New England Revolution vs Inter Miami: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS New England Revolution - Inter Miami
Result
1:2
09/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
New England Revolution - Inter Miami - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.09
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
87% (383/441)87% (495/570)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.09
xG on target (xGOT)
0.641.09
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
106
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
1117
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
87% (383/441)87% (495/570)
Long passes
64% (25/39)45% (21/47)
Passes in final third
72% (76/105)79% (81/103)
Crosses
18% (4/22)40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.83
Throw-ins
1312
Fouls
1111
Tackles
60% (9/15)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4241
Clearances
1320
Interceptions
136
Errors leading to shot
04
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
1.090.64
Goals prevented
-0.91-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 27', 0 - 1, Messi L. ,
  • 34', Rodriguez B. 🟨,
  • 38', 0 - 2, Messi L. , Busquets S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', Campana L. 🟨,
  • 55', Redondo Solari F. 🟨,
  • 62', Beason T. , Chancalay T. ,
  • 63', Rodriguez B. , Segovia T. ,
  • 70', Langoni L. , Diaz L. ,
  • 75', Falcon M. 🟨,
  • 77', Bye B. , Urruti M. ,
  • 80', 1 - 2, Gil C. ,
  • 81', Allende T. , Cremaschi B. ,
  • 87', Suarez L. , Martinez D. ,

Chances of winning


New England Revolution
34.2%
Draw
25%
Inter Miami
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.4% 25.5% 37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2% 25.4% 37.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New England Revolution has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • New England Revolution - Inter Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (2.49)
    3.79
    (3.65)
    2.34
    (2.52)
    5.5%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for New England Revolution - Inter Miami?
  • Users Predictions: Inter Miami will win (25 of 31 users predict this - 80.65%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.74%94.56%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Inter Miami will win (9 of 12 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New England won 2.
    • New England is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Inter Miami has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • New England may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in New England: Bono A. (Neck Injury)
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Allen N. (Hamstring Injury) Bright Y. (Hamstring Injury) Callender D. (Groin Injury) Fray I. (Groin Injury) Lujan G. (Muscle Injury) Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, New England won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 2:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New England won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New England Revolution - Inter Miami were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Inter Miami - New England Revolution 6:2
    27.04.2024 New England Revolution - Inter Miami 1:4
    10.06.2023 New England Revolution - Inter Miami 3:1
    13.05.2023 Inter Miami - New England Revolution 2:1
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC28165752:331953
    2Minnesota United28148647:311650
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Seattle Sounders27128748:381044
    5Los Angeles FC25118644:311341
    6Portland Timbers27108935:37-238
    7Colorado Rapids281061236:44-836
    8San Jose Earthquakes28981152:48435
    9Austin FC2698926:32-635
    10Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    11FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    12Houston Dynamo27781234:44-1029
    13Sporting Kansas City27661539:55-1624
    14St. Louis City27561631:47-1621
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union28166648:262254
    2FC Cincinnati28164842:35752
    3Nashville SC28155849:321750
    4Charlotte281521146:39747
    5Orlando City28138754:401447
    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew27129643:39445
    8New York City26135837:30744
    9New York Red Bulls281161142:38439
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution27871235:38-331
    12Toronto FC27591327:34-724
    13CF Montreal28581528:50-2223
    14Atlanta Utd274111231:49-1823
    15DC United28491524:53-2921

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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