Samsunspor vs İstanbul Başakşehir: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Turkish Super League Samsunspor - İstanbul Başakşehir
Result
0:2
14/12/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Super Lig - Round 16
  • Referee: Aksu O. (Tur)
Samsunspor - İstanbul Başakşehir - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.591.00
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
81% (374/459)82% (332/407)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.591.00
xG on target (xGOT)
0.540.83
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2021
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
917
Passes
81% (374/459)82% (332/407)
Long passes
62% (37/60)46% (25/54)
Passes in final third
67% (79/118)63% (63/100)
Crosses
28% (5/18)6% (1/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.540.53
Throw-ins
1524
Fouls
179
Tackles
89% (16/18)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4551
Clearances
2226
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
30
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
0.830.54
Goals prevented
-1.170.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 57', Musaba A. , Aydin E. ,
  • 57', Ntcham O. , Yaldir P. ,
  • 66', 0 - 1, Shomurodov E. ,
  • 67', Selke D. , Yildirim B. ,
  • 67', Fayzullaev A. , Da Costa N. ,
  • 67', Kilinc E. , Tomasson L. ,
  • 75', Gonul S. , Aydogdu S. ,
  • 75', Holse C. , Marius ,
  • 77', Harit A. , Brnic I. ,
  • 83', 0 - 2, Yildirim B. , Shomurodov E. (A),
  • 87', Gunes U. , Ergun O. ,
  • 87', Shomurodov E. , Ba O. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Samsunspor
45.8%
Draw
27.6%
İstanbul Başakşehir
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.8% 27.1% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5% 26.7% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Samsunspor have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • İstanbul Başakşehir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • The ML Model estimate for İstanbul Başakşehir aligns with the current prediction.
  • Samsunspor - İstanbul Başakşehir Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (2.06)
    3.41
    (3.48)
    3.55
    (3.49)
    5.6%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Samsunspor - İstanbul Başakşehir?
    • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Samsunspor will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Başakşehir will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 39.2%89.4%.
    • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 2 - 50%). Başakşehir (votes: 2 - 50%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
      • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • DNB - Samsunspor (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -0.5 - Başakşehir (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • DC - Başakşehir (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
      • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Başakşehir (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 2.
    • Samsunspor is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Başakşehir has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Başakşehir may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Samsunspor is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Samsunspor: Cetin B. (Knee Injury) Sousa A. (Ankle Injury) Yuksel C. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Başakşehir: Sari Y. (Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.7:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Samsunspor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.5:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Samsunspor - İstanbul Başakşehir were as follows:
    01.02.2025 İstanbul Başakşehir - Samsunspor 4:0
    18.09.2024 Samsunspor - İstanbul Başakşehir 2:0
    03.03.2024 İstanbul Başakşehir - Samsunspor 1:0
    22.10.2023 Samsunspor - İstanbul Başakşehir 0:0
    Latest results of Samsunspor
    11.12.2025 Samsunspor - AEK Athens 1:2
    05.12.2025 Galatasaray - Samsunspor 3:2
    01.12.2025 Samsunspor - Alanyaspor 1:1
    27.11.2025 Breiðablik - Samsunspor 2:2
    23.11.2025 Beşiktaş - Samsunspor 1:1
    Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray26204262:184464
    2Fenerbahce26169157:273057
    3Trabzonspor26176352:292357
    4Besiktas25137545:301546
    5Goztepe261110530:201043
    6Basaksehir26126844:301442
    7Kocaelispor26961123:27-433
    8Gaziantep2689935:42-733
    9Samsunspor25711727:30-332
    10Rizespor26791032:36-430
    11Alanyaspor26513828:32-428
    12Konyaspor26691130:39-927
    13Genclerbirligi25671228:34-625
    14Antalyaspor26661425:43-1824
    15Eyupspor25571319:36-1722
    16Kasimpasa25491221:36-1521
    17Kayserispor253111119:46-2720
    18Karagumruk26451724:46-2217

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig

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