Inter Miami vs Atlanta United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Inter Miami - Atlanta United
Result
4:0
11/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
Inter Miami - Atlanta United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.380.86
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
103
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
88% (537/611)82% (338/411)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.380.86
xG on target (xGOT)
3.110.33
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
103
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
137
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
4722
Accurate through passes
40
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
58
Passes
88% (537/611)82% (338/411)
Long passes
74% (31/42)50% (23/46)
Passes in final third
80% (188/236)67% (69/103)
Crosses
27% (3/11)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
3.730.73
Throw-ins
1713
Fouls
85
Tackles
65% (13/20)47% (7/15)
Duels won
4832
Clearances
722
Interceptions
912
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.333.11
Goals prevented
0.33-0.89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Gregersen S. , Mazzaferro S. ,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Messi L. , Rodriguez B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 52', 2 - 0, Alba J. , Messi L. (A),
  • 56', Bright Y. , Picault F. ,
  • 61', 3 - 0, Suarez L. ,
  • 71', Leo Afonso , Togashi C. ,
  • 80', Aviles T. , Sailor R. ,
  • 85', Sanchez C. , Weah P. ,
  • 87', 4 - 0, Messi L. , Alba J. (A),
  • 89', Rodriguez B. , Morales S. ,

Chances of winning


Inter Miami
72%
Draw
15.9%
Atlanta United
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61% 22.5% 16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4% 22% 16%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Inter Miami's performance.
  • Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Inter Miami that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Inter Miami - Atlanta United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.55)
    5.91
    (4.2)
    7.79
    (5.76)
    3.9%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
    What is the prediction for Inter Miami - Atlanta United?
  • Users Predictions: 74 users predict this event. Inter Miami will win (votes: 15 - 20.3%). Atlanta will win (votes: 54 - 73%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 6.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlanta: 62.9%83.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Atlanta (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlanta United will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 2.
    • Inter Miami is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Atlanta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Inter Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Inter Miami has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Inter Miami is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Inter Miami will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:28. (average 1.5:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Inter Miami won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.9:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Miami - Atlanta United were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Inter Miami - Atlanta United 2:3
    02.11.2024 Atlanta United - Inter Miami 2:1
    25.10.2024 Inter Miami - Atlanta United 2:1
    18.09.2024 Atlanta United - Inter Miami 2:2
    29.05.2024 Inter Miami - Atlanta United 1:3
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 33189665:362963
    2San Diego FC ✔ 33186960:411960
    3Los Angeles FC ✔ 33178863:382559
    4Minnesota United ✔ 331610755:371858
    5Seattle Sounders ✔ 331410956:47952
    6Austin FC331381236:43-747
    7Portland Timbers3311111141:44-344
    8FC Dallas3310111250:54-441
    9Real Salt Lake331241736:47-1140
    10Colorado Rapids331171542:54-1240
    11San Jose Earthquakes331081558:62-438
    12Houston Dynamo33991543:56-1336
    13St. Louis City33871842:56-1431
    14Sporting Kansas City33762046:70-2427
    15Los Angeles Galaxy33691844:65-2127


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 33206757:332466
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 33195949:40962
    3Inter Miami ✔ 33188776:532362
    4Charlotte ✔ 331821353:46756
    5New York City ✔ 331751149:42756
    6Nashville SC331661156:401654
    7Orlando City331411861:471453
    8Chicago Fire331571166:58852
    9Columbus Crew331312852:50251
    10New York Red Bulls331271447:44343
    11New England Revolution33981642:49-735
    12Toronto FC335141433:42-929
    13CF Montreal336101734:57-2328
    14Atlanta Utd335121637:62-2527
    15DC United335101829:65-3625

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Seattle Sounders is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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