Result
2:2
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Premiership - Round 4
- Referee: McFarlane D. (Sco)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Motherwell - Kilmarnock live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 73% | 27% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (593/675) | 69% (169/244) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 2.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (593/675) | 69% (169/244) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (29/48) | 40% (25/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (124/181) | 51% (33/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (7/22) | 50% (6/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 73% (16/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.15 | 2.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, Daniels D. ⚽, Lyons B. (A),
- 27', Daniels D. 🟨,
- 43', Watt E. 🟨,
- 44', Lyons B. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Maswanhise T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Daniels D. ↓, Dackers M. ↑,
- 46', Lyons B. ↓, Lowery T. ↑,
- 52', Deas R. 🟨,
- 62', 2 - 1, Longelo E. ⚽,
- 70', Polworth L. ↓, McKenzie R. ↑,
- 70', Anderson B. ↓, Magennis K. ↑,
- 74', Said I. ↓, Charles-Cook R. ↑,
- 74', Watt E. ↓, Priestman O. ↑,
- 74', Maswanhise T. ↓, Hendry C. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 2, Stanger G. ⚽,
- 83', Stanger G. ↓, Watkins M. ↑,
- 84', Magennis K. 🟨,
- 88', O'Donnell S. ↓, Koutroumbis J. ↑,
- 90+3', Dackers M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Gordon L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Motherwell
48.4% | Draw
26.9% | Kilmarnock
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motherwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Kilmarnock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Motherwell - Kilmarnock Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↓
(2.09) |
3.49 ↑
(3.49) |
3.8 ↑
(3.46) |
5.5%
(5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Motherwell - Kilmarnock?
Users Predictions:
Motherwell will win
(12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Motherwell will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 2.
- In recent matches, Motherwell has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Kilmarnock is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Kilmarnock has had a series of home games.
- Motherwell will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Motherwell: Koutroumbis J.
(Injury)
Nicholson S.
(Knee Injury)
Robinson Z.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Stuparevic F.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Kilmarnock: Tiffoney S.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Motherwell: Maswanhise T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Kilmarnock: Brandon J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Motherwell won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Motherwell won against Kilmarnock?
Motherwell has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kilmarnock won against Motherwell?
Kilmarnock has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motherwell - Kilmarnock were as follows:
14.05.2025
Motherwell
-
Kilmarnock
3:0
05.04.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Motherwell
2:0
08.01.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Motherwell
0:0
20.12.2024
Motherwell
-
Kilmarnock
1:1
18.08.2024
Motherwell
-
Kilmarnock
1:0
Latest results of Motherwell
Latest results of Kilmarnock
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Celtic | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Hearts | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:6 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Hibernian | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Dundee Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Kilmarnock | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Motherwell | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Rangers | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Falkirk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | Livingston | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 10 | St. Mirren | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Dundee FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
| 12 | Aberdeen | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Motherwell - Kilmarnock?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Kilmarnock TV, Motherwell TV |
