Inter Miami vs Toronto FC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Inter Miami - Toronto FC
Result
1:1
06/04/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
Inter Miami - Toronto FC - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.631.40
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
2312
Shots on target
93
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
103
Passes
91% (574/628)81% (261/321)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.631.40
xG on target (xGOT)
1.260.95
Total shots
2312
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
119
Shots outside the Box
123
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
103
Touches in opposition box
2722
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
813
Passes
91% (574/628)81% (261/321)
Long passes
77% (33/43)40% (21/52)
Passes in final third
87% (203/234)71% (52/73)
Crosses
25% (4/16)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.790.54
Fouls
138
Tackles
48% (10/21)59% (10/17)
Duels won
4438
Clearances Total
819
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
28
xGOT faced
0.951.26
Goals prevented
-0.050.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 18', Thompson K. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Segovia T. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 0 - 1, Bernardeschi F. , Insigne L. (A),
  • 45+6', 1 - 1, Messi L. , Segovia T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Fray I. , Weigandt M. ,
  • 46', Taylor R. , Picault F. ,
  • 69', Suarez L. , Obando A. ,
  • 73', Corbeanu T. , Dominguez M. ,
  • 73', Flores D. , Coello A. ,
  • 73', Brynhildsen O. , Etienne D. ,
  • 79', Redondo Solari F. , Bright Y. ,
  • 79', Segovia T. , Morales S. ,
  • 79', Thompson K. , Franklin K. ,

Chances of winning


Inter Miami
67.2%
Draw
19.2%
Toronto FC
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.7% 19.1% 14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2% 17.9% 13.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Inter Miami - Toronto FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.43)
    4.99
    (5)
    6.94
    (6.74)
    5.1%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Inter Miami - Toronto FC?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Inter Miami will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Toronto will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Inter Miami: 77.8%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Inter Miami won 4.
    • Inter Miami is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Toronto has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Inter Miami could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Inter Miami is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Allende T. (Calf Injury) Martinez D. (Muscle Injury) Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury) Sailor R. (Concussion)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Long K. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Longstaff M. (Ankle Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Inter Miami to win the game is with odds 1.42.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Inter Miami won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23:10 (average 2.1:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Inter Miami won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 19:6 (average 3.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Miami - Toronto FC were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Toronto FC - Inter Miami 0:1
    08.08.2024 Inter Miami - Toronto FC 4:3
    17.07.2024 Inter Miami - Toronto FC 3:1
    20.09.2023 Inter Miami - Toronto FC 4:0
    18.03.2023 Toronto FC - Inter Miami 2:0
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    02.04.2025 Los Angeles - Inter Miami 1:0
    13.03.2025 Cavalier - Inter Miami 0:2
    09.03.2025 Inter Miami - Charlotte 1:0
    06.03.2025 Inter Miami - Cavalier 2:0
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC20123541:251639
    2Vancouver Whitecaps19115335:191638
    3Minnesota United2097433:231034
    4Portland Timbers1986528:27130
    5Seattle Sounders1985627:25229
    6San Jose Earthquakes2076740:32827
    7Los Angeles FC1775530:24626
    8Colorado Rapids2075823:28-526
    9Austin FC2075815:23-826
    10Houston Dynamo2065925:31-623
    11FC Dallas1956826:35-921
    12Sporting Kansas City20551031:37-620
    13Real Salt Lake19541019:26-719
    14St. Louis City20361119:31-1215
    15Los Angeles Galaxy20161319:42-239


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union20124435:201540
    2FC Cincinnati20123531:26539
    3Nashville SC20115436:231338
    4Columbus Crew20107333:26737
    5Orlando City2096537:261133
    6Inter Miami1685336:27929
    7New York Red Bulls2085732:24829
    8Chicago Fire1984738:34428
    9New York City1984724:21328
    10Charlotte20811132:34-225
    11New England Revolution1866624:21324
    12DC United20461017:39-2218
    13Toronto FC19451022:25-317
    14Atlanta Utd19451022:37-1517
    15CF Montreal20351217:36-1914

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Inter Miami - Toronto FC?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaSBS On Demand, SBS Viceland
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
    israelIsraelSport 4
    spainSpain3Cat, Esport3
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
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