Italy vs Moldova, FIFA World Cup: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer FIFA World Cup Italy - Moldova
Result
2:0
09/06/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : World Championship - Qualification
  • Referee: Schnyder U. (Sui)
Italy - Moldova - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.631.33
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
2818
Shots on target
77
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
91% (556/614)82% (263/322)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.631.33
xG on target (xGOT)
2.410.24
Total shots
2818
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
98
Blocked Shots
123
Shots inside the Box
1913
Shots outside the Box
95
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
4818
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
128
Passes
91% (556/614)82% (263/322)
Long passes
53% (17/32)37% (19/52)
Passes in final third
84% (186/222)70% (55/79)
Crosses
28% (9/32)53% (8/15)
Expected assists (xA)
2.300.46
Throw-ins
2310
Fouls
812
Tackles
25% (2/8)82% (9/11)
Duels won
3434
Clearances
942
Interceptions
39
Errors leading to shot
41
Goalkeeper Saves
75
xGOT faced
0.242.41
Goals prevented
0.240.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', Clescenco S. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 0, Raspadori G. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Dimarco F. , Orsolini R. ,
  • 46', Ricci S. , Barella N. ,
  • 50', 2 - 0, Cambiaso A. , Frattesi D. (A),
  • 58', Bodisteanu S. , Motpan N. ,
  • 66', Caimacov M. , Stina V. ,
  • 66', Postolachi V. , Perciun S. ,
  • 71', Nicolaescu I. 🟨,
  • 71', Retegui M. , Lucca L. ,
  • 72', Nicolaescu I. , Damascan V. ,
  • 72', Ionita A. , Dros C. ,
  • 77', Raspadori G. , Maldini D. ,
  • 83', Ranieri L. , Coppola D. ,
  • 85', Frattesi D. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/m37kef7n

Official Live

Chances of winning


Italy
90.3%
Draw
7.2%
Moldova
2.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
92.9% 5.9% 1.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Italy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Moldova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Italy - Moldova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.07
    (1.03)
    13.58
    (16.24)
    40.05
    (75.41)
    3.8%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Italy - Moldova?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Italy will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Italy: 58.6%97%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, Italy is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Italy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0.
    Latest results of Italy
    06.06.2025 Norway - Italy 3:0
    23.03.2025 Germany - Italy 3:3
    20.03.2025 Italy - Germany 1:2
    17.11.2024 Italy - France 1:3
    14.11.2024 Belgium - Italy 0:1
    Latest results of Moldova
    06.06.2025 Poland - Moldova 2:0
    25.03.2025 Moldova - Estonia 2:3
    22.03.2025 Moldova - Norway 0:5
    19.11.2024 Gibraltar - Moldova 1:1
    16.11.2024 Andorra - Moldova 0:1
    FIFA World Cup Table
    South America
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Argentina ✔ 16112328:91935
    2Ecuador ✔ 1677213:5825
    3Brazil ✔ 1674521:16525
    4Uruguay1666419:12724
    5Paraguay1666413:10324
    6Colombia1657419:15422
    7Venezuela1646615:19-418
    8Bolivia1652916:32-1617
    9Peru162686:17-1112
    10Chile1624109:24-1510

          Promotion ~ World Championship
          Promotion ~ World Championship (Promotion: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Argentina is Qualified for World Championship
    Ecuador is Qualified for World Championship
    Brazil is Qualified for World Championship
    Which TV channels are streaming of Italy - Moldova?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
    australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
    austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Puls 4, Sky Go Austria
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Play Sports 1
    brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
    canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 4
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
    czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport
    europeEuropeUEFA TV
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
    franceFranceL'Equipe Live Foot, New World TV
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
    greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
    hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV
    icelandIcelandViaplay
    indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 3
    indonesiaIndonesiaiNews, MNC Soccer Channel
    iranIranIRIB Varzesh
    israelIsraelSport 2
    italyItalyRAI 1, RaiPlay
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    moldovaMoldovaMoldova 1
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 3
    nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
    papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
    portugalPortugalSport TV1
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
    sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football, SuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 2
    turkeyTurkeyExxen
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaFox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fubo Sports Network, Sport 24 Extra
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
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