New York City vs Inter Miami: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS New York City - Inter Miami
Result
0:4
24/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
New York City - Inter Miami - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.922.32
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
912
Shots on target
28
Big Chances
26
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
86% (395/458)87% (429/494)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.922.32
xG on target (xGOT)
0.393.80
Total shots
912
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
26
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2022
Accurate through passes
03
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
922
Passes
86% (395/458)87% (429/494)
Long passes
49% (17/35)59% (27/46)
Passes in final third
67% (64/95)69% (83/120)
Crosses
33% (4/12)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.761.80
Throw-ins
2114
Fouls
229
Tackles
60% (6/10)82% (14/17)
Duels won
2842
Clearances
1111
Interceptions
1317
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
3.800.39
Goals prevented
-0.200.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', Silvetti M. 🟨,
  • 32', Perea A. 🟨,
  • 41', Alba J. 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Rodriguez B. , Messi L. (A), Busquets S. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 61', Wolf H. , Martinez A. ,
  • 66', Silvetti M. , Allende T. ,
  • 66', Rodriguez B. , Bright Y. ,
  • 73', Thiago Martins , Shore J. ,
  • 73', Ojeda A. , Fernandez J. ,
  • 74', 0 - 2, Messi L. , Busquets S. (A),
  • 77', Fray I. , Weigandt M. ,
  • 82', Haak J. 🟨,
  • 83', 0 - 3, Suarez L. (Pen),
  • 84', Alba J. , Aviles T. ,
  • 86', 0 - 4, Messi L. , Weigandt M. (A),

Chances of winning


New York City
39.3%
Draw
25%
Inter Miami
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 24.3% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 23.4% 32.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • New York City - Inter Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.2)
    3.78
    (3.8)
    2.7
    (2.75)
    4.8%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for New York City - Inter Miami?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. NY City will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Inter Miami will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for NY City: 28.1%78.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • NY City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 1.
    • NY City is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Inter Miami's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Inter Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in NY City: Cavallo N. (Leg Injury) Jones M. (Broken Leg) Parks K. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Obando A. (Hamstring Injury) Picault F. (Injury) Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, NY City won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:12. (average 1.8:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 1.8:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - Inter Miami were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Inter Miami - New York City 2:2
    21.09.2024 New York City - Inter Miami 1:1
    30.03.2024 Inter Miami - New York City 1:1
    10.11.2023 Inter Miami - New York City 1:2
    30.09.2023 Inter Miami - New York City 1:1
    Latest results of New York City
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 33189665:362963
    2San Diego FC ✔ 33186960:411960
    3Los Angeles FC ✔ 33178863:382559
    4Minnesota United ✔ 331610755:371858
    5Seattle Sounders ✔ 331410956:47952
    6Austin FC331381236:43-747
    7Portland Timbers3311111141:44-344
    8FC Dallas3310111250:54-441
    9Real Salt Lake331241736:47-1140
    10Colorado Rapids331171542:54-1240
    11San Jose Earthquakes331081558:62-438
    12Houston Dynamo33991543:56-1336
    13St. Louis City33871842:56-1431
    14Sporting Kansas City33762046:70-2427
    15Los Angeles Galaxy33691844:65-2127


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 33206757:332466
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 33195949:40962
    3Inter Miami ✔ 33188776:532362
    4Charlotte ✔ 331821353:46756
    5New York City ✔ 331751149:42756
    6Nashville SC331661156:401654
    7Orlando City331411861:471453
    8Chicago Fire331571166:58852
    9Columbus Crew331312852:50251
    10New York Red Bulls331271447:44343
    11New England Revolution33981642:49-735
    12Toronto FC335141433:42-929
    13CF Montreal336101734:57-2328
    14Atlanta Utd335121637:62-2527
    15DC United335101829:65-3625

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Seattle Sounders is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of New York City - Inter Miami?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
    chinaChinaQQ Sports
    italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
    surinameSurinameSCCN
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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