Result
2:2
15/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A - Round 25
- Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.70 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (503/590) | 84% (299/358) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (503/590) | 84% (299/358) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (14/41) | 32% (12/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (83/131) | 73% (72/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 47% (7/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.09 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.69 | -1.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Malen D. ⚽, Zaragoza B. (A),
- 26', Mancini G. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 1, Spinazzola L. ⚽, Elmas E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Zaragoza B. ↓, Soule M. ↑,
- 65', Pisilli N. ↓, El Aynaoui N. ↑,
- 65', Pellegrini Lo. ↓, Venturino L. ↑,
- 69', Rrahmani A. 🟨,
- 70', Rrahmani A. ↓, Alisson Santos ↑,
- 70', Spinazzola L. ↓, Olivera M. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 2, Malen D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 73', Wesley Franca ↓, Tsimikas K. ↑,
- 73', Malen D. ↓, Vaz R. ↑,
- 79', Elmas E. ↓, Gilmour B. ↑,
- 79', Vergara A. ↓, Giovane ↑,
- 82', 2 - 2, Alisson Santos ⚽, Giovane (A),
- 85', Politano M. ↓, Mazzocchi P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Napoli
37.4% | Draw
33.5% | Roma
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Napoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Napoli - Roma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↑
(2.25) |
2.85 ↓
(3.12) |
3.28 ↓
(3.49) |
4.6%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Napoli - Roma?
- Users Predictions:
65 users predict this event. Napoli will win (votes: 23 - 35.4%). Roma will win (votes: 8 - 12.3%). It will Tie (votes: 34 - 52.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40.2% – 64.4%. - Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Napoli (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Tie (votes: 11 - 68.8%).
- Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
- AH 0 - Roma (2.25) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Roma (1.53) (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 85.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Roma (2.22) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 71.4%) .
- O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1 - Napoli (4.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 30 Selected Experts predict this event. Napoli (votes: 9 - 30%). Roma (votes: 10 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 11 - 36.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Napoli: Anguissa F.
(Thigh Injury)
David Neres
(Ankle Injury)
De Bruyne K.
(Thigh Injury)
Di Lorenzo G.
(Knee Injury)
Juan Jesus
(Red Card)
McTominay S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Roma: Dovbyk A.
(Groin Injury)
Hermoso M.
(Hip Injury)
Kone M.
(Hip Injury)
- There are questionable in Roma: El Shaarawy S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Ferguson E.
(Ankle Injury)
Soule M.
(Hernia)
Vaz R.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:21. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Napoli won against Roma?
Napoli has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Roma won against Napoli?
Roma has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Napoli - Roma were as follows:
30.11.2025
Roma
-
Napoli
0:1
02.02.2025
Roma
-
Napoli
1:1
24.11.2024
Napoli
-
Roma
1:0
28.04.2024
Napoli
-
Roma
2:2
23.12.2023
Roma
-
Napoli
2:0
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89:35 | 54 | 87 |
| 2 | Napoli | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58:36 | 22 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59:31 | 28 | 73 |
| 4 | Como | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65:29 | 36 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53:35 | 18 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:34 | 27 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51:36 | 15 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49:46 | 3 | 56 |
| 9 | Lazio | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41:40 | 1 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45:48 | -3 | 50 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46:50 | -4 | 49 |
| 12 | Torino | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:63 | -19 | 45 |
| 13 | Parma | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:53 | -13 | 43 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41:50 | -9 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | -10 | 41 |
| 17 | Lecce | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28:50 | -22 | 38 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32:57 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Verona | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25:61 | -36 | 21 |
| 20 | Pisa | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26:71 | -45 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
Which TV channels are streaming of Napoli - Roma?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 3, W-sport, ZAP |
 Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
 Angola | Z Sports 2 |
 Argentina | DAZN, Disney+, ESPN |
 Armenia | Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1 |
 Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN |
 Azerbaijan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Belgium | W-sport |
 Bolivia | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, FuboTV, TLN, VIVA |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Sport 1 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X |
 Ecuador | DAZN |
 Europe | Go3 Sport 3 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Germany | DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player |
 Hungary | Match 4 |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Israel | ONE Sport 2, Sport 3 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 1 |
 Kuwait | Shasha |
 Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
 Moldova | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | ESPN Norte |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Paraguay | DAZN |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Slovakia | Sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2 |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 3 |
 Tunisia | Diwan Sport |
 Turkey | S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1, TRT Spor |
 Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | DAZN, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1 |
 Uruguay | DAZN, Disney+ |
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Paramount+ |
 Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Venezuela | DAZN, Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 Vietnam | TV 360, VTVcab |
 World | Starzplay Sports app |
