Inter Milan vs RB Leipzig: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League Inter Milan - RB Leipzig
Result
1:0
26/11/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
Inter Milan - RB Leipzig - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.080.15
Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
127
Shots on Goal
41
Shots off Goal
66
Blocked Shots
20
Free Kicks
1211
Corner Kicks
65
Offsides
10
Throw-ins
1420
Goalkeeper Saves
13
Fouls
1112
Yellow Cards
22
Total Passes
481484
Completed Passes
405407
Crosses Completed
71
Interceptions
911

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', Pavard B. 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 0, Lukeba C. (Own goal), Dimarco F. (A),
  • 33', Bastoni A. 🟨,
  • 34', Baumgartner C. 🟨,
  • 44', Pavard B. , Bisseck Y. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Baumgartner C. , Ouedraogo A. ,
  • 61', Andre Silva , Sesko B. ,
  • 61', Haidara A. , Seiwald N. ,
  • 65', Taremi M. , Thuram M. ,
  • 65', Bastoni A. , Carlos Augusto ,
  • 70', Ouedraogo A. , Vermeeren A. ,
  • 70', Rose M. 🟨,
  • 76', Calhanoglu H. , Mkhitaryan H. ,
  • 76', Martinez L. , Arnautovic M. ,
  • 85', Lukeba C. 🟨,
  • 86', Geertruida L. , Gebel V. ,

Chances of winning


Inter Milan
66.2%
Draw
20%
RB Leipzig
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.2% 20.1% 14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9% 19.3% 14%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Inter Milan - RB Leipzig Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.47)
    4.87
    (4.77)
    7.01
    (6.55)
    3.6%
    (4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Inter Milan - RB Leipzig?
  • Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. Inter will win (votes: 51 - 79.7%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 7 - 10.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 9.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Inter: 69.8%89.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Inter in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • RB Leipzig is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Inter is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Inter: Acerbi F. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Bitshiabu E. (Muscle Injury) Elmas E. (Muscle Injury) Klostermann L. (Thigh Injury) Poulsen Y. (Hip Injury) Raum D. (Ankle Injury) Schlager X. (Knee Injury) Simons X. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Inter: Calhanoglu H. (Muscle Injury) Frattesi D. (Ankle Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Inter to win the game is with odds 1.44.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Inter Milan
    23.11.2024 Verona - Inter Milan 0:5
    10.11.2024 Inter Milan - Napoli 1:1
    06.11.2024 Inter Milan - Arsenal 1:0
    03.11.2024 Inter Milan - Venezia 1:0
    30.10.2024 Empoli - Inter Milan 0:3
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 3, 0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag1 : 5, 0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 1, 1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 2, 0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 1, 1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 5, 0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 5, 2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen1 : 2, 3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV2 : 3, 0 : 1

    Final
    1FerencvarosQarabag1 : 3
    2Crvena zvezdaPafos1 : 2
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz5 : 0
    4CelticKairat Almaty0 : 0
    5BaselFC Copenhagen1 : 1
    6FenerbahceBenfica0 : 0
    7RangersClub Brugge KV1 : 3
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