Köln vs Stuttgart: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German Bundesliga Köln - Stuttgart
Result
1:2
28/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 5
  • Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)
Köln - Stuttgart - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.121.85
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
88
Passes
82% (312/382)85% (431/506)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.121.85
xG on target (xGOT)
0.661.43
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
88
Touches in opposition box
2631
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
82% (312/382)85% (431/506)
Long passes
46% (27/59)63% (27/43)
Passes in final third
61% (64/105)77% (112/146)
Crosses
38% (6/16)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.781.39
Throw-ins
1222
Fouls
1212
Tackles
89% (8/9)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4037
Clearances
1917
Interceptions
114
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
1.430.66
Goals prevented
-0.57-0.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Kaminski J. , Ache R. (A),
  • 28', 1 - 1, Demirovic E. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 61', Hendriks R. , Mittelstadt M. ,
  • 62', Ache R. , El Mala S. ,
  • 62', Maina L. , Huseinbasic D. ,
  • 67', Schmied J. 🟨,
  • 71', Fuhrich C. , Leweling J. ,
  • 71', Tomas T. , Bouanani B. ,
  • 74', Johannesson I. , Kainz F. ,
  • 74', Thielmann J. , Lund K. ,
  • 76', Krauss T. 🟨,
  • 78', Jaquez L. 🟨,
  • 81', 1 - 2, Vagnoman J. , Stiller A. (A),
  • 85', Schmied J. , Waldschmidt L. ,
  • 86', El Khannouss B. , Nartey N. ,
  • 86', Jaquez L. , Al Dakhil A. ,
  • 90+1', Bouanani B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Köln
41.4%
Draw
24.7%
Stuttgart
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.6% 25.9% 41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8% 26.6% 42.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Köln's performance.
  • Stuttgart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stuttgart might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Köln that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stuttgart could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Köln - Stuttgart Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.91)
    4.1
    (3.67)
    2.99
    (2.3)
    0.5%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Köln - Stuttgart?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Köln will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%). Stuttgart will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Köln: 20.4%61.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Köln (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Stuttgart (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%).
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln won 0.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Stuttgart may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Köln has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Köln: Bulter M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) van den Berg R. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Stuttgart: Jeltsch F. (Muscle Injury) Silas (Ankle Injury) Undav D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Stuttgart: Diehl J. (Muscle Injury) Stergiou L. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Köln won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Köln won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Köln - Stuttgart were as follows:
    24.02.2024 Stuttgart - Köln 1:1
    30.09.2023 Köln - Stuttgart 0:2
    18.02.2023 Stuttgart - Köln 3:0
    19.11.2022 Köln - Stuttgart 2:4
    28.08.2022 Köln - Stuttgart 0:0
    Latest results of Köln
    20.09.2025 RB Leipzig - Köln 3:1
    13.09.2025 Wolfsburg - Köln 3:3
    31.08.2025 Köln - Freiburg 4:1
    24.08.2025 Mainz - Köln 0:1
    17.08.2025 Jahn Regensburg - Köln 1:2
    Latest results of Stuttgart
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich550022:31915
    2Dortmund541011:3813
    3RB Leipzig54017:7012
    4Eintracht Frankfurt530217:1349
    5Stuttgart53027:619
    6Bayer Leverkusen522110:828
    7FC Koln521210:917
    8Freiburg52129:907
    9St. Pauli52128:807
    10Hoffenheim52129:11-27
    11Union Berlin52128:11-37
    12Wolfsburg51227:705
    13Hamburger SV51222:8-65
    14Mainz51135:6-14
    15Werder Bremen51138:14-64
    16Augsburg51048:12-43
    17Heidenheim51044:10-63
    18B. Monchengladbach50235:12-72

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Which TV channels are streaming of Köln - Stuttgart?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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