Inter Miami vs Toronto FC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Inter Miami - Toronto FC
Result
1:1
06/04/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
Inter Miami - Toronto FC - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.631.40
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
2312
Shots on target
93
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
103
Passes
91% (574/628)81% (261/321)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.631.40
xG on target (xGOT)
1.260.95
Total shots
2312
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
119
Shots outside the Box
123
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
103
Touches in opposition box
2722
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
813
Passes
91% (574/628)81% (261/321)
Long passes
77% (33/43)40% (21/52)
Passes in final third
87% (203/234)71% (52/73)
Crosses
25% (4/16)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.790.54
Fouls
138
Tackles
48% (10/21)59% (10/17)
Duels won
4438
Clearances Total
819
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
28
xGOT faced
0.951.26
Goals prevented
-0.050.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 18', Thompson K. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Segovia T. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 0 - 1, Bernardeschi F. , Insigne L. (A),
  • 45+6', 1 - 1, Messi L. , Segovia T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Fray I. , Weigandt M. ,
  • 46', Taylor R. , Picault F. ,
  • 69', Suarez L. , Obando A. ,
  • 73', Corbeanu T. , Dominguez M. ,
  • 73', Flores D. , Coello A. ,
  • 73', Brynhildsen O. , Etienne D. ,
  • 79', Redondo Solari F. , Bright Y. ,
  • 79', Segovia T. , Morales S. ,
  • 79', Thompson K. , Franklin K. ,

Chances of winning


Inter Miami
67.2%
Draw
19.2%
Toronto FC
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.7% 19.1% 14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2% 17.9% 13.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Inter Miami - Toronto FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.43)
    4.99
    (5)
    6.94
    (6.74)
    5.1%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Inter Miami - Toronto FC?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Inter Miami will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Toronto will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Inter Miami: 77.8%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Inter Miami won 4.
    • Inter Miami is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Toronto has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Inter Miami could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Inter Miami is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Allende T. (Calf Injury) Martinez D. (Muscle Injury) Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury) Sailor R. (Concussion)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Long K. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Longstaff M. (Ankle Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Inter Miami to win the game is with odds 1.42.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Inter Miami won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23:10 (average 2.1:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Inter Miami won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 19:6 (average 3.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Miami - Toronto FC were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Toronto FC - Inter Miami 0:1
    08.08.2024 Inter Miami - Toronto FC 4:3
    17.07.2024 Inter Miami - Toronto FC 3:1
    20.09.2023 Inter Miami - Toronto FC 4:0
    18.03.2023 Toronto FC - Inter Miami 2:0
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    02.04.2025 Los Angeles - Inter Miami 1:0
    13.03.2025 Cavalier - Inter Miami 0:2
    09.03.2025 Inter Miami - Charlotte 1:0
    06.03.2025 Inter Miami - Cavalier 2:0
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC24134747:321543
    2Vancouver Whitecaps23126539:261342
    3Minnesota United24118540:271341
    4Seattle Sounders23107637:33437
    5Los Angeles FC21106539:271236
    6Portland Timbers2397732:32034
    7Colorado Rapids24861030:36-630
    8Austin FC2286817:24-730
    9San Jose Earthquakes2478946:42429
    10Real Salt Lake23841124:29-528
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas23671032:41-925
    13Sporting Kansas City23661136:42-624
    14St. Louis City23461323:38-1518
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati24153639:31848
    2Nashville SC24145542:251747
    3Philadelphia Union24145540:231747
    4Columbus Crew24128440:33744
    5Inter Miami21125449:341541
    6Orlando City24108643:321138
    7Charlotte241121141:39235
    8New York City23105830:26435
    9New York Red Bulls2496939:35433
    10Chicago Fire2395944:40432
    11New England Revolution23671030:32-225
    12Toronto FC23561225:30-521
    13Atlanta Utd23481127:43-1620
    14DC United24471320:45-2519
    15CF Montreal24361520:45-2515

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Inter Miami - Toronto FC?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaSBS On Demand, SBS Viceland
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
    israelIsraelSport 4
    spainSpain3Cat, Esport3
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
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