6% 29.4% 20%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Lanús - Independiente Rivadavia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (1.89)
    2.97
    (3.1)
    4.34
    (4.58)
    4.5%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Lanús - Independiente Rivadavia?
  • Users Predictions: Lanús will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Lanús is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Lanús: Carrera R. (Muscle Injury) De Jesus R. (Head Injury) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Ortellado F. (Knee Injury) Pena Biafore F. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Independiente R: Costa L. (Red Card) Peinipil M. (Injury) Ramis V. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lanús won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lanús - Independiente Rivadavia were as follows:
    02.03.2025 Independiente Rivadavia - Lanús 1:1
    12.05.2024 Lanús - Independiente Rivadavia 0:2
    Latest results of Lanús
    30.08.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Lanús 3:0
    25.08.2025 Lanús - River Plate 1:1
    21.08.2025 Lanús - Central Córdoba 2:0
    17.08.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Lanús 1:2
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union de Santa Fe944115:8716
    2Barracas Central943211:9215
    3Estudiantes L.P950410:10015
    4Boca Juniors935112:6614
    5Central Cordoba935112:8414
    6Banfield94149:13-413
    7Belgrano93339:7212
    8Defensa y Justicia93339:8112
    9Tigre93338:7112
    10Huracan93335:8-312
    11Argentinos Jrs932410:8211
    12Racing Club931510:12-210
    13Ind. Rivadavia923410:12-29
    14Newells Old Boys92348:11-39
    15Aldosivi90361:12-113


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra961212:5719
    2River Plate953116:7918
    3Velez Sarsfield953111:4718
    4Lanus95139:8116
    5San Lorenzo93426:6013
    6Atl. Tucuman933310:8212
    7Rosario Central82606:4212
    8Sarmiento Junin83328:9-112
    9Gimnasia L.P93156:9-310
    10Instituto92435:11-610
    11Platense82338:11-39
    12San Martin S.J92346:9-39
    13Godoy Cruz91538:11-38
    14Talleres Cordoba91444:9-57
    15Independiente80445:9-44

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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