Antalyaspor vs İstanbul Başakşehir: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

09/02/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Corendon Airlines Park (Antalya).

TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 23
Referee: Kucuk Z. (Tur)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.17	0.36
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Goal Attempts
14	5
Shots on Goal
0	0
Shots off Goal
8	2
Blocked Shots
6	3
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
3	2
Shots inside the Box
9	5
Shots outside the Box
5	0
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	0
Free Kicks
18	17
Offsides
0	2
Fouls
17	18
Throw-ins
20	16
Touches in the Opposition Box
20	10
Passes
79% (325/413)	80% (360/448)
Passes in the final third
67% (88/131)	49% (37/75)
Crosses
31% (5/16)	57% (4/7)
Tackles
80% (8/10)	80% (8/10)
Clearances Total
19	25
Interceptions
7	7

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Crespo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Keny P. P. 🟨,
70', Crespo M. ↓, Ergun O. ↑,
73', Ozdemir B. 🟨,
78', Keny P. P. ↓, Figueiredo J. ↑,
82', Samudio B. ↓, Gaich A. ↑,
83', Sahiner O. ↓, Sari Y. ↑,
83', Ergun O. ↓, Ba O. ↑,
85', Rakip E. 🟨,
87', Rakip E. ↓, Dikmen S. ↑,
87', Kemen O. 🟨,
90', Vural G. ↓, Dursun A. ↑,
90+1', Larsson S. ↓, Djenepo M. ↑,
90+2', Dikmen S. 🟨,
90+5', Djenepo M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Antalyaspor 28.9%

Draw 27.8%

İstanbul Başakşehir 43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

Antalyaspor 34.5%

Draw 26.6%

İstanbul Başakşehir 38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Antalyaspor 34.4%

Draw 26.7%

İstanbul Başakşehir 38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antalyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Antalyaspor's form might have worsened.

İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antalyaspor than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Antalyaspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Antalyaspor - İstanbul Başakşehir Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.7)	3.39 ↓ (3.5)	2.2 ↓ (2.4)	5.4% (7.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Antalyaspor - İstanbul Başakşehir?

The most likely score is 1:1.

Preview Facts

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 7).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Antalyaspor won 2.
Antalyaspor is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Başakşehir is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Başakşehir could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Antalyaspor have a series of guest games.
Recently Başakşehir have a series of home games.
Başakşehir will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Antalyaspor: Dikmen S. (Muscle Injury) Ingenc B. (Knee Injury) Milosevic D. (Muscle Injury) Uzun E. (Knee Injury) Yesilyurt E. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Başakşehir: Operi C. (Knee Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Antalyaspor won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 15:38 (average 0.8:1.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Antalyaspor won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5:11 (average 0.5:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Antalyaspor won against İstanbul Başakşehir?

Antalyaspor has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has İstanbul Başakşehir won against Antalyaspor?

İstanbul Başakşehir has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Antalyaspor - İstanbul Başakşehir were as follows:

01.09.2024 İstanbul Başakşehir - Antalyaspor 5:2

09.03.2024 İstanbul Başakşehir - Antalyaspor 1:0

29.10.2023 Antalyaspor - İstanbul Başakşehir 1:0

14.07.2023 Antalyaspor - İstanbul Başakşehir 2:1

21.05.2023 Antalyaspor - İstanbul Başakşehir 0:0

Latest results of Antalyaspor

05.02.2025 Bodrumspor - Antalyaspor 3:1 ✺

01.02.2025 Hatayspor - Antalyaspor 2:3 ✺

26.01.2025 Antalyaspor - Beşiktaş 1:1 ✺

19.01.2025 Göztepe - Antalyaspor 1:0 ✺

12.01.2025 Trabzonspor - Antalyaspor 5:0 ✺

Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir

04.02.2025 İstanbul Başakşehir - Çorum 4:1 ✺

01.02.2025 İstanbul Başakşehir - Samsunspor 4:0 ✺

25.01.2025 Alanyaspor - İstanbul Başakşehir 5:4 ✺

18.01.2025 İstanbul Başakşehir - Çaykur Rizespor 2:0 ✺

12.01.2025 İstanbul Başakşehir - Galatasaray 1:2 ✺

Turkish Super League Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Galatasaray	32	26	5	1	82:31	51	83
2	Fenerbahce	32	23	6	3	80:32	48	75
3	Samsunspor	33	17	6	10	50:38	12	57
4	Besiktas	32	15	10	7	49:32	17	55
5	Basaksehir	32	15	6	11	54:45	9	51
6	Eyupspor	33	14	8	11	49:41	8	50
7	Goztepe	32	12	10	10	53:40	13	46
8	Trabzonspor	32	12	10	10	53:40	13	46
9	Kasimpasa	32	10	13	9	54:56	-2	43
10	Konyaspor	33	12	7	14	41:45	-4	43
11	Antalyaspor	32	12	7	13	35:55	-20	43
12	Gaziantep	32	12	6	14	41:45	-4	42
13	Kayserispor	32	10	11	11	40:50	-10	41
14	Rizespor	32	12	4	16	38:50	-12	40
15	Alanyaspor	32	9	8	15	37:48	-11	35
16	Sivasspor	33	9	7	17	44:57	-13	34
17	Bodrumspor	32	9	7	16	24:37	-13	34
18	Hatayspor ✔	32	4	7	21	35:66	-31	19
19	Adana Demirspor ✔	32	2	4	26	28:79	-51	-2

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ 1. Lig

Clinched Spots for Teams

Hatayspor is Relegated to 1. Lig
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to 1. Lig

Which TV channels are streaming of Antalyaspor - İstanbul Başakşehir?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2