Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami
Result
3:3
24/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Fischer D. (Can)
Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.971.30
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
86
Passes
70% (212/301)86% (525/613)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
2.971.30
xG on target (xGOT)
3.841.92
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
138
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
86
Touches in opposition box
2517
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
70% (212/301)86% (525/613)
Long passes
22% (12/54)69% (38/55)
Passes in final third
58% (63/108)76% (121/159)
Crosses
19% (5/26)29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.321.53
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
1210
Tackles
53% (9/17)73% (8/11)
Duels won
3838
Clearances
2632
Interceptions
164
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.923.84
Goals prevented
-1.080.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Sullivan Q. , Wagner K. (A),
  • 40', Bright Y. , Redondo Solari F. ,
  • 41', Vassilev I. 🟨,
  • 42', Fray I. 🟨,
  • 44', 2 - 0, Baribo T. , Uhre M. (A), Vassilev I. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 60', 2 - 1, Allende T. , Allen N. (A), Alba J. (A2)
  • 61', Aviles T. , Weigandt M. ,
  • 61', Fray I. , Segovia T. ,
  • 63', Uhre M. , Bueno J. ,
  • 73', 3 - 1, Baribo T. ,
  • 75', Bueno J. 🟨,
  • 76', Vassilev I. , Damiani B. ,
  • 76', Alba J. 🟨,
  • 78', Lujan G. , Picault F. ,
  • 86', Glesnes J. 🟨,
  • 86', Sullivan Q. , Westfield F. ,
  • 87', 3 - 2, Messi L. ,
  • 90+2', Redondo Solari F. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 3 - 3, Segovia T. ,
  • 90+7', Jean Jacques D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Philadelphia Union
40.4%
Draw
25.1%
Inter Miami
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 26.4% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42% 25.1% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.32)
    3.8
    (3.5)
    2.77
    (2.75)
    5%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Inter Miami will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 1 - 50%). Inter Miami (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 1.
    • Philadelphia is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Inter Miami is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Philadelphia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of home games.
    • Philadelphia could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury) Pierre N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Callender D. (Groin Injury) Rodriguez B. (Injury) Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Philadelphia: Blake A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Inter Miami - Philadelphia Union 2:1
    14.09.2024 Inter Miami - Philadelphia Union 3:1
    15.06.2024 Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami 1:2
    15.08.2023 Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami 1:4
    24.06.2023 Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami 4:1
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 31176856:381857
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 30168657:322556
    3Minnesota United ✔ 31159751:361554
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 29148757:372050
    5Seattle Sounders30129952:45745
    6Austin FC301281033:37-444
    7Portland Timbers3111101039:41-243
    8Colorado Rapids311161441:52-1139
    9FC Dallas309101145:49-437
    10Houston Dynamo31991340:49-936
    11San Jose Earthquakes31981456:58-235
    12Real Salt Lake301041632:45-1334
    13St. Louis City31771739:52-1328
    14Sporting Kansas City31761845:63-1827
    15Los Angeles Galaxy30491737:61-2421


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 31186750:331760
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3Inter Miami ✔ 29167664:461855
    4Charlotte ✔ 311721251:42953
    5New York City ✔ 311651046:39753
    6Orlando City30149758:431551
    7Nashville SC311551152:381450
    8Columbus Crew311311751:47450
    9Chicago Fire301361157:53445
    10New York Red Bulls311271245:40543
    11New England Revolution31881539:45-632
    12Toronto FC305121330:37-727
    13Atlanta Utd305121337:55-1827
    14DC United315101629:58-2925
    15CF Montreal31591729:55-2624

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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