New York City vs Inter Miami: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS
Soccer MLS New York City - Inter Miami
Result
0:4
24/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
New York City - Inter Miami - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.922.32
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
912
Shots on target
28
Big Chances
26
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
86% (395/458)87% (429/494)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.922.32
xG on target (xGOT)
0.393.80
Total shots
912
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
26
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2022
Accurate through passes
03
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
922
Passes
86% (395/458)87% (429/494)
Long passes
49% (17/35)59% (27/46)
Passes in final third
67% (64/95)69% (83/120)
Crosses
33% (4/12)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.761.80
Throw-ins
2114
Fouls
229
Tackles
60% (6/10)82% (14/17)
Duels won
2842
Clearances
1111
Interceptions
1317
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
3.800.39
Goals prevented
-0.200.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', Silvetti M. 🟨,
  • 32', Perea A. 🟨,
  • 41', Alba J. 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Rodriguez B. ⚽, Messi L. (A), Busquets S. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 61', Wolf H. ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
  • 66', Silvetti M. ↓, Allende T. ↑,
  • 66', Rodriguez B. ↓, Bright Y. ↑,
  • 73', Thiago Martins ↓, Shore J. ↑,
  • 73', Ojeda A. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
  • 74', 0 - 2, Messi L. ⚽, Busquets S. (A),
  • 77', Fray I. ↓, Weigandt M. ↑,
  • 82', Haak J. 🟨,
  • 83', 0 - 3, Suarez L. (Pen),
  • 84', Alba J. ↓, Aviles T. ↑,
  • 86', 0 - 4, Messi L. ⚽, Weigandt M. (A),

Chances of winning


New York City
39.3%		Draw
25%		Inter Miami
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 24.3% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 23.4% 32.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
    •

    New York City - Inter Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.41 ↑
    (2.2)    		 3.78 ↓
    (3.8)    		 2.7 ↓
    (2.75)    		 4.8%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    •
    What is the prediction for New York City - Inter Miami?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. NY City will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Inter Miami will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for NY City: 28.1% – 78.5%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • NY City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 1.
    • NY City is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Inter Miami's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Inter Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in NY City: Cavallo N. (Leg Injury) Jones M. (Broken Leg) Parks K. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Obando A. (Hamstring Injury) Picault F. (Injury) Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, NY City won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:12. (average 1.8:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 1.8:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - Inter Miami were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Inter Miami - New York City 2:2
    21.09.2024 New York City - Inter Miami 1:1
    30.03.2024 Inter Miami - New York City 1:1
    10.11.2023 Inter Miami - New York City 1:2
    30.09.2023 Inter Miami - New York City 1:1
    Latest results of New York City
    20.09.2025 New York City - Charlotte 2:0 ✺
    17.09.2025 New York City - Columbus Crew 3:2 ✺
    13.09.2025 Chicago Fire - New York City 1:3 ✺
    30.08.2025 New York City - DC United 1:2 ✺
    23.08.2025 Cincinnati - New York City 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    20.09.2025 Inter Miami - DC United 3:2 ✺
    16.09.2025 Inter Miami - Seattle Sounders 3:1 ✺
    13.09.2025 Charlotte - Inter Miami 3:0 ✺
    31.08.2025 Seattle Sounders - Inter Miami 3:0
    27.08.2025 Inter Miami - Orlando City 3:1 ✺
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 31176856:381857
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 30168657:322556
    3Minnesota United ✔ 31159751:361554
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 29148757:372050
    5Seattle Sounders30129952:45745
    6Austin FC301281033:37-444
    7Portland Timbers3111101039:41-243
    8Colorado Rapids311161441:52-1139
    9FC Dallas309101145:49-437
    10Houston Dynamo31991340:49-936
    11San Jose Earthquakes31981456:58-235
    12Real Salt Lake301041632:45-1334
    13St. Louis City31771739:52-1328
    14Sporting Kansas City31761845:63-1827
    15Los Angeles Galaxy30491737:61-2421


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 31186750:331760
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3Inter Miami29167664:461855
    4Charlotte ✔ 311721251:42953
    5New York City ✔ 311651046:39753
    6Orlando City30149758:431551
    7Nashville SC311551152:381450
    8Columbus Crew311311751:47450
    9Chicago Fire301361157:53445
    10New York Red Bulls311271245:40543
    11New England Revolution31881539:45-632
    12Toronto FC305121330:37-727
    13Atlanta Utd305121337:55-1827
    14DC United315101629:58-2925
    15CF Montreal31591729:55-2624

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of New York City - Inter Miami?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
    chinaChinaQQ Sports
    italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
    surinameSurinameSCCN
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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