Inter Milan vs Roma: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie A
Soccer Italian Serie A Inter Milan - Roma
Result
0:1
27/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A - Round 34
  • Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)
Inter Milan - Roma - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.111.85
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
1719
Shots on target
27
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
89% (547/612)77% (212/274)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.111.85
xG on target (xGOT)
0.110.79
Total shots
1719
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
158
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
1114
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
3824
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
911
Passes
89% (547/612)77% (212/274)
Long passes
73% (27/37)32% (15/47)
Passes in final third
81% (145/180)71% (54/76)
Crosses
36% (12/33)70% (7/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.931.18
Throw-ins
2012
Fouls
119
Tackles
64% (7/11)64% (14/22)
Duels won
4251
Clearances
732
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
0.790.11
Goals prevented
-0.210.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', Mancini G. 🟨,
  • 15', Pavard B. ↓, Bisseck Y. ↑,
  • 22', 0 - 1, Soule M. ⚽, Shomurodov E. (A),
  • 45', Martinez L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Shomurodov E. ↓, Baldanzi T. ↑,
  • 63', Dimarco F. ↓, Zalewski N. ↑,
  • 63', Darmian M. ↓, Dumfries D. ↑,
  • 64', Kone M. 🟨,
  • 68', Kone M. ↓, Gourna-Douath L. ↑,
  • 68', Pellegrini Lo. ↓, Pisilli N. ↑,
  • 80', Frattesi D. ↓, Correa J. ↑,
  • 81', Barella N. ↓, Zielinski P. ↑,
  • 86', Soule M. ↓, Rensch D. ↑,
  • 86', Dovbyk A. ↓, El Shaarawy S. ↑,

Chances of winning


Inter Milan
53.6%		Draw
25.5%		Roma
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 24.5% 19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8% 23.6% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Inter Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
    •

    Inter Milan - Roma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.79 ↑
    (1.72)    		 3.74 ↓
    (3.9)    		 4.6 ↓
    (4.83)    		 4.4%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Inter Milan - Roma?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Inter will win (votes: 18 - 72%). Roma will win (votes: 4 - 16%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Inter: 54.4% – 89.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Inter (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Roma (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Postponed due to national mourning.
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Inter won 4.
    • Recent matches Inter is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Roma is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Roma could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Inter is a favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Inter won 10 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 35:21 (average 1.8:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Inter won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:9 (average 1.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Milan - Roma were as follows:
    20.10.2024 Roma - Inter Milan 0:1
    10.02.2024 Roma - Inter Milan 2:4
    29.10.2023 Inter Milan - Roma 1:0
    06.05.2023 Roma - Inter Milan 0:2
    01.10.2022 Inter Milan - Roma 1:2
    Latest results of Inter Milan
    23.04.2025 Inter Milan - Milan 0:3 ✺
    20.04.2025 Bologna - Inter Milan 1:0 ✺
    16.04.2025 Inter Milan - Bayern Munich 2:2 ✺
    12.04.2025 Inter Milan - Cagliari 3:1 ✺
    08.04.2025 Bayern Munich - Inter Milan 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Roma
    19.04.2025 Roma - Verona 1:0 ✺
    13.04.2025 Lazio - Roma 1:1 ✺
    06.04.2025 Roma - Juventus 1:1 ✺
    29.03.2025 Lecce - Roma 0:1 ✺
    13.03.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Roma 3:1 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lecce00000:000
    2Bologna00000:000
    3Pisa00000:000
    4Cremonese00000:000
    5Genoa00000:000
    6Napoli00000:000
    7Udinese00000:000
    8Sassuolo00000:000
    9AS Roma00000:000
    10Inter00000:000
    11Juventus00000:000
    12Fiorentina00000:000
    13AC Milan00000:000
    14Atalanta00000:000
    15Lazio00000:000
    16Cagliari00000:000
    17Torino00000:000
    18Parma00000:000
    19Verona00000:000
    20Como00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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