Result
1:0
12/09/2025 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Mastrangelo H. (Arg)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.29 | 0.91 |
Ball Possession |
---|
55% | 45% |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
81% (387/477) | 75% (294/390) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.29 | 0.91 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.14 | 0.16 |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
81% (387/477) | 75% (294/390) |
Long passes |
---|
52% (32/62) | 47% (27/58) |
Passes in final third |
---|
75% (114/151) | 63% (69/109) |
Crosses |
---|
7% (1/15) | 35% (7/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.98 | 0.90 |
Throw-ins |
---|
24 | 27 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
56% (5/9) | 75% (9/12) |
Duels won |
---|
46 | 45 |
Clearances |
---|
32 | 18 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.16 | 1.14 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.16 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', 1 - 0, Bou W. ⚽, Salvio E. (A),
- 64', Cardillo M. ↓, Bonifacio E. ↑,
- 64', Osella A. ↓, Arce A. ↑,
- 72', Amarfil M. ↓, Bucca L. ↑,
- 72', Fernandez M. ↓, Retamar K. ↑,
- 75', Segovia A. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
- 75', Bou W. ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
- 80', Marcelino Moreno ↓, Canelo A. ↑,
- 80', Sartori F. ↓, Bergara M. ↑,
- 86', Castillo R. 🟥,
- 89', Salvio E. ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
- 90', Medina A. ↓, Perez G. ↑,
- 90+1', Morgantini N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lanús 46.2% | Draw 31.9% | Independiente Rivadavia 21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Lanús - Independiente Rivadavia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.09 ↑ (1.89) |
2.97 ↓ (3.1) |
4.34 ↓ (4.58) |
4.5% (7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Lanús - Independiente Rivadavia?
Users Predictions:
Lanús will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Lanús is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Lanús: Carrera R.
(Muscle Injury)
De Jesus R.
(Head Injury)
Loaiza R.
(Knee Injury)
Ortellado F.
(Knee Injury)
Pena Biafore F.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Independiente R: Costa L.
(Red Card)
Peinipil M.
(Injury)
Ramis V.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lanús won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lanús won against Independiente Rivadavia?
Lanús has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Rivadavia won against Lanús?
Independiente Rivadavia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lanús - Independiente Rivadavia were as follows:
02.03.2025
Independiente Rivadavia
-
Lanús
1:1
12.05.2024
Lanús
-
Independiente Rivadavia
0:2
Latest results of Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Union de Santa Fe | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 16 |
2 | Barracas Central | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 15 |
3 | Estudiantes L.P | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 15 |
4 | Boca Juniors | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Central Cordoba | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
6 | Banfield | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 13 |
7 | Belgrano | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
8 | Defensa y Justicia | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
9 | Tigre | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Huracan | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 12 |
11 | Argentinos Jrs | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:8 | 2 | 11 |
12 | Racing Club | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
14 | Newells Old Boys | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 |
15 | Aldosivi | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1:12 | -11 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Dep. Riestra | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12:5 | 7 | 19 |
2 | River Plate | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16:7 | 9 | 18 |
3 | Velez Sarsfield | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 18 |
4 | Lanus | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 16 |
5 | San Lorenzo | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 13 |
6 | Atl. Tucuman | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Rosario Central | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 12 |
8 | Sarmiento Junin | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 12 |
9 | Gimnasia L.P | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6:9 | -3 | 10 |
10 | Instituto | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 10 |
11 | Platense | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 |
12 | San Martin S.J | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
13 | Godoy Cruz | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
14 | Talleres Cordoba | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 7 |
15 | Independiente | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Lanús - Independiente Rivadavia?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
China | K-Ball |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Usa | Fanatiz |
World | TyC Sports Internacional |