Roma vs Juventus: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
3:3
01/03/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A - Round 27
  • Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)
Roma - Juventus - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.651.39
Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
55
Big chances
43
Corner kicks
41
Passes
82% (342/416)82% (402/489)
Yellow cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.651.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.602.12
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
46
Blocked shots
22
Shots inside the box
115
Shots outside the box
08
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
43
Corner kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
1917
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free kicks
127
Passes
82% (342/416)82% (402/489)
Long passes
41% (23/56)38% (16/42)
Passes in final third
73% (88/120)66% (73/111)
Crosses
15% (3/20)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.840.54
Throw ins
1718
Fouls
712
Tackles
39% (9/23)65% (11/17)
Duels won
5546
Clearances
2616
Interceptions
193
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
2.121.60
Goals prevented
-0.88-1.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', Wesley Franca 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Wesley Franca , Pisilli N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 3)
  • 47', 1 - 1, Conceicao F. , Bremer (A),
  • 54', 2 - 1, Ndicka E. , Pellegrini Lo. (A),
  • 63', David J. , Boga J. ,
  • 65', 3 - 1, Malen D. , Kone M. (A),
  • 72', Conceicao F. , Zhegrova E. ,
  • 72', Thuram K. , Miretti F. ,
  • 74', Cristante B. , El Aynaoui N. ,
  • 74', Rensch D. , Ghilardi D. ,
  • 78', 3 - 2, Boga J. ,
  • 88', Bremer , Gatti F. ,
  • 89', Cambiaso A. , Openda L. ,
  • 90', Pellegrini Lo. , Zaragoza B. ,
  • 90+3', 3 - 3, Gatti F. ,

Chances of winning


Roma
36.7%
Draw
31%
Juventus
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 29.4% 35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35% 29.6% 35.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Juventus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Roma - Juventus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.61
    (2.7)
    3.07
    (3.23)
    2.95
    (2.67)
    4.8%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Roma - Juventus?
    • Users Predictions: 99 users predict this event. Roma will win (votes: 63 - 63.6%). Juventus will win (votes: 12 - 12.1%). It will Tie (votes: 24 - 24.2%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 54.1%73.1%.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Roma (votes: 21 - 72.4%). Juventus (votes: 2 - 6.9%). Tie (votes: 6 - 20.7%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • DNB - Roma (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
      • AH +0.5 - Juventus (2.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • DC - Roma (1.42) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • AH 0 - Roma (1.81) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (1.99) (votes: 0 - 0%) .
      • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 36 Selected Experts predict this event. Roma (votes: 26 - 72.2%). Juventus (votes: 4 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 6 - 16.7%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roma won 0.
    • Recent performances by Roma have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Juventus is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Roma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Roma: Dovbyk A. (Groin Injury) Ferguson E. (Ankle Injury) Hermoso M. (Hip Injury) Soule M. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Juventus: Holm E. (Foot Injury) Locatelli M. (Yellow Cards) Vlahovic D. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Roma: Dybala P. (Knee Injury) El Shaarawy S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Juventus: Milik A. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Roma won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:26. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Roma won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Roma - Juventus were as follows:
    20.12.2025 Juventus - Roma 2:1
    06.04.2025 Roma - Juventus 1:1
    01.09.2024 Juventus - Roma 0:0
    05.05.2024 Roma - Juventus 1:1
    30.12.2023 Juventus - Roma 1:0
    Latest results of Roma
    22.02.2026 Roma - Cremonese 3:0
    15.02.2026 Napoli - Roma 2:2
    09.02.2026 Roma - Cagliari 2:0
    02.02.2026 Udinese - Roma 1:0
    29.01.2026 Panathinaikos - Roma 1:1
    Latest results of Juventus
    25.02.2026 Juventus - Galatasaray 3:2
    21.02.2026 Juventus - Como 0:2
    17.02.2026 Galatasaray - Juventus 5:2
    14.02.2026 Inter Milan - Juventus 3:2
    08.02.2026 Juventus - Lazio 2:2
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter38276589:355487
    2Napoli38237858:362276
    3AS Roma382341159:312873
    4Como382011765:293671
    5AC Milan382010853:351870
    6Juventus381912761:342769
    7Atalanta381514951:361559
    8Bologna381681449:46356
    9Lazio3814121241:40154
    10Udinese381481645:48-350
    11Sassuolo381471746:50-449
    12Torino381291744:63-1945
    13Parma3811121528:46-1845
    14Cagliari3811101740:53-1343
    15Fiorentina389151441:50-942
    16Genoa3810111741:51-1041
    17Lecce381082028:50-2238
    18Cremonese388102032:57-2534
    19Verona383122325:61-3621
    20Pisa382122426:71-4518

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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