Result
0:2
12/10/2025 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 12
- Referee: Echenique F. (Arg)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Independiente - Lanús live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (367/448) | 67% (158/237) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 2.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (367/448) | 67% (158/237) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (36/56) | 26% (12/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (128/177) | 46% (26/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (9/36) | 60% (3/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (16/20) | 52% (11/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.01 | 1.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | 1.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', Vera F. 🟨,
- 17', Cardozo A. 🟨,
- 26', 0 - 1, Bou W. ⚽,
- 29', Valdez S. 🟨,
- 30', Quinteros G. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Vera F. ↓, Godoy L. ↑,
- 52', Montiel S. 🟨,
- 53', Carrera R. 🟨,
- 61', Cabral L. ↓, Taborda E. ↑,
- 64', Perez G. ↓, Mendez A. ↑,
- 64', Bou W. ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
- 80', Pussetto I. ↓, Mancuello F. ↑,
- 80', Galdames P. ↓, Avalos G. ↑,
- 83', Marcelino Moreno ↓, Canelo A. ↑,
- 83', Montiel S. 🟨,
- 86', Losada N. 🟨,
- 89', 0 - 2, Castillo R. ⚽,
- 90', Salvio E. ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
- 90', Carrera R. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
- 90+6', Rodrigo Fernandez 🟨,
Chances of winning
Independiente
38.8% | Draw
34% | Lanús
27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Independiente - Lanús Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↑
(2.31) |
2.92 ↓
(3.25) |
3.49 ↑
(3.08) |
0.9%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Independiente - Lanús?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Lanús will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 31.2% – 83%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 1.
- Independiente has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Lanús is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Lanús may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Independiente might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Independiente: Freire N.
(Hamstring Injury)
Millan L.
(International duty)
Paredes F.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Lanús: De Jesus R.
(Head Injury)
Loaiza R.
(Knee Injury)
Ortellado F.
(Knee Injury)
Pena Biafore F.
(Shoulder Injury)
Watson F. N.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 0.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 0.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Lanús?
Independiente has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lanús won against Independiente?
Lanús has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Lanús were as follows:
06.04.2025
Lanús
-
Independiente
1:1
18.10.2024
Lanús
-
Independiente
0:2
27.05.2023
Independiente
-
Lanús
1:1
Latest results of Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 19 |
| 2 | Central Cordoba | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 3 | Estudiantes L.P | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 18 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 18:8 | 10 | 17 |
| 5 | Union de Santa Fe | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Barracas Central | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 17 |
| 7 | Tigre | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Huracan | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 16 |
| 9 | Argentinos Jrs | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:9 | 3 | 15 |
| 10 | Belgrano | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Racing Club | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Banfield | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 14 |
| 13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10:18 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5:14 | -9 | 9 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Riestra | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | Lanus | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 23 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 13:6 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | River Plate | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:12 | 6 | 18 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 16 |
| 7 | Atl. Tucuman | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Sarmiento Junin | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 15 |
| 9 | Instituto | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 | San Martin S.J | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | Talleres Cordoba | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Gimnasia L.P | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8:14 | -6 | 13 |
| 13 | Platense | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Independiente | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Independiente - Lanús?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 China | K-Ball |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
